Ahoff
-
Posts
2,644 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Ahoff
-
12z GFS tracks the low pretty perfectly for us. The actual precip depiction looks weird, but that can be worked out later. Hopefully, that low placement is pretty close. GFS, Euro and others have had that low very close or just inland of the coast. Maybe they're on to something?
-
I'm fine with 10" even if east gets more. 10" is a ton for us. I'm not fine with east getting 20" and us getting next to nothing, lol.
-
12z GFS is more interesting for mid week. Shows colder highs and more snow potential. Something to watch I suppose. Drops 3"+ on Wednesday. Good development, we shall see.
-
That GFS 0z run was epic. Shows the highest end possibility, although super low chance. Up to 3' by the end. 3 storms in one week. Record cold, below zero temps. At least that's better than literally one run previous. GFS 6z looks more reasonable snow wise for us Through next weekend, but with a storm that powerful the precip shield can't be right, looks way too small. Totals, looked pretty normal I guess. Definitely not as great, but showing potential. Euro, still not looking too great.
-
The GFS cannot be trusted, lol. From 0" to nearly 20" in one run! Crazy. Through the end of the run if we can manage 5" I'd consider it a success.
-
But the fact that the entire run has no snow when everything around us does is concerning. I wouldn’t worry about hour 384, it’s every hour leading up that’s concerning, lol.
-
What the actual f*ck?
-
Not a great sign when there's been no posts for almost a day.
-
I think I'm writing off December. The ever promised pattern change almost never happens before the new year, and this year likely isn't any different. If we get a few little accumulations here and there great, and if we actually see the pattern flip better still, but I'm not convinced at this time.
-
Usually how it goes though. If the second half or even last third can make up for it, then I'll be alright with it.
-
Let's not go here yet, lol.
-
I don't understand how people are saying there's a great pattern coming, but literally nothing seems to actually show it? I'd like to be optimistic, but it doesn't look good even after 10 days.
-
GFS seems to be colder for this weekend's event. Still not what we want to see exactly, but a massive improvement. The after is an absolute cluster. Euro looks like trash. The Canadian is the only thing wanting give us any shot, but that's a front end snow and at the end of the run. These runs look worse than before. All the chatter of a pattern change seems like bull.
-
GFS is on its own though, correct? Hopefully it truly is on its own island.
-
Ron Smiley showed Thursday to be 66 degrees, however I've seen nothing else corroborate that. I could see 60, but 66, for right now seems extreme. Not sure where he got that. Also, as a side note I saw Ron Smiley at the gym last week, lol.
-
I'd rather it be 33 and snowless than 56 in December. At least there's a chance for snow with the former. No chance at 56.
-
That has gotten terrible looking. However, it seems they can't decide. The last week has been from cold to warm to cold, and now back to warm.
-
18z GFS has a heartbreaker for the 12th.
-
Unfortunate it's still so far away.
-
Can't be mad at this.
-
Don't the models lose the storms around this time only to bring them back around 4-5 days? Just trying to find a path to a storm at this point, lol.
-
Was it better yesterday or today?
-
This is Day 7. It's close, but we'll see.
-
Interesting for a supposed great pattern I was hearing about elsewhere. Maybe the pattern is right and the models are wrong, or maybe the reverse. We kind of know how this goes though. We can only hope for the best.
-
Can't help but feel this pattern is either going to be cold and dry (east coast cashing in), or just a total bust (warmer and wetter than expected).