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ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. Only mid range OP model that did well was the Canadian. It pretty consistently was getting advisory type snowfalls across most of SNE/CNE.
  2. The irony is, in the past few winters, how often did we NOT want a piece of the TPV to phase with a central/western trough but it would do it anyway? Now we want it…let’s hope it happens this time.
  3. Regular EPS improved some too. Does get light snows into SNE for the mean, which likely means there are a few bigger hits and plenty of whiffs.
  4. Yes it was. You’d go moderate to heavy for a few minutes and back to light and then rinse and repeat a few times.
  5. Need that vort energy in Wisconsin/Iowa to phase a little more with the southwest stuff before it moves east. Started doing that this run but not enough except for very light stuff into SNE.
  6. GEFS def came north a bit from 06z. There’s some hits in there now while 06z had almost unanimous whiffs. The risk is obviously suppression on this but it’s far from a done deal. PV is crazy cold with the press but it’s also moving NE with time and we don’t have quite the crazy exotic west based block like a Feb 2010…EPS is more bullish on the blocking which has kind of been a theme this winter
  7. Next weekend is a great setup for Scooter down to @amarshall to get Coke line steamers from frigid onshore flow.
  8. We def beat 10 to 1 ratios too. So I doubt there was a QPF bust. If I melted it down I’m guessing 4 tenths or maybe a bit more.
  9. Looks like our nice IVT stuff is ending. Just some flurries out there now. 6.2 will do it I think for the storm total.
  10. Nickels and quarters falling here. This is that good growth IVT stuff. Can get some sneaky additional accumulation.
  11. Yeah I was looking at 06z which was pretty ugly. Obviously that doesn’t mean the threat is gone but it truly is basically AI and Ukie versus other guidance right now.
  12. GEFS didn’t show anything for the overrunning setup. They were suppressed.
  13. Eyeballing 6” here but will measure in a bit. What a scene. Coming down pretty good in this IVT stuff.
  14. Yeah at least everywhere had some success this weekend out of all the waves. CT and C/W MA really cashed in yesterday and today the eastern folks are overperforming relative to expectations 12 hours ago.
  15. There’s more back building over the interior now…it won’t be as intense as the stuff in the last 2 hours, but it’s that high ratio fluff that can add a sneaky inch or two
  16. Some of those soundings showing awesome growth at times late this evening seemed to be correct. Definitely getting really efficient stacking for a while now. Snow is slowly getting drier too so that helps. Just creeped below 30F.
  17. Go wake your dad up and tell him he’s missing the best band of the winter, lol Pretty solid here so far. Passed 4”
  18. Yeah Cape getting slugged with a good paste storm will lock in a pack even down there.
  19. Getting nuked in this. Easily 4”+ now. Lots of nickels falling in this band
  20. Wow just did a check and we’re almost 4” now. Really stacked up good in the last hour. Growth is excellent right now in this band. Temp down to 30F
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