baltosquid
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Everything posted by baltosquid
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was gonna say... this has been a great set of runs with the GFS finally budging a bit, but that just means we could be set up for a vintage Dr. No moment
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Really looked like it might come north a touch even if still narrow but the GFS is dead set on a bay jackpot
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It will end up falling on 1 lane of 95 from DC to NY
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Looks very similar to 12z through 51, just everything is a touch north. Seems like it will amp a bit more too. Just gotta hope it isn’t too much; could be good if the lid stays on
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Speaking of things you may not need to pay for… DESI is cool and has the national blend of models. The drawback is it is a demanding web page.
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Canadian has seemingly wanted to send it north this whole time save for some wavering last night/this morning so it would be quite the coup for it if we get F’d
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For 95 area at least, snow maps are worse because of the weird mix line that stays in place while it snows south of 95. QPF for Baltimore was 0.3 but 10:1 only shows 1-2 inches.
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lol. The mix on RDPS is comical
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The big thing about that euro run is that it did not throw the TPV piece way east like the GFS did. Not much of a change.
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It all comes down to the TPV piece. You can see early on in NW Canada on the 18z GFS that it is tracking increasingly to the east. That only gets magnified over the course of the run. By game time it’s already scooting out through New England/Ontario/Quebec. It was more around the lakes last run. We can win if that is, as has been mentioned, more SW. I’d guess preferably it sticks around WI/MI, digging south. But there’s no shot while it’s so far east as in this run. Not for most of us.
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Nope, Baltimore's turn!
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I want to see it come further north with the max though...
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Okay well the GFS has countered with its own subsequent event… I want both
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Congrats Atlanta!
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I really need that blossoming of the radar near DC to come up here. That would make the night.
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Beautiful snow in Baltimore still. If only it had been like this in the morning as well!!
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lol. Of course the spurious evening flurries in Baltimore after the main event are prettier and stickier than anything from said main event!
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Fizzle job in the city tbh. Maybe on an idealized surface, could get a few tenths of an inch, otherwise trace.
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Radar over 95 is dying maybe because we’re on the wrong side of the dc band. Ugh
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Rates just jumped big time here! Finally some real flakes. Small, but better than dust!
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Eh. Took a closer look at the flakes and they’re little pixie dust things. Need more if there’s gonna be anything worthwhile here
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Now picking up a bit in Baltimore, still pretty light but it is now sticking to most things.
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Tiny flakes are falling in Baltimore. Hopefully we beat the dry air!
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Euro moved north with its last short before flakes started falling in the region. Gets the 0.1 inch QPF line to Baltimore, barely.
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Bad RGEM run, drier DC and north. Hopefully just a blip.
