Kmlwx

Was just coming here to post this! Big changes from even just a few days ago

Yes sir

I will say this - I agree it is probably dead for the metro area(s). Sure, coastal/eastern sections are still in the game. But one huge caveat here...I know with remote sensing the whole "data sparse regions" argument is less valid - however, when we are dealing with some pretty small scale changes that can make big changes, I would probably at least mentally keep one eye on this until the s/w hits the west coast and the energy up in Canada (which is a mess of stuff flying around) is sampled/resolved better. I don't think it's going to make any huge shifts...but there might be a point where it gives us a little glimmer of hope here in the DC/Baltimore areas. Again...I think this is probably not the one for us here in the corridor...but just saying - there is still some data to be sampled by the upper air network that *might* contribute to changes. But as I said above - the ensembles all still look pretty solid into February. If the blocking really does recycle - we will probably get another chance or two to make bank. There are absolutely NO guarantees in this. I'm sure @Maestrobjwa will confirm this at this point. Nobody is "owed" snow. If it happens, it happens...if it doesn't, well it doesn't.

We are probably going to have to wait for the blocking to reload/recycle for our next big dog threat (if there is one). In the interim - we probably need to keep our eyes out for a snow pack refresher that shows up at short leads - like a northern stream system that drops an inch or two. Good news is the ensembles still look pretty solid going into February in terms of the blocking reload.

I think we got it

Got up to a balmy 28.6 before falling back to 27.3 now. Sun is doing some good work on spots that I shoveled. Still a heck of a lot of shoveling to go....

If I'm nitpicking...that WeatherNext model is a bit too offshore. I know it shows digital blue over us - but it is a good ways out to seat on that plot. We'll see how this week of model tracking pans out!

Yeah this airmass is anomalous to say the least!

All I'm hearing is next weekend is the appetizer if we can will it back into place like the 18z Euro showed

I know we all love to say it - but can you imagine if this QPF firehose was entirely snow. Man...it would be snowing cats and dogs...

I only have some limited video with a very bad quality camcorder I took during the Feb 2007 storm. But this is wild the amount of sleet pouring out of the sky. At my high of the day at 22.5 and it's been creeping up. I am NOT expecting to touch/exceed 32 but still worth monitoring. Let's hope this stays IP and doesn't go to ZR... Crazy stuff out there - even if it wasn't a "clean" snowstorm for us - the science nerd in me is fascinated by this type of storm. It's rare! Usually sleet is just a stop in the transition to rain for us. Seldom do we just dump sleet for hours on end like this. Arctic airmass doing arctic airmass things!

The amount of sleet between shoveling sessions is pretty incredible. Good workout if nothing else....

At my high of the day in Colesville (19.9 degrees) - still major sleet falling.

Radar looking a bit more splotchy recently. Definitely a sleet bomb out there for sure.

Plenty of time for it to be in Chicago by later in the week!