ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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Yeah it has been shown for a while that we weren’t going to just shoot into Morch 2012 or 2010. Hopefully it’s not a bunch of close calls and cold rainers. Either warm up or give us a couple big storms out of it.
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About the only thing the 34F rain was effective at yesterday afternoon was getting rid of the thin layer of ice on the sidewalks. I did put a bit of salt down last night though because I knew refreezing would be awful.
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About 30-31”.
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All bass, no treble. Not sure I’ve seen snow look like this when I haven’t cracked 6” in an event this season
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Solidly below normal for snowfall so far. But retention has been good. Been continuous snow cover save for 2 days since 1/11 plus had a decent stretch in December with cover (including Xmas)….snowfall is a D for a grade so far but retention and temps bring the overall grade up some.
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Yeah this thing really never got inside D5. I mentioned that to Ray yesterday on how the discourse was pretty insane for 156 hour model solutions. I get that there was cross-model agreement but it’s still like D7, lol. It could have come back after slipping over the weekend but the time for that was probably yesterday.
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Legit obs here KORH 171354Z 29040G59KT 10SM OVC027 M07/M12 A2939 RMK AO2 PK WND 28059/1353 SNE40 SLP964 P0000 T10671122 $
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This type of airmass is hard to dislodge in February especially. You’ve had decent cryospheric build-up all winter and now you are gonna try to run this low into Canada…not gonna happen that easily. The little messenger tickles in the secondary reflection weren’t too surprising.
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You did sneak to 33F right? You were getting plain rain for a while. But you didn’t lose any pack like I predicted.
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Rockport MA 27F with northeast wind. Man front.
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Temp dropping quickly now. Down to 30F.
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You can tell he was just waiting for one of those winters where nothing melts there with tons of upslope while we’re for long stretches…and then when it does precipitate for us, it’s ptype issues everywhere.
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CF looks like it’s accelerating down 495 now and about to cross SE of it near Boxborough/Berlin
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Def worth watching down there.
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Def near 495 right now
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Don’t see it. A few flakes maybe for N ORH County down to NW CT…upslope spots in Berkshires could pick up a bit of accumulation. But really nothing east of those areas. I guess a few flurries later this evening could happen.
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2010 was pretty bad for that. We had two busts in Mar 2018 as well but that pattern was so good we scored 2 monsters anyway.
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Midlevels and aloft look kind of interesting for SE areas anyway. If we can tighten up the low level baroclinic zone a little, might have something.
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Looks like it’s dropped all the way through pepperell and about to go through Groton in MA.
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18z NAM still trying to look threatening in clown range. Don’t think the 20-burger runs are returning but a decent hit for SE zones is well within play imho.
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At least it looks like the heaviest stuff is just about over there.
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Warm front over LI sound right now.
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34 and rain. Worst kind of weather to be outside in. At least it’s not really melting anything except maybe some of the ice on the driveway…a little bit anyway.
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Mean is getting some realistic QPF into SE zones despite good agreement on the southeast position of the lows…prob some decent upper air support like a pseudo-IVT
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Despite the drizzle and rain at 33F-34F went outside and the snow still has a very sleety/icy crust on it. Not really that mushy on top yet. This stuff is gonna be ridiculous after the refreeze tonight.
