Ahoff

My God! They know how to play with us. I would like to see the snow though, just for fun, lol. Edit: I saw it, it's wonderful, lol. A nice fantasy.

The 22nd-23rd looked interesting this morning. I've turned any attention to that. Always looking to the distant future for a storm.

Yeah, I'd take that result. 3-6" and artic cold right before and into Christmas, sign me up.

I guess at least we're in it, but...we know that WAA will take us out first, lol.

Ready to be hurt again guys?

This is my biggest thing. There's talk of a great pattern, but it's always 10 days away. Or a good storm comes into the 7-10 day range and then cuts. This week is cooler than last for sure, so maybe that's a positive step, but it seems we've take one forward and two back every day.

I feel pretty comfortable on giving up on December.

If only, lol.

Where's it cutting to?

That's what I saw yesterday too. Major suppression. Hopefully we can pick up some lake snow and clipper stuff in there with those higher ratios. If these big cold shots are supposedly coming, where are the clippers? I thought they often accompanied cold shots?

Can’t make this up, but the weather app from Apple, has the extended forecast for next Wednesday as 31 for a high and thunderstorms, lol . we can’t win. Picture was too big to post.

CPC has strong cold signals for 12/18 and beyond, but...precip signal is suppression. So, looks cold and green. Also, the experimental severe weather risks from the CPC doesn't show any risk of heavy snow anywhere east of the Rockies in a supposedly great period (21st-25th). So, it seems they don't see any real threat at this time.

12z GFS is on some next level sh*t for around Christmas Eve. Obviously too far out to take seriously, but has snow plowing into us then ends as mix, lol, and a massive ice storm before that in the Deep South. Houston drops to 18 degrees. Then a secondary part comes through, as we go above freezing, all while most of Texas is below. Then it drops Lake Charles, LA down to -2! Absolutely wild run, that will probably be totally different on the next one, lol. We get maybe 6-8" out of all that.

At this point, I'd take it. It's something frozen, lol.

Worst thing about the late week storm is the track is nearly perfect for us. If that low tracked all the way up the coast at those positions modeled we'd be blanketed. So, of course when we have a great low placement there's no precip on the back side. Looks like we have to rely on clippers, which can be really nice events. GFS, is liking to dissolve them as they come down though, so there's that, and there's a nice looking possibility at the very end of GFS, but of course that's so far away. Also, the 22-23 storm kind of just went away, for now, lol. Euro cuts the 22nd storm, gets us rain and then immediately bitter cold and no snow. Unreal.

One would think.

Some flurries this morning. Might be the most we see through the weekend, lol. I take this as a sun.

Yeah, we’ve seen enough great looking things past 10 days. We know how most of the end up…

If there were an inch on the ground that's fine. The GFS tries to do something right before Christmas, but that's too far away to expect it to happen.

Cold and green would be disappointing.

Yeah, this pattern change feels super fake, lol.

That 12z GFS looked even worse. But don't worry guys through next Sunday Atlanta gets 2-3". I don't know, maybe we can get some lake snows or something with the cold push after?

Some real sh*tty trends today. Not surprised overall. Hopefully, something better happens with it.

Yeah, looks great, but we're definitely well within the back and forth period. Maybe come a bit more west before those east corrections start though, lol.

I don't want to get my hopes up, but a couple inches is at least possible.