Ahoff

Very much disagree. I guess your definition of cold is below 0. But honestly it has been cold this year, no two ways about it. Many days under 40, heck January didn't even hit 50 for the first time in 18 years, when we reached 71 in January last year. I has been cold, just not bitter. From Dec. 2019-Feb. 2020 there were six 60 degree or higher days, and twenty-four days at 50 or higher. From Dec. 2020-today there has been one 60 degree day, and six days at 50 or higher. It has been cold.

12z GFS doesn't have a ton of snow. Looks a bit better than earlier, so positive moves for Sunday and next week. But the cold it brings! Valentine's Day low is -17, second coldest ever in February and one of the coldest ever temperatures. Then a high of only 0-2 degrees. Then -2 the next morning. NAM's a stinker for Sunday.

Discouraging for sure.

Models still aren't exciting me. Sunday is still too far east, a few runs bring us very little snow, or a front instead of the storm. Interesting though that a lot show a storm to the east and a front coming from the west. Euro still has a few nights below 0, GFS much less cold.

And 122 years ago.

Yes, both -10, though nothing lower.

That'd be my guess too. We hit -10 in 2015 and 2009 I believe, but could say if anything lower has been achieved since 1994.

Also, would have to be the coldest in a few decades.

Does the radar look snowier than expected tonight?

I mean can't deny that NAM and improvements on the other models. Maybe we'll sneak out a few inches.

What the Hell, lol!?

If we could dial up #11, that'd be incredible.

Things have gotten worse. Thurs-Fri is mostly rain, maybe backend snow on NAM. Sunday is non existent. Tuesday has changed to rain, and next Thursday doesn't exist either. Great pattern seems to be falling apart.

It's a pattern. We'll see these things again. Felt like I'd never see a nice dry summer again, and last year was just perfect. Too bad nobody could do anything.

It’s still early in February, there’s no reason to think it won’t get below 8. Still a chance we get near 0 next week. There was a stretch just before this warm stretch where February’s were cold. It’ll go back. Plus, so far this month doesn’t look all that warm, just not ridiculously cold.

1952-1954 only dropped to 5 at the lowest over the three years. From 49-54, one of six years dropped below 0. Where on the flip side 2014-2019 (very recently), five out six years went below zero, with the sixth year reaching 0. I wouldn't worry about not reaching below 0 again. This year, maybe, but not never again.

Are you actually being serious? That's an absurb claim. Just two years ago we dropped below 0.

That's an absolute massive swing in one run.

47! The previous run had it snowing and 18 degrees on Tuesday! What the Hell is going on?

Models aren't too great for this week from overnight. -NAM offers best chance of snow for Thursday-Friday, but temps are above freezing the whole time, then NAM doesn't drop much cold in, in fact keeps temperatures above freezing quite often on Saturday into early Sunday. -GFS has rain for Thursday-Friday, then cold and nothing basically for the next week. -Euro has rain mostly for Thursday-Friday, cold, nothing Sunday at all, a sneaky Tuesday event that shows 3-6", then really cold back half of week.

Total for Pittsburgh ended up at 8.9" after that burst last night.

Nice burst here as well.

I hope you are correct. Definitely still early, and really the storm can only come north. I’d love to see an overrunning event with this really cold air coming up. It would be amazing.

Yeah, that's my take away. Pretty decent low placement, hopefully produces for us, because the cold is definitely there.

And no real snow to boot. I'd trade the bitter cold if it meant more snow, but now we have less snow and less cold, lol.