Weather Will

Flurries in Brunswick

WB 12Z GEFS probs

Here is early am Sunday. Surface temps are marginal. 850s look good.

Fringed!!!! WB 12Z GFS

February '79 was very memorable to me for several reasons: one it's the first big storm that I remember where the forecast the night before was calling for nothing and we received over 2 feet; about 11 years old looked out the window that am from my second story window screaming and waking my parents and two younger brothers up because I thought the car had been stolen ( it was buried under a snow drift!!!); I had the whole week off from school, stuff like that does not happen anymore.

WB 12Z EPS compared to 18Z. Looks like a shift east, and a little colder in NE.

WB 18Z GEFS, few bigger hits south of DMV now, no clear trend on GEFS for weekend storm.

Agreed! I have asked the same question.

WB 12Z EPS compared to 0Z.

WB 12Z EPS low positions.

WB 12Z EPS. NW zones still in the game. Couple of big hits still area wide....

Dust yourselves off and start watching the next one....WB 12Z EURO

Yah, I won't be staying up for the EURO tonight...

WB EURO 156, 162

WB GEFS snow mean thru day 12 and Indiv. Members.

WB 12Z GEFS has another wave before the expected warm up... and it is colder.

WB GEFS snow mean current and last 4 runs about the same IMBY. Less SE.

WB 12Z GFS

I see the ICON as the canary in the coal mine. It did not show an inland track, so it was a win for me.

WB ICON 7pm Sat.

WB 6Z GEFS, still a lot of members showing nothing as well.

With marginally cold air, track will be key. Even 25 mile shift either way will make huge difference at this point. WB OZ EPS favors NW zones.

NWS discussion this am. As the high pressure moves east, a quick return flow will develop ahead of a low pressure system that could bring wintry precipitation to many locations by midday Saturday and into Saturday night. High temperatures will be seasonable with highs in the 40s. Models are beginning to show some agreement with next weekend`s low pressure system in which the track of the low could be to our south and intensify as it approaches the mid-Atlantic Coast. The consensus low pressure system track has the low moving from central North Carolina, across the Tidewater of southeastern Virginia and just offshore of the Delmarva. It is too early to tell how much rainfall, how much snowfall, locations of these types of weather, and the timing of impact. We will need to monitor next weekend`s low pressure system over the early part of this week.

WB 0Z GEFS

What could possibly go wrong?