Ahoff
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Everything posted by Ahoff
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SREFs up over 2" now. NWS was 1.2" earlier, up to 1.8" now. Last minute trends are good. We might have something more note worthy after all this.
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Euro upping totals late. Where’d that come from.
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Maybe the quicker cold air is helping?
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NWS back up to 1-2" of snow. Positive trend in the 11th hour.
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Hopefully it changes rain to snow a bit quicker and maybe longer?
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That seems it sound be for the ridges possibly.
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Also, HRRR seems aggressive with temps. -6 (a record low) by tomorrow night, and dipping to -7 Christmas Eve (not a record). With so little snow, I doubt that.
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Hopefully.
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Dropped us to under an inch, lol. I don't think it gets to even 1 degree, which is their forecast without more snow on the ground, and if it does, I couldn't imagine how cold it would have been with a couple inches.
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Wouldn't there be upslope snows? I mean whether the winds come from the southwest or northwest it should run into higher terrain.
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Hopefully, we can get below 0. Would be the first time in December since, what 1989? It will be tough to do, but we’ll be getting close.
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I don't buy that Wheeling would have that much more than us, when the changes would essentially be the same just earlier for Wheeling. Maybe just model noise.
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Looks like just a shift east. Looks like better snow coverage though.
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NWS has us in 1-2".
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NWS won't even give us a wind chill advisory, lol. We'll have 0 degree temps and 50 mph winds, but no advisory, crazy.
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Storm aside, very sad day for Pittsburgh. RIP to Franco Harris. Will be a much different event at the game on Christmas Eve.
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That NAM total looked decent. Still "long range" NAM, but not 84 hours at least.
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If the secondary trends stronger, wouldn't it cause the upper atmosphere to cool quicker for us and allow temps to drop even before the front moves in?
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Well, the risk of heavy snow is not far away, and it doesn't discount the possibility of a brief period of heavy snow as the cold air collapses in. I don't think anyone is expecting a foot of heavy snow. It's just saying the risk is there. We'll still likely see some snow, let's just enjoy that possibility.
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Could be worse. At least a small shift down and we're in, and if not it might not be heavy snow, but it should still be snow.
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Correct, but timing is super important for the freeze.
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I guess there's too much going on, they'd have to write a novel. Obviously once these temperatures drop below freezing it's going to snow. What's weird is TWC has 26 for the Thursday low and NWS has 10. So, that's more of an issue with regard to the flash freeze potential.
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Yeah, I saw this. It's a weird description. Never saw anything like that. Since they didn't saw 'new rain totals' I'm assuming their meaning rain changes to snow.
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No, but it's not ideal. Blanked is nothing on the ground. Still think we can pull out 2"-4", for now. We'll see what the trends do.
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We just have to stay hopeful. I can't imagine we get blanked totally.
