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Kmlwx

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About Kmlwx

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KDCA
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Colesville, MD
  • Interests
    Meteorology, Packers, local crime news

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  1. Kmlwx
    The 0z HRRR is pretty much a dud the rest of the night.
  2. Kmlwx
    Mesoanalysis show a minimum of CAPE over most of the region. I just wonder if between the MLLR to the west potentially advecting in, and any "recovery" from any other processes overnight could sustain convection into our area. But judging my CAPE alone - it seems we are cooked for surface based activity. Perhaps the MLLR and better forcing and maybe if there's a cold pool fro the activity to the west could sustain covection. Lots of question marks.
  3. Kmlwx
    Seems like a mixture of both.
  4. Kmlwx
    HRRR fires storms in the 3am timeframe.
  5. Kmlwx
    It honestly might miss MBY to the north - but yes it looks fierce!
  6. Kmlwx
    Torrential rain with the MoCo cell that just went through. Nothing noteworthy otherwise. Thinking that if the next line holds up and doens't run out of gas it will be more intense.
  7. Kmlwx
    The northern cell is still the more intense one it seems like. We'll see how this goes once they get some distance between each other.
  8. Kmlwx
    Definitely not as intense but it definitely is a clean split now on radar!
  9. Kmlwx
    The Loudoun cell looks like it might be splitting or bowing out.
  10. Kmlwx
    I thought they might go higher on the hail in that MCD. Still seems like they are a bit uncertain about the ultimate outcome.
  11. Kmlwx
    Clouds are moving in from the west. That could be a wrinkle to things...or it could provide a focus for activity perhaps.
  12. Kmlwx
    No changes for our area on the 1630z SPC D1 outlook. I guess SPC still has big questions about initiation and coverage. The subsequent HRRR runs will be interesting to see if they keep that trend of convecting in that afternoon timeframe.
  13. Kmlwx
    My gut feeling says no with so many funding cuts. But we are the DC area...so who knows. The more boundaries the merrier! Shows clear as day on LWX coming south.
  14. Kmlwx
    It's definitely fueled up out there. Would be a good day for a special 18z sounding... Sitting at 84 degrees and dew of 74ish but I think it's running a bit high. It's been bouncing between 72 and 75 on my PWS.
  15. Kmlwx
    Also of note - overnight CSU MLP wind graphic put the red over us.
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