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ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. I’m just messing around. I don’t care if you’re worried about it. I honestly don’t think it’s worth getting worried about though this early. It’s a first world problem anyway….we could be staring at nothing on the horizon as an alternative like the last few years.
  2. Ray is already thinking about Coke streamers on Cape Ann while he chokes on exhaust so it’s throwing him on tilt.
  3. Hopefully all the air being drawn in through the bellows of your accordion causes perfect phasing out west and produces a couple feet here.
  4. Yeah he’ll go “meh” if it shows 6-10” for him while SE is 10-14” but then just go absolutely wild with pages and pages of posts if mesos are showing a little N ORH county jack on a 2” paste event while everyone else is getting nothing or coatings.
  5. I think he’s more excited for 1-3” tonight than the Sunday/Monday storm
  6. It could prob come far enough north to cause mixing in SNE but I don’t think this could ever become a true cutter with that type of confluence to the north and northeast. You have blocking in the Atlantic side albeit not excessive, but that puts a cap on this…add in the fact that it’s a true arctic airmass, that also plays a role
  7. Getting his mojo back after Jan 18-19. He was put through the wringer the last 4 years.
  8. All joking aside there’s gonna be good enhancement on the coast with such a frigid airmass in place.
  9. Euro Skynet goes wild and bombs the secondary S of LI/BID
  10. Here’s EPS….doesnt really capture all of it though since it’s longer than 24h
  11. Way better look at h5 though with significant phasing out west. It kind of squirts just a little east at the end but it’s a much higher end look a couple panels before that.
  12. Yeah it’s clown range NAM but that looked pretty ominous with all that energy coming together out west. This is one of those rare times we’re rooting for more phasing out west.
  13. That’s gonna be a tough pill to swallow if he gets 9” and ASH is putting up a 10 burger.
  14. Maybe we can organize one for later this week if the threat keeps escalating….once we’re in NAM range. Start the show at 9-930 and go for a couple hours.
  15. Yep. Last one I did I think was Jan 2016. I’m not sure we’ve had one since then. Usually had to be Mid-Atlantic big time threat and we haven’t had a huge one since then. I always thought we should do New England ones but not that we’ve had much to track the last few years.
  16. Wes Junker would come on too. I think RaleighWx came on once or twice too.
  17. Yeah it’s capturing the sfc at 144 and redeveloping significant precip over New England. Even into NNE
  18. We'll need good northern stream involvement with that late phase-in of extra energy to get blizzard into the equation (kind of like what CMC shows)....otherwise I'm not seeing the wind criteria. We need to get that sfc low a lot closer to tighten the pressure gradient.
  19. Now there are zero OP models that cleanly whiff SNE. 18z GFS is still kind of a cruddy solution that would prob be about 1-3" of arctic sand (except for the coke streamers on the south shore and Cape Ann), but it's a pretty hefty bump north.
  20. I"m not sure why they don't adjust it....they have the ability to manually augment the precip if they think under catching is occurring. I agree those are definitely incorrect precip totals.
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