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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    1.5”
  2. ORH_wxman
    Def heavy now. No doubt, even in the dark.
  3. ORH_wxman
    Starting to really nuke now in this. We’re borderline heavy (little tougher to tell vis at night). Radar looks excellent for a lot of people right now.
  4. ORH_wxman
    Moderate snow with excellent snow growth right now
  5. ORH_wxman
    Incoming for @Ginx snewx
  6. ORH_wxman
    Really starting to get steadier and heavier. Wouldn’t call it moderate yet but it’s right there. Def 3/4 type stuff.
  7. ORH_wxman
    Seems a little pessimistic looking at verification right now.
  8. ORH_wxman
    Bryce got into Dad’s scotch.
  9. ORH_wxman
    Weenie flakes here.
  10. ORH_wxman
    This won’t have near the duration of ‘78 either.
  11. ORH_wxman
    MAUL means “Moist Absolutely Unstable Layer”….it is usually an area of steep lapse rates aloft that can enhance upward lift (like in a thunderstorm)….its why Scooter was joking about an EML getting advected in aloft. When you see that, it increases the chances of thundersnow and very heavy rates.
  12. ORH_wxman
    GFS did its job. Gave us 7 great innings, but it’s gassed now. Bullpen (mesos) can bring this one home.
  13. ORH_wxman
    That 3k NAM was ridiculous. Not a whole lot left to analyze.
  14. ORH_wxman
    Dude’s been chasing thundersnow for 30 years now, lol….i still remember his first one in ORH in Dec 1996.
  15. ORH_wxman
    Interior SE MA is my vegas bet for the jackpot but can’t rule out either upper cape or maybe further northeast on the coast near Scooter….upper cape is warmer but if they get more prolonged convective snows than elsewhere, it might not matter.
  16. ORH_wxman
    South shore anywhere from very upper cape to interior SE MA is def gonna be the regional jackpot. There will be another smaller jackpot out further northwest where the pivot point is…don’t know exactly where yet.
  17. ORH_wxman
    Maybe 4-8” and lots of wind.
  18. ORH_wxman
    Yep…5-8am…maybe as early as 4am for far SE MA…is when the convective stuff rips into eastern MA.
  19. ORH_wxman
    Imagine if you had a place to go that was going to get 3"+ of qpf and 70+ mph wins? That would be something We’re gonna be ribbing MPM for years if he buys a place in Mattapoisett and then misses a top 3-5 storm there all time.
  20. ORH_wxman
    That arc of convection getting entrained very early tomorrow over SE MA is gonna be crazy. That’s where we could see thundersnow and the rates getting over 3”+ per hour.
  21. ORH_wxman
    Looks a tick east of 06z early on. Though 06z was pretty crazy tucked down south.
  22. ORH_wxman
    You prob don’t want the rotting band if you’re in SE areas because you don’t want to miss the convection t being entrained into the CCB. They’ll be a relative jackpot west with wherever the band pivots but there will be another with the Firehose of convective snows hitting SE areas…they’ll get their own bands taking their time to leave later in the storm too, but the stuff very early tomorrow morning could be epic there.
  23. ORH_wxman
    It’s a definite possibility if we end up training convection into the CCB. Some of the models have that April ‘97 look with that feature.
  24. ORH_wxman
    Yeah it’s felt like a classic New England winter…which is really more typical of northern New England hill towns. But it’s nice when they happen down here too which we had been in a recent drought on them.
  25. ORH_wxman
    Lol yeah I didn’t get to respond in time. You get a pack fetish once it starts getting to those possible levels.
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