Weather Will

Don’t give up quite yet, next wave….but this is GFS after Day 5, who cares?!

WB 6Z GFS….fringed.

Only 3 out of 30 hits and timing slightly .

WB 18Z GEFS, slight tick in right direction, blip or trend? TBD…

It is the OPS. Not as good but still there. 10 days is a long way out …

WB 18Z GFS.

WB 12Z ensembles are a negative through Day 12…

WB 12Z GEFS mean is not nearly as cold as the GFS global for the Day 10 period storm. No go for now.

Ok, North and western suburbs are fringed.

I don’t even get an inch!!!!

By the way I have a big meeting in DC that I really need to do in person on the morning of the 23rd, so this storm is a lock!!!!

Models are now picking up Phase 2 MJO for the period around Day 10….

WB 12Z GFS… suppressed….

MJO trending toward Phase 2 rather than the null phase for the week of the 20th. Perhaps the more favorable forcing will help us with storm tracks that week…

WB 0Z 3K NAM

I will wait two more weeks to throw in the towel, still some hope in the third and fourth week of March especially N and W.

The granddaddy of March winter storms in Baltimore came at the end of March 1942, known as the Palm Sunday storm. An innocuous weather forecast called for flurries in western areas, but what started as rain ended up as snow from 2 a.m. that Sunday through 9 p.m. that evening, dumping 22 inches. Cars were abandoned and streetcars and trolleys halted. One local weatherman, John R. Weeks, called the storm a "freak". Spring robins were said to be "bewildered", "bedraggled" and "forlornly" searching for food. (Source: Baltimore Sun). (11.5 inches National Airport (WP). A mammoth snowstorm that struck the region over a century ago still holds the record for the highest March snowfall tally in D.C. That storm produced a foot of snow in the city March 27 to 28, 1891. (WP).

WB 18Z GFS Day 8, Lucy is laughing hysterically.

Well at least this year no one has complained about sun angle because there has been no snow to melt….

It is Over, Grover

WB 12Z GEFS thru Day 8…Well….

No one should care what the GFS says beyond 3 days. Wait for the GEFS.

Wave 1 and Wave 2.

Always 2 weeks away my friend….