NorthHillsWx

RE the KRDU temp obs- I’ve noticed that my readings have been MUCH more in line with RDU since that June heat wave and honestly are probably 1-3 degrees above what the airport’s reading has been as of late! I wonder if the summer drought and peak sun angle heating was the culprit. I still don’t believe RDUs June readings that consistently beat out Fayetteville on a daily basis! It doesn’t make sense to be so high above other regional obs that consistently only to fall in line later in the fall

Cracked 80 again today. Dewpoints between 60-62 have it feeling quite muggy. This might be worse than missing out on snow in winter. I love crisp fall afternoons more than anything and we are burning through the peak under a heat dome

12z run of GFS drops 0.00” here through November 15

70% of the state is now included in this weeks drought monitor, including the SW mountains of NC…

81.4 at the moment. More 80s than 40s here this month

0.18” gonna do it for October. Officially the driest month since I’ve lived here, following the wettest. Really worried about the rest of fall/winter in the rainfall department

Jeezeee the 18z GFS is one of the most ridiculous heat domes I’ve ever seen in November! 80’s through the run and not a single low in the 40’s here! Absolute craziest torch I’ve ever seen modeled in November

It’s almost a lock RDU sets the record with our third straight snowless winter! (I’m taking your pessimistic approach this year maybe I’ll reverse jinx it)

Absolute heinous torch pattern

That’s gotta be one of the most impressive sat shots we’ve seen in years size, ferocity, and the just meanness of that eye. This is a monster

Kong-Rey is an absolute beast. My thoughts on the size of this storm are the giant size will make it less likely to weaken significantly before landfall even with terrain impacts

Would not surprise me to start referencing the drought monitor by the end of the week, which seemed unfathomable after the last 3 months

No rain on the foreseeable horizon and very warm. Great…

Well the rainless streak is over. 0.18” this morning. Looks like that will be our October total

It’s legitimately hot this afternoon. 83.5

81.3 and dry as a bone. Looks like tomorrow is our only chance of a measurable rainfall this month. This is going into flash drought territory

We picked up just 0.54” in June and had 5 days over 100… It’s been a year for extremes

5PM went with: 160 mph 926 mb Cat 5…

Looks Cat 5ish

Loving it but the fall food plots are taking a beating at the farm. Not even enough moisture for dew in mornings

El Niño didn’t work either

It looks increasingly likely we will finish with 0.00” in my backyard which would be the driest month (obviously) following the wettest month since I’ve lived at my house. Also, an entire month without rain?!?! I know mountain areas are happy without any additional flooding but I’ve gotta think with all the fuel laying on the ground we will have a substantial wildfire threat if this dry streak continues which there are no indications of it letting up

There are some very high end videos from Oscar in Cuba but I am not sure of their authenticity. Definitely seems to be some misinformation out there. I firmly believe this was likely a high end 2, low end 3 especially where that eastern eyewall came ashore due to satellite presentation, pinhole eye and radar plus the lighting that was ongoing through landfall suggesting a quickly strengthening system. Very unfortunate we didn’t get recon but this storm was strengthening quickly into landfall in my opinion. Will there be enough evidence with such a small core for the upgrade?

Man this storm screams underestimated. That sat/radar combination at landfall does not look like a cat 1

I think some people in the eyewall are going to be surprised