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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. We have not seen a sustained period of below normal temps in months and it looks like above normal precip. Will it snow? TBD. WB 12Z EPS.
  2. It also still looks like at least one more chance after next weekend’s storm is still on the table as well.
  3. We are about seven days out and still in the game. Have not said that for 2 months. However I agree with the assessment that this first storm looks like a North or NW zone storm.
  4. WB 12Z EPS…so if it reforms just in the right spot off the coast (far enough south and not inland) we can get wrap around and avoid being dry slotted. Note: we don’t do complicated well in the DMV. Will need more luck than we have the last two years put together to pull this off.
  5. This is looking like a Miller B where we usually get screwed unless secondary forms far enough south.
  6. WB 12Z EPS…Better than 12z yesterday; still in the game.
  7. It is not a wound up low in the upper Midwest at least…
  8. One thing in our favor is the MJO. First time it forecasted to go into more favorable phases and held. There were a lot of skepticism two weeks ago…
  9. And which model do you think will cave? WB 6Z GFS compared to 0Z Euro
  10. It will be interesting to see as we get closer to next weekend if we see a stronger response in the modeling to the significant change in the MJO.
  11. Does anyone know how well the globals incorporate forecasted MJO values? Or do they just use the initial values. We are just pulling out of the null into 7 which is still warm, how well does the modeling “see” that we are heading into 8/1?
  12. While we wait for 0Z, the glass is at least half full folks… best 10 day potential period of the winter coming up…10 Day 18Z WB GEFS.
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