Kmlwx
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About Kmlwx
- Birthday 09/14/1991
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I'll be out of town on Saturday (still in the slight, but still) - so I expect a massive severe line to wipe out the DC area.
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Yep - it’s always the most likely scenario when outlooked that far out. Things will almost always trend earlier or later and either direction can of course be worse for timing.
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If we are going by weenie superstitions that is a kiss of death.
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The 12z GFS was very robust to our north with the EML plume middle of next week. It's focused up into PA but it's been jumping around a lot and varying in intensity the past handful of runs. This is the most impressive I've seen it depicted to this point. Large area of 8+ values up in PA. It then gets shunted off the coast without really getting across the M/D line (actually kind of comical how it kind of just stops at the border). This will be the thing to watch for severe chances next week.
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@vortex95 - It sure looked like it had a bit of the "supercellular look" looking west from Odenton. Sadly didn't get any pictures - heck of a storm once it got to Odenton, though. Some shutters were torn off the condo building!
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Not saying it will happen, but every now and then a lower parameter day will surprise and out perform the prior day. Always fun because it just goes to prove microscale stuff sometimes just says F known science and does its own thing!
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Could go either way. There will be storms... Just not sure the severity. CSU still likes today.
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Really interesting storm movement yesterday too!
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This will be tough with the iterations of drone regulations happening the past few years. Especially in the DC/Baltimore region (and even extending to Southern Maryland, and down to Virginia Beach. Some of the most heavily regulated air space in the world exists here - and the concentration of major military installations contributes of course. Between JB Andrews, the SFRA around DC, Pax River down in Southern Maryland, and one of our biggest naval areas down in Norfolk - any mass drone event probably would be a tough sell.
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Well - for us weather weenies - we either can read velocity/radar or follow people that can. So I feel like we almost gauge severity on a scale that average Joe doesn't
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Sub-severe so far in Odenton despite being under warnings. Still nice to get a bunch of good thunder though - and some cooling rain.
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WoFS is spectacular! Insane how far modeling as come over the years!
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Andddd the USAF fighters were nuts. Probably not going to see a concentrated air power demo before my time on this Earth runs out lol.
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AFSOC was even better.
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They went straight over me hauling ass and banking slightly to exit the city. Insane.
