ORH_wxman

Next and into early January looks pretty ugly. We’ll see as we get closer if it ends up being more like 30s/40s for resorts vs 50s but not looking good after 12/28 for probably at least a week.

Yeah there’s really no way to tell without doing a deep analysis and unfortunately the coop data from the Cape isn’t that great. My guess is somewhere has gotten a foot before at some point but it probably wasn’t recorded at an official site. Hard to get much more than that unless everything was ridiculously perfect for days. We know there been 24”+ events when you include NORLUN events there that were enhanced by OES…but pure OES is a much tougher thing.

Yeah we were discussing in the storm thread before it happened that as we got closer, it was clear that it wouldn’t be a pack destroyer for the ski resorts. It was nothing like the 2020 destroyer.

Looks like it’s clipping S RI beaches too

Nice streamer right into your hood

Steamer is lifting north into the cape right now

Where were you living during that? ASH area? They had around 20” there down to Tip’s area in Ayer/Bolton/. We had a little less in ORH at 18” but still ridiculous. The moment i felt a huge bust is when all that yellow and Orange on radar reached us and it wasn’t sleet. BDL had been reporting sleet the prior hour. I assumed the entire time we were about to flip to sleet as it got closer and closer and being happy that we already “banked” like 4-5” for a white Xmas but then it just went insane. 5-6” per hour for prob 90 minute period and then 3” per hour for another hour on the backside of that.

Yeah I’m somewhat optimistic looking at the N PAC near end of ensembles. I won’t be expecting flipping to deep winter around here though very quickly. Canada is still pretty warm when we start rebuilding the western ridge so we’ll be dealing with some marginal airmasses most likely initially. But early to mid January isn’t the worst time to try and deal with more modified polar airmasses.

Yeah double edged sword when discussing LES and climate warming. You keep lake erie unfrozen more often but you also have fewer arctic airmasses.

That is partly the reason the AK pig is transient. Tropical forcing will be somewhat favorable heading into the post-Jan 5th period.

Here’s the top two warmest for BOS in the first week

Gonna be pretty hard to beat out 2007 for the first week.

That’s awesome for them. Currier and Ives fluff on Xmas Eve that amounts to warning totals.

Awesome. That’s the best…getting the unexpected white Christmas from a squall that sort of stalled over your area. Still going too

And his friend in Lunenburg

Almost a streamer going into the MA/NH border region

Someone in N ORH county is gonna get advisory snow out of that. Those heavy bands are almost training over Hubbdave’s area to Westminster/Gardner/FIT/Lunenburg FIT airport might just be missing it south but it looks like they are about to get it good

Solid squall lines

They are getting hit good in N ORH county right now. White Xmas saved there.

The craziest thing about that is it looked so lame aloft. Obviously there was a reason models weren’t spitting out much. Though there was one met (I want to say it was Kevin Lemanowicz but it could have been someone else) that came on at 11pm the night before and said something like “there’s one model that went nuts just now and is giving a much bigger snow event for the interior….but it’s an outlier so I’m tossing it out” and he was holding the paper (prob from old difax machine) in his hand and crumpled it up and tossed it off the screen, LOL. But other than that one reference, there was zero indication that the storm would be what it was.

See if there is a back door you can walk out.

ORH finally hit 50 knots last hour. First round was pretty lame inland around here but the second pulse has been stronger. I can hear it a lot more too just from an anecdotal standpoint.

Yes that is def an anomaly but it was a potent Niña. Mostly got skunked until mid January 1956. But the real stuff didn’t really happen until Feb/Mar. Mar ‘56 is locally around my area one of the most epic months you’ll see. Over 50” that month after a prolific Feb. Snow depths over 40”. Mar ‘56 had no torches either.

That’s amazing for that pit.

2012-2013 is another example…interior had some snow events in December but the coast was totally hosed until February. There were tons of melts in January 2013 when the pattern turned favorable after mid-month and we didn’t get a good system and then a huge cutter….that was a good one. Then Feb/Mar 2013 happened. Most of these winters though that rebounded strongly we’re not La Niñas. You could maybe say 2010-2011 was slow to start for CT….the Boxing Day dryslot from hell wasn’t exactly a prolific snow event (a lot of areas struggled to barely get warning snow…a few isolated spots didn’t even get that)…but then after the huge NYE/NEw Years day torch period, it was off to the races for an epic 4 weeks.