NorthHillsWx

Certainly looks to be a TOG near Blakely

Looks like it could be showing a debris signature

Tight couplet just west of Kinsey

Take the high risk piece out of the SPC’s forecast and that moderate risk area was spot on. Not a bad forecast by any means.

Thanks for the graphic pack, I stand corrected on my “most tornadoes occurred outside the high risk area statement.” However, it was definitely along the extreme southern and eastern edges. The vast majority of the area, the absolute highest level they can give for an outbreak, saw little to no severe weather. Definitely gives the impression of a bust

Overall I wouldn’t say it’s a bust in terms of an event, but the area marked as Level 5 (ie where we were expecting a lot of tornadoes and severe weather) ended up being too far west. For the high risk area, yes it in my opinion was a bust. As an event overall, I’m sure there were 20+ tornadoes and plenty of wind damage so I wouldn’t label it a bust as an overall event.

I will wait to see what the morning soundings/radar shows but models and especially CAMs have trended for the wedge to hang on (shocker) and much less elevated convection from roughly the Sandhills northward. Looks like more of a South Carolina/down east event to me. Doesn’t feel like severe weather is on our doorstep either, chilly, foggy, and northeast wind. We’ll see what the morning brings. Also- the afternoon RAH write up outlining the limiting factors was pretty awesome. Not saying we won’t see severe weather but usually here to get a higher end event you need very few limiting factors to be present, and tomorrow has plenty. As for the high risk event busting, it absolutely busted. Overall there was plenty of severe weather and plenty of tornadoes but almost all were outside of the area marked as high risk. To me, that’s a bust.

TDS

Absolutely classic look to this storm. Hopefully it avoids major population centers

Debris ball on CC from storm that went near Selma

Man, Selma is about to get hit

Oh no. Here we go

I really wish today’s system had been 2 months earlier so our 39 degrees and rain would be 32.5 degrees and rain

We came across one in the gulfstream off Morehead city while offshore fishing 2 days after hurricane Dorian passed a couple years ago. Wish I could find the video

1 mi N of Franklin County Airport 3.4”

I’ll take “things that won’t happen for $100 Alex”

31.2 this morning. Last frost for awhile, looking forward to the warmup

25.7 and very frosty out this morning

NAM is more aggressive

What’s this??? An extended dry period??? I forgot what these were!

Low of 37.2 this morning. Currently a beautiful crisp day 46.8 and brilliant sunshine a little after 10:00

2 degrees below average with +3” precipitation in February and a trace of snow...

Currently 61.5 after a high of 68.6. 0.09” in the rain bucket. Overcast and drizzly but not wedgy since it’s warm and humid

Man the Canadian is a near miss to the south. This thing isn’t far off

I actually like where this storm is at for now. Cold air comes in from east of mountains which helps too