ORH_wxman

Might be a little snow tomorrow morning too…esp south of pike.

The consistency of the warmth has been amazing. You’d think a plus 9 or plus 10 month would have several big torches of 50s and 60s but that isn’t the case. ORH has cracked 50 just twice this month, 11 highs in the 40s, and 18 highs in the 30s. Zero highs below 30. But the min temps are the bigger culprit. Lowest of the whole month is 19F which is still warmer than the average low for any of the days this month, lol. Mins have run about plus 13 this month.

Had about an inch this morning. Looks nice.

He was responding to a post about the lack of arctic air most of this winter. Def has helped with heating bills.

We have about an inch here. Some good fatties while I dropped my youngest off at daycare

NNE had a lot of lean years in the 80s too. It maybe wasn’t quite as bad as the epicenter of suck in SNE, but it was pretty terrible…they did have a couple blockbusters. Esp early 80s. I think they cleaned up pretty good in the super Nino of 82-83 and then did well in the same years SNE did in 81-82 and 83-84.

ORH will need about a +4 February to beat out 2001-2002 for warmest winter. Doable but not easy after the first few days will be putting up monster cold departures.

2/9-10/87 was a whopper on the cape. Some spots had over 30 inches of mostly grease…temps near freezing for most of the storm but it flash-froze near the end with temps dropping into teens. I think Scooter’s hood had around 6” but once you got west of 128 it was mostly 1-3”…yeah the forum would be in epic melt mode

There’s gonna be some -30s with wind on the summits which is just insanity. You’ll need Antarctic gear.

Yes game farm radiated like the moon.

My coldest at home was prob Jan 1994....I was living at around 600 feet in ORH at the time where it radiated much better than the airport and my crap thermometer showed -21F....could've been off a few degrees, but regardless, it def was near -20F as I think CEF and ORE hit -20s during those outbreaks.

Only a 6th grader (like I was at the time) would have fun in that. But even I had to go inside more than I ever usually wanted to. I've been in -20s before in rad pits in NH/VT/ME but when you have those temps with strong wind, it's truly a different experience. The wind almost just slices into the clothing....even when you are trying to stop it with 4 or 5 layers of high-quality arctic gear. You can just never seem to fully keep it out 100%.

IF they get another decent period before mid-March, there's a decent chance they surpass the peak pack. They aren't going to melt a lot unless we either get 55F cutter or another 80F February torch....the former is precarious in CAD-land up there and the latter is unlikely unless we build this SE ridge into Canada.

This is partially cheating due to elevation, but Xmas Eve 1992 skiing at Killington...summit was like -27F that day with raging CAA winds. Prob the closest I came to actual frostbite in my life.

We've been so cloudy this month....rad cooling has been pretty non-existent on so many nights.

Scooter is all-in for 2nd half of February

How would you know if no snowfall was forecasted by the ensembles without looking at all 51 members? Ensemble snowfall is an average of those 51 members.

The top soil is mostly going to freeze in the few days prior to the real cold shot. It’s actually mid-winter climo cold this week after today and before the cold shot.

Those 925 temps look similar to Vday 2016...maybe even just a smidge colder, which is insane because Vday 2016 was coldest at many SNE sites since 1957.

Actually noticed Jan 1913 is missing a few days of data at ORH....probably why they have a shot to break it and the others don't.

We might knock off January 1913 at ORH....we won't do it at BDL, PVD, BOS, or MQE though.

The one behind that.

Those 2m temps are obscene. Almost all of SNE is double digits below 0F.

-35 is well into dangerous/causing problems territory....really you start seeing some car problems around -20F in my experience and it really ramps up colder than that. Of course, many people who live in rad pits in NNE will have batteries and other features that might add to the tolerance, but even those are gonna be tested by the time you get to -25 or -30F.

Correct....even many of the "great winters" of the 1960s often had furiously stormy stretches surrounded by long drawn-out very boring stretches. (see 1968-1969 as one great example...1961-1962 is another).....the years like 1960-1961 are truly unicorns. I think the last winter that had all 4 major snow months at or above average is 2016-2017....of course, Feb 2017 had the snow blitz in the first half of the month and then touched 80 later that month, before we went back into the deep freeze that March. Getting all 4 months above climo snow though is very rare in and of itself.