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Kmlwx

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About Kmlwx

  • Birthday 09/14/1991

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KDCA
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Colesville, MD
  • Interests
    Meteorology, Packers, local crime news

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  1. Kmlwx
    Looking at the ensembles and other guidance, I do think if the overall 500mb pattern is true...we might get a shot at more NW flow-style severe events beyond the first week of August. While not perfect matches, I do see an similar angle to the 500mb flow from some of our notable severe events from the past.
  2. Kmlwx
    Meanwhile all the PEPCO hate from the 2000s and 2010s has largely faded. Their tree trimming program and preventive maintenance has been absurd the past 10 years or so. An event like yesterday in the earlier 2000s could have easily have 250K+ customers without power in the region.
  3. Kmlwx
    Looking ahead, the various AI guidance is pretty darn quiet (quieter than I've seen in a while) for the next 8+ days. Beyond that, we'll see. I know we have some heat lovers...but I personally am glad we are at least beyond the peak climo heat period in the area.
  4. Kmlwx
    Yeah I just saw that on PulsePoint! Power outage counts from BGE are surprisingly tame given that wind. Looks like some wires down on Patuxent Rd down near Woodwardville as well.
  5. Kmlwx
    Heck yeah it was! Those winds were impressive. And then the area of rotation went right over us! You have any damage? I don't see any from the windows but the power was flickering a ton. I wonder how the Waugh Chapel Substation fared.
  6. Kmlwx
    There might be something trying to form near Ashton/Cloverly in MoCo. Seems like a bow trying to get a notch.
  7. Kmlwx
    The terminal radars are going to be very useful as always during this. We are VERY spoiled by having this sort of radar coverage in our region. TDCA has an intense wind signature showing up in MoCo just N of Gaithersburg. It might be trying to form a little "notch" too.
  8. Kmlwx
    That always shows up during precipitation/storms
  9. Kmlwx
    LWX going with the mega warnings
  10. Kmlwx
    Mesoanalysis hail parameters have been increasing the past few hours as well. Matches up with the hail portions of the warnings ramping up.
  11. Kmlwx
    Saving the most meh for last!
  12. Kmlwx
    ESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1780 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1108 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...MARYLAND CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 281608Z - 281815Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...SEVERE POTENTIAL TO INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DISCUSSION...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS ONGOING WITHIN THE WARM AIR ADVECTION ZONE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC INTO NEW ENGLAND. MID-LEVEL CLOUD COVER IS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION, WHICH IS LIMITING HEATING AND DESTABILIZATION. NONETHELESS, A FEW AREAS OF MORE BROKEN CLOUD COVER HAS ALLOWED FOR FILTERED HEATING , WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO 80S ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE. STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL FLOW IS CONTRIBUTING TO STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 30-45 KTS ACROSS THE REGION. AS FORCING FOR ASCENT INCREASES AND THE COLD FRONT TO WEST SHIFTS EASTWARD, THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY NEAR AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. PRIMARY RISKS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND BUT A FEW TRANSIENT SUPERCELLS MAY POSE POTENTIAL FOR A TORNADO. ..THORNTON/HART.. 07/28/2026 ..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...PBZ...
  13. Kmlwx
    La Plata UH track maximum....
  14. Kmlwx
    That being said...satellite doesn't look as bad as I thought it would a few hours ago
  15. Kmlwx
    The 0z CSU guidance has a large area of 30% now as well. So that has upticked. Though the usefulness of the AI guidance is probably less on the day of.
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