Mr. Kevin
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Everything posted by Mr. Kevin
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That's good news. Baby steps I suppose john
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Carver, do u have the 12z eps of the pna, ao, and nao u can post?
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Only thing I doubt is back then there was an ongoing SSW event that profiled onto the pattern and got cold for a month and a half. We dont have that now john I dont think. Hopefully we get a SSW event this winter
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The issue now is the losing of the nao/ao moving forward with the aam dropping. We definitely need a Pacific shuffle or we in deep doo doo lol
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That's why I like those overrunning patterns with sleet and ice involved. Stalled front
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Just a big temperature gradient from models
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12gfs had 29 at 12noon sunday,and 41 at 12noon Sunday on 18zgfs. Euro had mid 20s at same timeframe
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Yep. Weird to me
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The euro has my area mid 20s at noon Sunday where gfs has low 40s. A little off someone is
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Carver, the 18zgfs was a bonk run then? You think?
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Did you mean alutian high dislodged? Lol. We haven't had one of those in a long time
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I will say this. When the cfsv2 does the end of month forecast for following month, its usually pretty accurate. It said that December would be really warm, which it was.
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Strongest niño on record I believe 15-16. It shut down DC with over 30inches mid January
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Sorry guys. Weatherbell.com
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Take a look at JB'S Saturday summary. Pretty good today imo. Wxbell.com
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Hopefully we aren't chasing unicorns again this winter lol. I believe any shift in the Pacific would help us long term and let's hope and pray it's not a temporary change because even in great patterns, it's tough, but in even tougher patterns, its almost impossible unless a incredibly timed setup ensues. I think we all know this but wanted to reiterate it.
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It would be lovely to see a split if it would make a difference for us. It would also be lovely to have a SSW event this winter
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I would like to see a lengthy Pacific shakeup or whatever it takes to get it better and favorable for cold and occasional storminess here
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I see I see I see Santa staring at me lol
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Merry Christmas guys! Sorry jax for being dumb with this question but what is so exciting about the soi? Lol. Everyone seems excited about it. Just confused
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Merry Christmas to everyone! 74 for a high here on Christmas. A little unusual but some like warm weather and some like cold.
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So, if it gets cold, our most realistic opportunity will be February? What makes you lean that way?
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No doubt we get a cold shot around or after new years, behind a system but it lasts a day and it warms back up. Definitely would like to get a shakeup in the stagnant pattern.
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We already have warm weather coming for Christmas and new years apparently so its here lol. I'm just trying to be optimistic we can get a shakeup so we can at least have a week or two at some point this winter
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Do you think we can get a big shakeup to change things or is it not happening this winter?
