Starting to fire near center. Dry air could be the major inhibitor. Interesting forecast, shear weakens to non existent before landfall but current state leaves much to be desired. Storm had to start over. This current convective episode will be telling, if it can sustain and begin forming a cdo, sure maybe it can become a decent cane. It’s got to get its act together quickly. I was shocked, this thing looked very coherent coming off land yesterday in satellite, then recon showed the mlc had detached from the surface low and that sat image was a sham. Really highlights importance of recon.