ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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Yep. And the snow doesn’t melt fast either at those dews. Also helps they have to “waste” a lot of the sun energy just heating up the pack again…even with high temps of 50+ when the overnight low is 7 degrees. Only huge drawback there is the droughts. They can get bad at times.
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Flagstaff had 61 inches in January....been slow to start Feb but they will get blasted again it looks like early/mid next week. I love their weather in late winter though....yesterday they had a high of 50F and a low of 6F....lol. No wonder the snow doesn't melt fast there.
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Yeah or flagstaff arizona. They’ll get a 35 inch snowstorm surrounded by 57 degree days.
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That's a big qualifier....if we end up getting another 25+ inches of snow, then it would change things for sure. I'd prob need at least another 3 feet here though to grade it higher than last winter. Where you are, it wouldn't take that much.
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Yeah that's what I was amazed at....look, different strokes for different folks...I'm not here to change Ray's mind. But as a snow lover, I don't think I could ever enjoy a winter more that had 30 inches less just because I got porked in a blizzard in the higher snowfall winter.
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Well scooter didn't have 90 last winter either....the point still stands. I'd take 50 if he got 80 over this shit show. I think I had about 55 last year. I'm not trying to change your mind though. I just find it fascinating from a snow lover's standpoint.
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I knew your jackpot fetish was bad, but I personally think you have it up into the stratosphere of neurotic levels. I mean holy shit....I'd punt this winter to the moon in a heartbeat if I could grab 60" even if it meant I got unlucky and Scooter was doing naked snow angels in a 90" season. And I'd do without hesitation it even if I had an extra 10" in the season while nobody else around me did.
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PV has been trending south for late month little by little on each run. Not really invested in any potential though until this gets inside 10 days.
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2/10 has some of the weakest warm records in SNE, so it's pretty easy to attain record highs. Headline is correct but doesn't mean 70+. Even torchy BDL only has a record high of 55F today (already beaten)
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RGEM is really close but doesn't quite get the goods into SE MA....but that is so close. Thermals prob cold enough for snow if it backed in another 25 miles.
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Yeah 900-925 is pretty cold while it's a bit torchy up near 850....my guess is underneath the best fronto/lift, it would prob go to parachutes, but outside of that we could see a lot of scalping with that colder BL underneath....this is all hypothetical of course, most likely we don't get any meaningful precip out of this.
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That's kind of a ridiculous fronto band....too bad it's prob wrong.
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Lol at 12z NAM. Congrats Scooter to Tblizz
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Both ensembles start pressing the PV a bit more near the end. If there’s going to be one last run at winter like the weeklies show, then it will start showing up the last few days of the month and into early March…if the ensembles start pushing it out another week or so as we get closer, the. I’m inclined to stick a fork in winter.
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At least all the guidance brought back the nice warm sector next week. Good change of pace from Seattle weather.
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It’s hard to communicate your idea in a winter with so little snow…esp to your south. Some people down in CT have like 1-2” on the entire season…lol. But yeah, it’s really not that weird if you picked up, say, 6-8” in the rest of February and then had a 16-22” March. It would be a good stretch but nothing super anomalous. I get the skepticism though in a ratter winter.
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I wonder if we can sneak an event in during the 2/19-2/23 period there’s a decent PV press and fast flow…type of pattern where guidance wouldn’t see threats very well. You also have the SE ridge trying to build back up…sometimes that helps and sometimes it hurts.
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18z GFS is teasing us with bringing back a cleaner warm sector. Hopefully we can have a nice dry day in the 60s later this week.
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Yes, it shows what the EPS shows through about Feb 25ish and then it goes gangbusters with the arctic blocking and sends low heights for us all the way through the equinox. No doubt, we'd prob have a really active/stormy March is they verified....but yeah, taken with a grain of salt for now.
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Check the weeklies.....lol I ain't buying cold/snow until it's close though.
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6 years ago today was a good one in 2017
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Yeah the only place I feel like has a decent shot at futility is BDR....anyone else really just needs an advisory event (or less in the case of BOS) to ruin any futility chances. Given that there's some evidence we go into a bit more of normal look for late Feb and perhaps favorable look beyond that, I don't have a reason to buy the futility futures right now.
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That was a frustrating event....so close to a monster hit....the system just couldn't quite get it's act together for the final bump north to get the real goods in here. I would've had a 50 inch month if it had.
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2009....summer was a disaster though.
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Ashland coop right near me had over 46" and change. What's weird is Ashburnham and other sites north of ORH had more too....wonder if they had a couple bad measurements....or they just happened to get unlucky.
