Jump to content

ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    90,911

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    Hoping this band holds together
  2. ORH_wxman
    The sound of crappy snow growth. I feel like every storm in ‘07-08 during those SWFEs sounded like that. Like 9 to 1 baking powder falling from the sky. It’s great for building pack though since it’s kind of dense even though it’s dry/powdery.
  3. ORH_wxman
    Yeah I think some people got sucked into the idea of a marginal threat prior to 1/3 or so….that’s prob where some of the whining is coming from. The ensembles look gangbusters still beyond that so don’t see anything that screams red flags for January.
  4. ORH_wxman
    Def fighting dry air in SNE but some decent bands N of pike at the moment
  5. ORH_wxman
    Woodstove has eaten a lot of wood over the past couple days. When it’s colder out, you really gotta keep that internal stove temp up and when it’s that hot inside the stove, the wood almost vaporizes as you put it in, lol.
  6. ORH_wxman
    2nd week of January is quite the cold signal on the weeklies today…keep in mind this is a 5-day mean
  7. ORH_wxman
    Could be a random storm signal, agreed. But it’s strange how different it is. Pretty good agreement on MJO going into phase 8 after new years so I think you would no longer have destructive interference so the pattern reverting back to something favorable would make sense.
  8. ORH_wxman
    GEFS vs EPS for January 3rd
  9. ORH_wxman
    Western trough has been underestimated many times in the last few years. So far this year though it’s been fairly tame so we’ll see. 12z OP Euro still not buying it. Has a huge ridge out there in early January. We’ll see what ensembles say.
  10. ORH_wxman
    Almost a 2F step change in July after what looks like a very slow drift down before that (which may or may not just be an artifact of local mesonets coming online…but usually a prolonged drift is not from new mesonets.)
  11. ORH_wxman
    There’s a bit of a model battle. GEFS have diverged decently for the first week of January (really the first 4-5 days) It’s hitting the deeper troughing out west which will keep us much milder and prob at least one cutter. Maybe a couple. EPS not buying that idea. Keeps the warmer look to mostly pre-New Years.
  12. ORH_wxman
    How long has it been that bad? Even the very very lenient “within 2F” margin they use on calibration would fail miserably. Cant imagine why it hasn’t been axed and replaced yet.
  13. ORH_wxman
    That was a good storm with a solid 6-10” front ender…really nasty cold tuck with ice all the way into BOS and SE MA the next morning. Eventually we all warm sectored though in SNE except maybe the deep valleys near Hippy/Your old neck of the woods and N ORH county.
  14. ORH_wxman
    Sunset looked nice tonight behind the ridge line with the snow and lights. Grabbed this pic around 4:30.
  15. ORH_wxman
    Yeah it’s been kicked down into South America. That period between Jan 3-6 looks really ripe at least.
  16. ORH_wxman
    Very little cold air for that new years threat so it will be marginal and likely favor NNE and/or interior.
  17. ORH_wxman
    EPS 11-15 day composite. That’s pretty classic…even with a little STJ involvement for once as others have pointed out. Potential and verification are two different things though. Hopefully it produces.
  18. ORH_wxman
    Was in Boston last night and even though I already knew they did well in the storm, it still surprised me somewhat to see how much snow they had. I guess 2-3 years of them getting skunked has started to numb me…I always expect the snow to disappear once inside 128 but it got meatier and meatier. Looked and felt like deep winter there. Great to see during the lead up to Xmas.
  19. ORH_wxman
    I guess maybe. I don’t really make a distinction between a coating and an inch at 20 or 25 to 1 ratios…other than statistics on the seasonal snow totals. It could easily just dry out and be a couple hundredths. If we were getting widespread 0.1-0.2” QPF it would be more interesting.
  20. ORH_wxman
    Looks paltry for SNE. It has a little more QPF than other guidance but we’re still talking under a tenth.
  21. ORH_wxman
    Only 13 days to go! The longwave look is quite nice though for that period in the Jan 3-5 range. So we could def cook something up there.
  22. ORH_wxman
    Not bad. That might be the high today…maybe another degree but hard to get more diurnal warming after 1pm near the solstice. BOS will miss their record low max by only a degree or two today. More snow OTG than in 1989 though…
  23. ORH_wxman
    Nice band over mid cape
  24. ORH_wxman
    I could see N ORH county doing better than most in SNE but for the majority it’s a few flakes to maybe a coating.
  25. ORH_wxman
    Might get some brief LL convergence too overnight near the canal. If that happens, could be a brief time of enhancement. Pretty cool that a good chunk of the Cape is gonna get their second white Xmas in 3 years. Many on the cape (including my aunt and mom’s place in Yarmouth) had OES on SW flow overnight into Xmas morning in 2022.
×
×
  • Create New...