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MN Transplant

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. 15 more minutes of this and I might be able to measure something. Suck it, NAM.
  2. Would have been nice to get a base started, if it wasn’t 35 degrees.
  3. At some point you just have to marvel at it.
  4. Really amazing how the Euro just completely blew this from 3-4 days out. There was little to no 850 push on the Euro as of a few days ago. The GFS and the longer range NAM had it.
  5. HRRR is trending towards the worst-case scenario for DC. Too warm with the 1st batch and the second misses south.
  6. Almost surgical how the two phases barely overlap.
  7. NAM still holding on to the warm layer idea for round 1 up to DC.
  8. NAM has a warm nose at 800mb that gets to DC.
  9. What’s this thing that you refer to as “snowpack”? High of 50.5 here. Better than the 54-55 a few of the models were spitting out a couple of days ago.
  10. Well, we are here sitting with a min of 0.5” QPF after not having a warning-level event in a couple of years. Not feeling bad about northern MD.
  11. There is almost no overlap on the NAM between the two waves. You get hit by one or the other.
  12. The NAM wants to sneak a warm layer at ~800mb to DC. Not sure that it is realistic based on all the other modeling.
  13. Some of the precip in PA is from tonight/tomorrow. Otherwise, getting better.
  14. It is a nice run for our northern neighbors. The really good news from today has been the complete elimination of the concept of the 850s blasting north.
  15. Somebody will like the appendage on the 18z GFS. Not me, though.
  16. If the low end is 3” of uncomplicated snow, that’s good news.
  17. Whew. Nice to see the NAM cave. 0.3”-0.5” across most of the area with the first wave.
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