Cary67
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Everything posted by Cary67
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I'm sure they will but imo still time to take in more model data that's been sampled and fine tune amts for initial advisories. While still giving public 24-36 hrs notice.
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LOT's decision to wait on issuing headlines seems prudent
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Its been my experience at least in extreme SE McHenry that we do receive some lake enhancement from some big events
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Would LOT need to issue watches before tomorrow evening? Another 24hrs to see if short range models agree?
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Rfd doing well this year with respect to being a bit further east. Most years the Lake influence pushes ORD past RFD later in the winter for season totals
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May have to shelve magic 8 ball if this track and qpf output hold for another 24hrs. Hopefully mesos fall in line with this
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Would expect with that track for my area to receive decent totals
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Is this a bad time to suggest a post covid downtown meet and greet with all our forum posters?lol I can carpool with McHenrySnow
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Most sustained 3" since winter 2013-14
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Between the two of us I know we can get to 5
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Still have some pack left
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Looks good for you on southside
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Is slower timing allowing more influence from northern piece to keep it from coming further north? Initially models were showing a stronger northern wave suppressing system altogether but that changed.
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Need that track up into Terre Haute or Indy even better
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My Jerry Taft snowcast magic 8 ball has been working great ever since 2015. Just shake and read.
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Slower timing on system seems to be shifting band south on models. Take some good pics for me Hoosier. First call: .7" 1st wave, miss south 3" main event
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Another click or two north or better yet widen the band
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I have been interested in meteorology since I was a kid. I took a few introductory courses in meteorology at UIUC but they didn't offer a degree there. Went into the medical field instead. So enjoy learning from those with a lot more expertise than myself. Also have fun with the friendly banter on the boards and never take it or myself too seriously. Grew up as a kid in the 1970s so have fond memories of some great winters. Used to remember listening to the NOAA weather radio issuing heavy snow warnings.
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Der sturm ist kaputt
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A little wobble back north would be appreciated
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Will blow that up and put it over the mantle. Weather art is trending
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Well that lasted one model cycle. A 1-3" still on the table though.
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Winter 2020/2021 Short Range Discussion
Cary67 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Took my son to soccer practice this evening. Lots of blowing and drifting on Rt.14 outside of Crystal Lake -
Yeah torn between the Ukie/GEM split on this right now
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Well given this winter still have to ride the Ukie and GFS lame solutions until they fall in line with the Euro/GEM. Would be interesting if 12Z GEFS shows some bigger hits though
