ORH_wxman

I mean it very well could cost them a cold record (and likely inflated their January departure too)

ORH 1F at 00z….ASOS temp there is tossed further than the BOS snow measurements at the sewer plant. That is a shame….

Getting an ASOS fixed is probably harder than getting cooperation from the IRS. They usually only fix them when it becomes super obvious. At least in the past. I just checked MADIS site and it’s been running pretty warm since late 2020 actually but there are no noticeable recent kinks in the graph. There’s a big on though in 2020.

Yeah and if they get to like -15 tonight, I’m going to wonder if they really did tie or break 2016 if all the surrounding mesos are -16 or -17. Oh well…can’t do anything about it now.

We’d weenie out over this type of cold outbreak in a good winter too. This is very rare to get a cold shot this intense. Even if it is very quick.

I’ve been noticing most of today, the mesonets at similar elevation right near ORH airport have been running 1-2F colder…You’d hate to have a wonky Asos sensor on a night like this when records are at stake.

You should smash 2016 up there. In that cold shot, you missed the core of it by a little bit but not this time…and the core of this one is a little colder.

Wind ripping sometimes does funky things to my woodstove and I’ll get a little bit of smoke backlash…but usually that’s when the fire is low. When it’s raging I don’t have that problem. I wonder if pellet stove sort of acts the same as a low fire (except just hotter)

That was a very cold stretch. Charles river though is pretty easy to freeze. It freezes most winters though I’m sure that year it was very thick and you could easily have walked on it.

Latest RAP and HRRR get -33C at 925 to BOS....that's insanity. Happens around midnight-ish.

I try to explain to people that CC warming will look a lot like a stock market chart....there is a trend up, but it's noisy. In a given month or even season, natural variability will outweigh CC by a lot. We can still get cold records....even all time monthly records....but they are just harder to get than warm records.

Logan airport hasn't hit -10F since Jan 1957....Vday 2016 barely missed at -9F. The Logan airport site has only ever hit -10F three times...-12F in Jan 1957, -14F in Feb 1943, and -11F in Dec 1942

Down to 7.3F now...we've lost almost 4 degrees in the past 45 minutes. This is the big plunge right now....between now and about 03z.

This one is short-lived, but similar to Vday 2016, it is quite anomalous. 2016 produced the coldest readings at BOS and ORH since 1957. Not sure we quite match that this time, but can't rule it out. Wind chills will be top 3 in the past half century with this.

I've posted on the late 1940s/early 1950s winters in here before...those are some of the warmest years on record even if not quite as warm as the most recent warm winter...but esp up into SE NH and ME. Maine actually had 7 consecutive winters from '48-'49 through '54-'55 with temps +2 or higher than the long term avg....they haven't had a streak like that since....not even recently.

Yeah it basically turned into Labrador for about a month with the sea ice extending out from the shore many miles all along the MA shoreline.

We've got -22 to -24C 925s about to move over us the next hour or so with surface temps still in the lower teens....that is really unstable. There's gonna be a lot of 50 spots.

A 2015-esque freeze event prob is only once a decade or less. But Boston harbor and chunks of Cape Cod Bay and ACK sound do freeze at least a couple times a decade.

Harbor was totally frozen out to the islands east of Hull and Winthrop that winter. Almost all of Cape Cod Bay was frozen too and it was frozen out to MVY.

Yeah I’ve been joking around about it with Scott and Ray. The Ashland coop near me had 72.5” after February 18th that season after limping to about 23” up to that point. Talk about a big turnaround…lol. But all honesty, I do think that semi-colder look has been been advertised at least somewhat for a while…that EPO ridge never really went away…it ebbed and flowed a bit but having it there always gave the milder mid-month pattern a temporary feel to it. I do think there will be some winter storm threats late month into early March. But a bunch of crappy close calls and other variables that prevent snow wouldn’t surprise me this winter.

Down another 2.5 to 12.1 in the past 60 minutes.

Time to start honking Ray’s 1956 ending.

Yeah as much as I love outdoors/mountains/lakes/etc....being that far from civilization full time with small kids doesn't exactly give me the warm fuzzies.

EPS sig is strong for 2/12.