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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    Gonna be a miller B while you’re gone just to give you one more round in Ray’s beast shed.
  2. ORH_wxman
    I also don’t think the accretion will be overly efficient in this type of setup. When the cold layer is so shallow like this, the liquid drops are not as supercooled so they won’t freeze as quickly on contact. In icing events where we have robust cold up into the 925-950 layer, that’s when the accretion is usually much more efficient. It prob will start pretty icy but then then it will get pretty marginal.
  3. ORH_wxman
    -2 at AFN while ORH is 20F. About as fake as it gets, lol. But there will def be some stubborn cold overnight tonight that will cause icy spots.
  4. ORH_wxman
    Looks too flat now for much if anything. Maybe it comes back but I’d forecast flurries right now. Pattern looks pretty awesome though beyond that. Here’s day 5-10 and then day 10-15 respectively on EPS
  5. ORH_wxman
    Lock in big miller B for that 1/5-1/6 signal.
  6. ORH_wxman
    Where you going?
  7. ORH_wxman
    That’s not a particularly cold pattern shown with the lower heights over AK but it’s not a torch for us either because of NAO blocking. It’s occurring during a favorable climatological period too where the averages are already pretty cold. Weeklies have been rebuilding the WPO/EPO ridge after that though which would bring more reinforcing cold air if it verified.
  8. ORH_wxman
    Pretty decent pattern as we go into early January. This is a 5 day mean from EPS….note how all the lower heights are now down south. Going to be more receptive to potential coastal storms
  9. ORH_wxman
    Actually not in Holliston right now, lol. But it looked pretty good there on radar for a while so I’m guessing 4-5”?
  10. ORH_wxman
    They managed to slowly claw their way to 4”+ with additional redevelopment late evening….wasnt pretty and the best was north, but that allowed the event to still be decent there.
  11. ORH_wxman
    Def starting to lose the really dynamic lift from earlier. Radar becoming more banded/less organized. Still snowing well with good ratios but not the heavy stuff from earlier
  12. ORH_wxman
    As currently shown it is NY day into that evening.
  13. ORH_wxman
    00z GFS trying to redevelop a little clipper to out south for New Years. Would be a nice little advisory type event. Well see if other guidance starts latching on. 18z euro was kind of close but not quite able to turn that vort around the base of trough.
  14. ORH_wxman
    Incoming for you…band in metrowest is strengthening
  15. ORH_wxman
    It’s also weenie kuchera ratios. Post liquid equivalent instead. It’s all snow everywhere in SNE so we don’t need clown maps.
  16. ORH_wxman
    ORH now at 1/4 heavy snow. These bands aren’t as crazy as the CT stuff but they are still pretty solid
  17. ORH_wxman
    BID reporting thunder
  18. ORH_wxman
    Incoming for @Ginx snewx
  19. ORH_wxman
    Incoming for Kevin
  20. ORH_wxman
    2015 too. Haven’t had many in the teens since. Jan 4, 2018 was pretty cold too but not in the teens the entire time. But that’s not surprising considering how warm the last 5 winters have been.
  21. ORH_wxman
    Been awhile since I’ve seen such a cold storm on the south coast.
  22. ORH_wxman
    Can’t be too long for Kevin if he hasn’t started already. Brainard at HFD quickly went to 1/2 mile moderate.
  23. ORH_wxman
    Yep. Lots of icy/rimey sleet mixed in near NYC and the most organized bands are a bit north (or even east on LI)…11th hour rug pulls are the worst. But their loss is your gain and many others to the north.
  24. ORH_wxman
    Absolute poundage in New Haven county and prob into Litchfield county
  25. ORH_wxman
    Yeah there’s a lot of resistance as it tries to go east but it will start there soon. Prob by 745-8
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