Ahoff

Accuweather Spring Forecast Considering the winter forecast was essentially wrong, I have hope this is as well. What's frustrating is if Spring is delayed, it's a total slap in the face from nature, which really didn't bring in winter in the first place. Although, to expect chilly weather into March and snow into March isn't really that crazy considering our average for snow is about on par with December, around 8".

What this tells me is there have been worse seasons, and they were mostly not recent (30+ years ago). So, I guess we're in a better period of snow, than in other points in our history. That's reassuring.

Why is it almost guaranteed? Is there something that hints at it not changing, except for prior history?

I'm completely for this, and it eventually has to happen. Anyway 62 today, gross.

Groundhog said early Spring. I feel like we've been in early Spring, extended Fall/Early Spring already, so I guess he's right, lol!

Still raining here. Over it.

At this point, what are thoughts for Spring? Just based on recent history, I'd say a below average March (ironic considering winter), transition to a warm April and a warm May, and too much rain. I don't even want to look at long range forecasts from those on the Internet, as 99% were so off for winter it's comical.

Me too, though I'd take just about any of them. A shame to see some nice setups, only to have the inevitable happen.

Looking forward to February starting off in the 40s and 50s by Tuesday...just great.

I'd take them all winter long, because realistically a huge 12"-incher just doesn't come around very often.

That's bold, lol.

Looks about right. Snow to west and east, and even south. Dry here, lol!

Those ensembles are just cruel. Would be great, but I wouldn't even expect a tenth of what some of those are showing. At least not yet.

I've never seen a winter this bad, even 2011-2012 had snow.

Like someone said, we were due for a well below average snow year. The last season that failed to reach two feet of snow was the 1994-1995 season with 23.4". Looks like that's where we're heading, and the last season to not reach 20" was 1990-1991, with just 17.2", so that's also a possibility too. Also, looking back at historical records, missing 20" or 24" in a season was much more common the further back in time I looked. The past decade of winters had snow that averaged almost 10" above average, so I guess we shouldn't be surprised at a lower than average year. But it's definitely frustrating when 3 out of the last 4 years have been bad, and soon to be 4 of 5 years.

The three days was just what he was saying. I doubt we'd get that many days of snow, unless it was just flurries with the occasional shower, like the last few days. At least there is still time to figure it out, and hope for some snow.

Almost three days of snow, for next to nothing is miserable.

Ron Smiley, on KDKA, said this next system would start as rain Friday, transition to snow Saturday, and last through Monday, but that he thinks over those three days with snow we could get...1 inch. 1 whole inch with snow falling over two or so days!

But even with a low that far away to the east, how would it be warm enough for rain? I mean come on. How do we win?

NWS said they got 1.1" out of the first wave. The main wave, so far looks a little more liquid than snow.

Big surprise to wake up to around 1.5"-2" of snow this morning. Hopefully, everyone got that, but there were a lot of accidents in just my neighborhood, but looks great. Hopefully this does hold the cold in a little more for tonight and tomorrow morning, to maybe slow the change over. Also, does seem they upped totals for tomorrow. Had just over 2" this morning, up from 1-2" last night.

Nice band coming through now! Fat flakes too.

4-6 is a miracle though, so I wouldn't even complain, lol. But I agree, if we get 1-2" I'd be surprised.

A few models did seem to trend in our direction recently. Still staying very pessimistic, but it looked to be somewhat improved.

Thanks. Yeah, we definitely live in a tough spot. I won't say we don't have good seasons, as I did a calculation of the last ten and the average snow was just under 50", so about 9" above the thirty year average. The last four seasons have been overall lean, with the exception of 17-18, but the beginning of the decade more than balanced it out. This is another lean year though for sure. Very frustrating. Even the last ten Januaries have averaged 15.7", over 4' above average, with 1 average, 1 below average and the other 8 all above average, we were bound for a below average one, I guess. Hopefully, next season is ours again, and I'll look forward to watching it unfold with you all.