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Everything posted by Kmlwx
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The CU field to the west has grown. There are some cells forming - yes they could/likely will struggle - but if a storm manages to cook it could get quite strong. DCAPE is quite strong and in the 1100-1300 range.
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99.5 after touching 100.2! Dewpoint has fallen a smidge but it's still brutal out there at above 70.
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Was just going to post the same thing. The CU field looks to be agitating as they say.
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Wunderground website map shows a few PWSs right in my neighborhood that are 100+ (even 105!) Not sure I buy those...but maybe.
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Assuming a wayward cloud doesn't go overhead I think I can do triple digits today. Up to 98.2 - but that is back from my high of 99.0. Dew is still holding up in the 73-74 range.
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Right next to the house is NW Branch Stream Valley #4. Broke through and 96.8 now. Started off a bit lower this AM from the storms yesterday as well.
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I've gotten stuck around 95 IMBY. 95.5 now with a high today of 95.7 so far.
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93.6 actual 73.9 dewpoint HI: 103.8
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13 degrees up from the low here so far. (83.7 right now). Dewpoint is a soupy 76. However, my supposedly less accurate thermometer in the same general area is 3 degrees higher.
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CSU MLP is pretty enthusiastic about the damaging wind threat tomorrow - even today but of course mainly NW.
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And we did!
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High of 98.1 at the house. Dewpoint sitting in the mid 70s. Temp now down to 77.5 after the rain.
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Yeah I was noticing some mid-level lapse rates getting advected in on the GFS. Timing kind of sucked on a few runs though. Worth watching at a minimum.
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CSU MLP remains relatively interesting for next week.
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Raining - but really did fizzle a good bit before reaching me. Good to get some liquid though
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Honestly surprised MoCo isn't warned with how LWX usually warns (no offense!). Decent gusts (but subsevere) on the LWX radar.
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The further north that gets will probably get it into better shear as well. Some good wind velocity showing up on the LWX scans entering MoCo as well.
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Worth watching that Fairfax storm - velocity scans show it could evolve into something (albeit weak probably) if it keeps up with that look (TDCA scans)
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Some of these cells have echo tops at or above 55kft!
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Well for obs. I guess my point is - maybe they just didn't know that your username was also your location or a location at all. Just devil's advocate - don't mind me
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To be fair - some people probably haven't heard of Aldie or are aware that it it's a town.
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That Warrenton cell has a TON of lightning showing up on it.
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4x F-35 and 4x F-22 are scheduled to flyover the National Mall in DC at 7:45 tonight. Would be great to see it - wondering if they cancel this for storms.
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Echo tops are very respectable on that cell N of Culpeper. I think radar actually looks somewhat decent. Nothing super intense but at least it seems stuff is forming in a roughly linear shape - not just isolated pop ups.
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My eyes are on the stuff just N of CHO
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