Ahoff
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Everything posted by Ahoff
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Yeah, it's dangerous territory now. As long as we get a few inches on that back end it's a win.
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Better
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Just for fun, as it will obviously change... Accuweather's point and click puts down 9.4" between Thursday and Friday. Never saw it that high this far out. TWC is 3"-7". Cool with either.
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Looked like it would be, but the precip shield kind of fell apart on the west side. Those are issues to be figured out later, but that track seems like it should have done more for us, especially being that strong of a storm.
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Yeah, the ICON is trash though, right? That's what I hear anyway, lol.
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I guess assuming it's on a s to n or ssw to nne trajectory we should be fine. Flatter would have more uncertainty, but a weaker storm, I'd imagine. I still wouldn't say no to the Euro solution.
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Realistically, what do we think the furthest west the low can go is? Is Harrisburg about the limit for us for no mixing issues generally.
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I mean...rain on the coast can be better for us, so...not saying I'm rooting for an I-95 track, but I definitely am.
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Let’s hope he knows his stuff. A track west of 95, (at least just west) could be massive for us. You’re right the ceiling is high for someone.
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Yeah, we'll be up and down for the next week, lol. That GFS will do though.
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Experimental CPC risks still looks good for us for snow. 3rd day in a row, gotta be a record for us.
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Do you think he's considering it a borderline cutter or just running inland meaning like up I-95? Apparently, other mets are leaning toward an inland solution. Don't storms kind of travel along the previous snow line, so maybe that zone is where the next low runs up.
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Yeah, usually because we are screwed on those anyway. Plenty of time for the storm to get better for us though, heck there were cutters on the models yesterday, now some are much further east. Still can find a sweet spot.
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Euro has remnants of what it had before, but it gives us a few inches. I'll take it.
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We could take that.
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p30 please.
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CMC lost the storm I hear. So...quite the range at this point. Guess we'll see what the next Euro throws out. GFS mean did increase snowfall around 1"-1.5". So, that's good.
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GFS is looking like exactly what we don't want to happen. But what's that lie they tell, big storms go northwest? Big shift from previous runs. We'll see many more iterations soon.
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Maybe. At this point as long as something puts down a few inches, I think we can all consider that a win.
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The GFS runs were bummers, but the Euro is much more interesting, and definitely a solution that I'd take.
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Someone on another forum said the setup on the models for 22-23 is similar to 2/9-2/10/10. We can only hope.
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More torture is beginning. The Weather Channel point and click has 7"-9" for the 22nd-23rd storm.
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If it puts down some snow, we'll take it, lol. And honestly, I'd take that solution in a heartbeat, the 12z verbatim drops around 5" of snow, then freezes us.
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At one point it has heavy snow falling with temperatures at 13-14 degrees. That seems off, as temps to the south are in single digits. But the ratios would be crazy, I imagine.
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We're due then!
