NorthHillsWx

Massive debris ball NW of Greensboro

All it takes is one, and I’m afraid we’ve already had it. Hopefully the rest of the day doesn’t live up to the potential

Going through heavily populated golf course communities. Not good.

That’s just an awful looking debris ball on radar. Good grief. Hope everyone in the path is underground

Yea, it’s still otg. May not be high end atm but this is a long track tornado that has definitely produced strong EF2+ damage in areas along its path

Might need a tornado emergency

Looks like a textbook cycle has taken place. Ominous for southern b-ham suburbs

Cell approaching Tuscaloosa needs to be watched. Moving into clean air on the backside of the tornadic storm to its east and has some broad rotation already

Believe we have our first monster of the day. Stay safe everyone

This storm already looks more severe on radar than anything from last week

Not good y’all

Large debris ball

That is a ferocious looking storm

Definitely need a whining thread for every season. Need a place for people to vent when a severe threat fails to produce a tornado that takes out their house

The LP off the Carolina coast is very potent this morning. Really well wrapped up. Pretty cool radar loop

There wasn’t a single severe report in the level 3/4 threat area. I’m sure there were 2-3 weak spin ups that certainly were scary and damaging under that meso low yesterday but that was outside the threat area. Like issuing a winter storm warning and not getting a flake but a rogue band set up and dropped 1-3 inches outside the warning area Not downplaying your experience, I’m sure that was harrowing. But this was a bust outside of a very isolated area. If it’d been a level 1 day no one would be calling bust, but it was forecast to be high end.

Reminds me of that video from Zebulon a while ago on 64

There are a couple of observations I made as to why yesterday failed to produce. 1) lack of strong LLJ. This was apparent from modeling about 24 hours out and very noticeable yesterday. Even when the sun broke out and mixing should have occurred, winds were pretty much calm all afternoon until the outflow from the QLCS came through. On significant severe days, as soon as the sun breaks out and screaming LLJ winds start mixing down, it becomes extremely windy and gusty 2) The meso-low develop in a textbook location from pressure falls along the southern edge of the retreating wedge layer and rode that boundary to a T. This happens so frequently we need to look past other parameters in our area and always remember that these meso scale systems frequently are our main mode for severe weather. The only significant weather yesterday occurred with this feature and it was well outside the area SPC progged for severe weather.ALWAYS watch the wedge front for severe, even if CAPE and other values are not high in those areas 3) as the low crossed the mountains it got strung out. Pressure falls along the coast set up a secondary boundary that became the primary forcing region and led to the formation of a large area of convection near or over the ocean. This was very well modeled within 36 hours. Most CAMs eliminated all convection in the SPC risk area more than a day out. This was very noticeable. Whenever you get a large convective mass on the coast you can pretty much kiss severe threats goodbye. Not only was the LLJ disrupted but a large area of subsidence existed between the pressure falls along the coast and the meso low. This negated the favorable mid level parameters that argued for an outbreak 4) do not take so much stock in mid level parameters. They definitely determine a severe outbreak, but to be exploited you need storms, lol. This was a situation where the LP got strung out and reformed over the coastal boundary leaving most of NC/SC in a zone of subsidence and no forcing for storm formation. This was actually very well modeled from 24-36 hours out, plenty of time to adjust the severe outlook

Not to beat a dead horse, but this is pretty laughable. Not a single severe weather report in the level 4 area from yesterday or even the enhanced area (maybe a wind report on the extreme edge?). They dismissed school early and many, many business shut down from the triangle east due to the severe weather threat

0.04” of rain from this morning. Low of 48.4 High of 72.6 Literally not a drop of rain from this evening’s line of weather

It has to be rare to be under a level 4 severe threat and not see a single severe warning much less report within 100 miles like SE NC was today

And I got called out for calling today a complete bust when the level 4 area from this morning literally won’t get a thunderstorm or shower. I regress, definitely lessons learned from this event based on a number of limitations that kept favorable parameters at bay

Has there been a confirmed tornado report?

I’m sticking with my call. Still no TOG reports and I do not think this makes it east of the triangle where they started the day with a level 4 threat

Why is there not a NWS radar station closer to Charlotte... Storm definitely has strong mid level rotation