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Ahoff

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Everything posted by Ahoff

  1. Ahoff
    I think I'm writing off December. The ever promised pattern change almost never happens before the new year, and this year likely isn't any different. If we get a few little accumulations here and there great, and if we actually see the pattern flip better still, but I'm not convinced at this time.
  2. Ahoff
    Usually how it goes though. If the second half or even last third can make up for it, then I'll be alright with it.
  3. Ahoff
    Let's not go here yet, lol.
  4. Ahoff
    I don't understand how people are saying there's a great pattern coming, but literally nothing seems to actually show it? I'd like to be optimistic, but it doesn't look good even after 10 days.
  5. Ahoff
    GFS seems to be colder for this weekend's event. Still not what we want to see exactly, but a massive improvement. The after is an absolute cluster. Euro looks like trash. The Canadian is the only thing wanting give us any shot, but that's a front end snow and at the end of the run. These runs look worse than before. All the chatter of a pattern change seems like bull.
  6. Ahoff
    GFS is on its own though, correct? Hopefully it truly is on its own island.
  7. Ahoff
    Ron Smiley showed Thursday to be 66 degrees, however I've seen nothing else corroborate that. I could see 60, but 66, for right now seems extreme. Not sure where he got that. Also, as a side note I saw Ron Smiley at the gym last week, lol.
  8. Ahoff
    I'd rather it be 33 and snowless than 56 in December. At least there's a chance for snow with the former. No chance at 56.
  9. Ahoff
    That has gotten terrible looking. However, it seems they can't decide. The last week has been from cold to warm to cold, and now back to warm.
  10. Ahoff
    18z GFS has a heartbreaker for the 12th.
  11. Ahoff
    Unfortunate it's still so far away.
  12. Ahoff
    Can't be mad at this.
  13. Ahoff
    Don't the models lose the storms around this time only to bring them back around 4-5 days? Just trying to find a path to a storm at this point, lol.
  14. Ahoff
    Was it better yesterday or today?
  15. Ahoff
    This is Day 7. It's close, but we'll see.
  16. Ahoff
    Interesting for a supposed great pattern I was hearing about elsewhere. Maybe the pattern is right and the models are wrong, or maybe the reverse. We kind of know how this goes though. We can only hope for the best.
  17. Ahoff
    Can't help but feel this pattern is either going to be cold and dry (east coast cashing in), or just a total bust (warmer and wetter than expected).
  18. Ahoff
    Good for cold, but they don't mention snow. At least it's one crucial ingredient needed. https://weather.com/forecast/national/news/2022-11-29-december-temperature-outlook-forecast-united-states
  19. Ahoff
    I will say, still not thrilled with the GFS and Euro outputs. Definitely colder, which is good, but suppressing decent looking chances so far. That 12-12 storm is close though, wouldn't take much.
  20. Ahoff
    1st Day of Winter! Let's hope it's a good one.
  21. Ahoff
    Where do you find those kinds of maps?
  22. Ahoff
    The newest GFS and Euro look better, but still rather underwhelming. Good steps though. The storm on the 12th is almost there on the GFS, really bad L placement for that one right now.
  23. Ahoff
    Pretty bleak through the entire GFS run, obviously can't take the long range seriously, but nothing really to even watch at this point. Some rain events, but that's it. Euro, pretty bad too, lol.
  24. Ahoff
    Ugh, the CPC outlook for the next two weeks looks bad.
  25. Ahoff
    So, thunderstorms currently. When's winter supposed to come back?
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