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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    GEFS and GEPS both look really good for the first week of January. This hasn’t been a can kick either.
  2. NorthHillsWx
    Surprised to see a wintry mix when I let the dog out
  3. NorthHillsWx
    2.90” storm total here. 6.94” for the week including last weekends storm. That’s a hell of a way to kill the drought
  4. NorthHillsWx
    High wind warning now
  5. NorthHillsWx
    50-60 mph ground verified gusts showing up in southern piedmont
  6. NorthHillsWx
    Moments later: confirmed tornado in Myrtle beach moving NE. Debris signature clear on radar
  7. NorthHillsWx
    That area Myrtle Beach-Wilmington needs to be vigilant for tornadoes with this band moving through. Lots of areas showing broad rotation and there’s a lot of energy with that band
  8. NorthHillsWx
    That was a really good storm. Everything stuck and was in mid 20’s and snowing. Stayed cold afterwards. That’s the only bright spot since December 2018 and it was just 3-4” in my area
  9. NorthHillsWx
    This weekends storm has trended way east. Probably saves inland areas from worst winds and severe threat
  10. NorthHillsWx
    One positive trend is this thing has really sped up. What was looking like a long duration event stretching from Sunday to Tuesday is now mostly just Sunday afternoon. Rainfall totals have come down accordingly. I know everyone needs the rain but 3-4” in a short time after last weeks rain would probably cause flash flooding
  11. NorthHillsWx
    This is looking like a significant weather event. I’d expect a serious squall line in Florida too
  12. NorthHillsWx
    At least we don’t have to worry about “what if there was cold air”
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Yea I guess to broaden my point: this isn’t even going to produce snow in New England with a perfect track in mid December. For us it’s not shocking but the lack of snow up north with a storm track passing over the “benchmark” is highly, highly anomalous for mid December
  14. NorthHillsWx
    Early next week’s Miller A with a perfect storm track and absolutely no cold air is going to sting. That being said, if that track continues this year eventually we will score
  15. NorthHillsWx
    While I will admit there aren’t any really warm days in the LR, it’s freaking above freezing across the entire US outside of mountain areas for days straight in mid-late December across the border. I mean when ND is struggling to get below freezing (not below zero) in late December, we are in major major trouble for a long time
  16. NorthHillsWx
    Garner Tornado rates EF-1
  17. NorthHillsWx
    It is certainly concerning seeing the consensus towards a prolonged mild pattern for the entire continent. We’ll need to see some signs of cold air building up north to have any hope going into January. Like I said earlier, kicking the can through December isn’t the worst but it becomes an issue if we’re still sniffing for a change in the LR when the calendar flips to January
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Im ok with it as long as we’re seeing some signs of something changing in early Jan. Otherwise, we’re going to be stuck in our can kicking pattern we have been in since December 2018
  19. NorthHillsWx
    All indications seem to be pointing to a punt until early January at the earliest for sustained cold and snow chances outside the mountains. MJO and ensemble guidance is ugly. That being said, my brother is reporting about 1/2” of surprise snow from Urbanna Virginia this morning
  20. NorthHillsWx
    I wish this was snow but we “jackpotted” with this event. Finished with 4.04” of drought busting rain
  21. NorthHillsWx
    Yea I’ve noticed that. Insane rates here. Just like that we’re over 3”
  22. NorthHillsWx
    This is drought-busting rain. Training over us since 4:00. Over 2”
  23. NorthHillsWx
    Confirmed tornado in Garner
  24. NorthHillsWx
    Rotation near garner is starting to look dangerous
  25. NorthHillsWx
    Sorry I should’ve elaborated- 17th through the end of the run periods (which happened to be Christmas). I wasn’t questioning your statement I was saying it looks like the entire lower 48 will be AN from the 17th-on using the ensembles. Was simply curious what you saw beyond that.
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