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Cary67

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Everything posted by Cary67

  1. Pulling the magic 8 ball back off the shelf to polish it.
  2. My Jerry Taftesque predictions with little evidence to back it up would put me in a precarious position
  3. At this point would take 4-6" as models still have another 36 hrs to look even worse
  4. And it seems like so much work and attention for the Mon.-Tue system may yield similar results across LOT. You quietly keep racking up the totals.DAB here overnight
  5. Surprised 2007-08 didn't have one 6"+ snowstorm at ORD. We received almost 87" that year imby. Seemed to remember quite a few 6"+ storms that year
  6. Yes. I do wonder though if weather offices strive to issue watches that eventually become warnings more often then being downgraded to WWAs. If that's the case waiting a bit later would help raise those percentages.
  7. I'm sure they will but imo still time to take in more model data that's been sampled and fine tune amts for initial advisories. While still giving public 24-36 hrs notice.
  8. LOT's decision to wait on issuing headlines seems prudent
  9. Its been my experience at least in extreme SE McHenry that we do receive some lake enhancement from some big events
  10. Would LOT need to issue watches before tomorrow evening? Another 24hrs to see if short range models agree?
  11. Rfd doing well this year with respect to being a bit further east. Most years the Lake influence pushes ORD past RFD later in the winter for season totals
  12. May have to shelve magic 8 ball if this track and qpf output hold for another 24hrs. Hopefully mesos fall in line with this
  13. Would expect with that track for my area to receive decent totals
  14. Is this a bad time to suggest a post covid downtown meet and greet with all our forum posters?lol I can carpool with McHenrySnow
  15. Most sustained 3" since winter 2013-14
  16. Between the two of us I know we can get to 5
  17. Is slower timing allowing more influence from northern piece to keep it from coming further north? Initially models were showing a stronger northern wave suppressing system altogether but that changed.
  18. Need that track up into Terre Haute or Indy even better
  19. My Jerry Taft snowcast magic 8 ball has been working great ever since 2015. Just shake and read.
  20. Slower timing on system seems to be shifting band south on models. Take some good pics for me Hoosier. First call: .7" 1st wave, miss south 3" main event
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