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ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. Starting to really nuke now in this. We’re borderline heavy (little tougher to tell vis at night). Radar looks excellent for a lot of people right now.
  2. Really starting to get steadier and heavier. Wouldn’t call it moderate yet but it’s right there. Def 3/4 type stuff.
  3. Seems a little pessimistic looking at verification right now.
  4. This won’t have near the duration of ‘78 either.
  5. MAUL means “Moist Absolutely Unstable Layer”….it is usually an area of steep lapse rates aloft that can enhance upward lift (like in a thunderstorm)….its why Scooter was joking about an EML getting advected in aloft. When you see that, it increases the chances of thundersnow and very heavy rates.
  6. GFS did its job. Gave us 7 great innings, but it’s gassed now. Bullpen (mesos) can bring this one home.
  7. That 3k NAM was ridiculous. Not a whole lot left to analyze.
  8. Dude’s been chasing thundersnow for 30 years now, lol….i still remember his first one in ORH in Dec 1996.
  9. Interior SE MA is my vegas bet for the jackpot but can’t rule out either upper cape or maybe further northeast on the coast near Scooter….upper cape is warmer but if they get more prolonged convective snows than elsewhere, it might not matter.
  10. South shore anywhere from very upper cape to interior SE MA is def gonna be the regional jackpot. There will be another smaller jackpot out further northwest where the pivot point is…don’t know exactly where yet.
  11. Yep…5-8am…maybe as early as 4am for far SE MA…is when the convective stuff rips into eastern MA.
  12. Imagine if you had a place to go that was going to get 3"+ of qpf and 70+ mph wins? That would be something We’re gonna be ribbing MPM for years if he buys a place in Mattapoisett and then misses a top 3-5 storm there all time.
  13. That arc of convection getting entrained very early tomorrow over SE MA is gonna be crazy. That’s where we could see thundersnow and the rates getting over 3”+ per hour.
  14. Looks a tick east of 06z early on. Though 06z was pretty crazy tucked down south.
  15. You prob don’t want the rotting band if you’re in SE areas because you don’t want to miss the convection t being entrained into the CCB. They’ll be a relative jackpot west with wherever the band pivots but there will be another with the Firehose of convective snows hitting SE areas…they’ll get their own bands taking their time to leave later in the storm too, but the stuff very early tomorrow morning could be epic there.
  16. It’s a definite possibility if we end up training convection into the CCB. Some of the models have that April ‘97 look with that feature.
  17. Yeah it’s felt like a classic New England winter…which is really more typical of northern New England hill towns. But it’s nice when they happen down here too which we had been in a recent drought on them.
  18. Lol yeah I didn’t get to respond in time. You get a pack fetish once it starts getting to those possible levels.
  19. Nice fatties falling for the past 20 min. Driveway and walk coated back up.
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