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binbisso

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Everything posted by binbisso

  1. binbisso
    11" inches here in Mt Vernon ny. Almost 3" the last hour
  2. binbisso
    Light snow his started here in Mount Vernon 32ﾟ
  3. binbisso
    Ukie also came in with more qpf. 2 to 4" on the snow maps. The trend on 12z models is greater waa snows
  4. binbisso
    Snowed for about 30 minutes with some sleet mixed in at the end a covering on the roofs cars and grass.
  5. binbisso
    What a bomb on the euro day9. With the block being advertised on the models we are now going to see some wild Solutions in the next week and Beyond Edit. Not really a bomb but a nice Miller B redeveloper south of Long Island Fun Times ahead
  6. binbisso
    Today's Canadian has the January 4th system sitting and spinning in the North Atlantic for 5 consecutive days right up to the end of the Run. The model is finally seeing the block and looks like this can set up something in the 10 to 12 day time frame with another short wave in the Gulf and that low sitting in the 50-50 region. The EPS also has something in that time frame. Today's Canadian definitely makes more sense compared to the GFS which has basically cutter after cutter into the block
  7. binbisso
    With the current setup In the Atlantic with the negative Nao and AO you do not want cold Arctic air as that would only suppress system. + 5 in Canada and plus two here in mid-January through mid-February would work just fine as the block would cause systems to go underneath us and it will be plenty cold enough to snow. I know you know this as you are a knowledgeable poster but you're warm bias interferes with rational judgment and your predictions end up wrong.
  8. binbisso
    Don is it then more likely that the vortex will just weaken and not split and if so would that be a more favorable outcome for us here since a split usually favors Eurasia
  9. binbisso
    And it gets better the further out it goes let's just hope it verifies
  10. binbisso
    With regards to the big phased system next week which is still 6 or 7 days out. We need either a later phase further east or better yet miss the phase with the southern stream and see if the northern stream can dive under us and form a Coastal low south of Long Island. That's probably our best chance at seeing snow here in the Northeast with this system
  11. binbisso
    Yeah most Mets and others keep saying that this Nina is coupled with the atmosphere but obviously that is not the case as we typically would have a colder than normal November and December. Last year we had a Nino but November and most of December played out like a nina. clearly something's up between enso and the atmosphere. if this map plays out That's a classic nino positive PNA negative N A O Negative a o.
  12. binbisso
    A+ PNA is now showing up across guidance as we head towards December and it looks to continue through the first half of the month. The GEFS even show signs of Greenland blocking and it's very extended range. Maybe we can finally get some short waves to track underneath us and as we head into December we would not need well below normal temperatures to get some kind of measurable snow which seems to have been missing from December for a long time now
  13. binbisso
    I also lost an aunt to covid a month ago. My moms sister. My cousin got it from her boyfriend who probably got it at school ( teaches special need kids) and gave it to both her parents.
  14. binbisso
    I took my mom out in late march. She had a stroke and heart valve issue in February. She went to two nursing homes/ rehab after hospital stay. She is now living with me. The worst part was not being able to see her. Yea it really is sickening. Need to get the vaccine to these vulnerable people asap even with the unknown about potential side effects. In these cases its probably worth the risk.
  15. binbisso
    From a tropical forcing perspective, how might this La Niña differ from the norm? 2020-21 is predicted to have more activity over the Indian Ocean and less over the Maritime Continent. Ben noll. If this is true then one two and three would be more likely than four five and six this winter but we shall see
  16. binbisso
    Blue Wave I have heard that the atmosphere is currently coupled with the la nina but according to your post above it is not. Do you think this winter will not behave as a typical moderate to Strong La Nina?
  17. binbisso
  18. binbisso
    It looks like the mjo heading into phase 8 in early November could mute the warm-up or at least the warm-up won't last as long as guidance suggest. I'm hearing that the mjo may frequently be in Phase 8 1 and 2 this winter instead of the maritime continent don't know if it's going to be a big player this year with such a strong La Nina
  19. binbisso
    The mjo in Phase 5 for most of October didn't have the usual outcome here in the Northeast which is usually much below-normal temperatures. We will finish solidly about normal throughout the region
  20. binbisso
    Have sleet mixing in with the rain here in Mount Vernon with a temperature of 37 degrees
  21. binbisso
    That's pretty amazing how one month can be consistently warmer then normal for so long what's interesting when looking at the departures, this October should be very close to 2010 when looking at the current long-range guidance. 2010 also had an amplified mjo in Phase 5 as you stated in the other thread and it looks quite similar.
  22. binbisso
    After a warm wet week next week That's a pretty cold look on the ensembles today starting around day 9 going through the end of their runs. The mjo looks to get Amplified in Phase 4 and Phase 5 around that time and I believe it's a colder phase for the Northeast during October I could be wrong though. Any Merit to a colder second half of October?
  23. binbisso
    70° here after hitting a high of 71 and windy
  24. binbisso
    Thanks. Looks like we will be making a road trip there. My daughter wants to go now. I want to go when there's snow in the forecast.
  25. binbisso
    @dryslot. My youngest daughter is entering college next fall. She likes bowdoin college in Brunswick ME. What's your opinion and the general opinion of this school? Also of any other posters have any knowledge of the school I would greatly appreciate it thanks
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