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Cary67

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Everything posted by Cary67

  1. As others have noted GFS maybe too warm. On side note still snowing here. Playing catch up
  2. Whe did modeling start showing areas like Madison receiving warning type snows? You still might receive some help from lake. Here expecting maybe 1" additional
  3. 2.75" down. Says another 1-3". Would have to check if the Wisconsin Dells received more snow
  4. Should have stuck with original 3" magic 8 ball forecast
  5. Not sure that will work either. RC has thoughtful analysis and shows the envelope of possibilities and gives substantial reasoning for each of them. Then it unfortunately verifies on one of the weaker outcomes. Not his fault just the bad trend we've been in for several years
  6. From zzzz... to tracking weakening systems. Baby steps
  7. Hoping far SE McHenry does a bit better than Harvard. This time RFD doesn't do better
  8. Final call 5". Snowfall this winter is a grind to come by
  9. Someone should keep track of systems modeled to produce big snows meaning double digits inside 78hrs. Bet the rate of verification is pretty low.
  10. We've definitely made the most of the little amts that have fallen
  11. Pulling the magic 8 ball back off the shelf to polish it.
  12. My Jerry Taftesque predictions with little evidence to back it up would put me in a precarious position
  13. At this point would take 4-6" as models still have another 36 hrs to look even worse
  14. And it seems like so much work and attention for the Mon.-Tue system may yield similar results across LOT. You quietly keep racking up the totals.DAB here overnight
  15. Surprised 2007-08 didn't have one 6"+ snowstorm at ORD. We received almost 87" that year imby. Seemed to remember quite a few 6"+ storms that year
  16. Yes. I do wonder though if weather offices strive to issue watches that eventually become warnings more often then being downgraded to WWAs. If that's the case waiting a bit later would help raise those percentages.
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