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Kmlwx

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About Kmlwx

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KDCA
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Colesville, MD
  • Interests
    Meteorology, Packers, local crime news

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  1. Kmlwx
    Plenty of lightning right on top of that signature as well.
  2. Kmlwx
  3. Kmlwx
    Maybe a downburst signature right around North Potomac or a hair NE of there? Probably sub-severe at least at this second but seems to be intensifying
  4. Kmlwx
    Maybe trying to cycle back up a bit - doubt it will get back to as intense as it was - but more lightning near Gaithersburg on the last update.
  5. Kmlwx
    Taking forever to come south and east
  6. Kmlwx
    Watching that Frederick/Montgomery cell for me (in Colesville tonight). Might miss me to the north but it does seem to be having a tendency to come south.
  7. Kmlwx
    Two things that can work in our favor for severe weather later in the season are more robust mid-latitude systems producing better dynamics and of course tropical systems. I am pretty doubtful we'll get tropical impacts this year - but certainly the first factor could play into it. September 24, 2001 comes to mind as a clear cut example of fall severe events here. Get a robust shortwave or closed H5 low and weird things can happen. Even as late as November we can get a super dynamic system (the type where the storms come up form the SW to the NE instead of NW to SE and give us brief spin ups and damaging wind along a squall line. ETA: And don't forget those weird January/February events we've seemingly seen a few of over the past decade or so where we get a random slight or enhanced to cover some weird cold season dynamic event.
  8. Kmlwx
    That sure looks like a supercell for Loudoun
  9. Kmlwx
    Qdoba > Chipotle
  10. Kmlwx
    Crapvection around now
  11. Kmlwx
    Not saying this hasn't been the case in prior years - but this year seemingly has been significant in terms of distance between CAM solutions even up to the morning of events.
  12. Kmlwx
    The pattern continues as well with me being in the office tomorrow...always.
  13. Kmlwx
    NAM nest sends pretty robust UH tracks over the area tomorrow.
  14. Kmlwx
    So far this is matching HRRR that did show that "bow" but if you looked at the wind gust product on those runs - there was almost no severe wind with it.
  15. Kmlwx
    Good demonstration of how more resolution is not always automatically "better." There's probably a "happy medium" where errors can be smoothed while still having good resolution...but I imagine if we had like 0.25km resolution models it would be chaotic at best. Until better computing comes along I guess.
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