Weather Will

WB 0Z HRRR...most of the rain falls later afternoon/overnight Friday.

Details on the Flood Watch flagged above: District of Columbia-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard- Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene- Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun- Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 831 PM EDT Thu May 29 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...District of Columbia, Maryland, including the following areas, Anne Arundel, Calvert, Carroll, Cecil, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford, Southern Baltimore and St. Marys, and Virginia, including the following areas, Albemarle, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Culpeper, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Greene, King George, Madison, Nelson, Northern Fauquier, Northwest Prince William, Orange, Rappahannock, Southern Fauquier, Spotsylvania, Stafford and Western Loudoun. * WHEN...From Friday evening through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - As a wavy slow moving frontal system tracks across the area, multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are possible. While initially posing a severe weather threat, a shift to a slow moving complex of moderate to heavy rain unfolds into the evening and night. Storm totals could reach 2 to 3 inches, locally nearing 4 inches in spots.

WB 18Z 3K NAM and 10K RDPS came North

WB 12Z FV3....anyone know how its accuracy compares to the WB 12z 3K NAM?

WB 6Z EURO and GFS

WB 0Z 3K NAM and not quite finished at end of run for late week system. Wind too... impressive energy, fun to track....

WB 12Z EURO....for the late Friday/ Saturday soaker

Approaching .4: great light rain soaker so far....

Starting to sprinkle as rain shield moves in a little earlier than forecasted.

Hope the 12Z WB 3K NAM verifies!

WB 6Z EURO late week wave.

WB 6Z EURO midweek wave.

WB 6Z EURO is bringing in some showers DC south for Memorial Day. Edit: WB 12Z EURO is dry.

WB 12Z EURO shows another Wed. storm this upcoming week.

All the 12Z models keep it dry throughout the 3 day holiday weekend. Rain chances on Tuesday GFS and Canadian. EURO delays any rain until Wed. this run.

WB 18Z GFS....brings the rain back by early evening on Monday in Western zones.

Heavy rain showers moving through....enough to wash in my late spring lawn treatment! (HRRR forecast from the am did a good job...)

WB 12Z HRRR does bring in another round of heavier showers east of the mountains after 6pm.

WB 18Z EURO...iffy beach weekend Sunday/Monday period, but still early.

WB 18Z EURO for midweek.

WB 18z EURO trying to introduce rain and upper 50s for Sunday....

WB 18Z GFS at day 4. Midweek still looks wet!

Heavy storm moving through...glad I cut the lawn this am.

Went over the Potomac at Harper's Ferry today. It is full and roaring! Great to see. At least we won't run out of water in the Potomac basin this summer. Side note: light drizzle 64.

435 AM EDT Wed May 14 2025 ...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO FRIDAY EVENING... ...REPLACES RIVER FLOOD WATCH... * WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Potomac River at Point of Rocks. * WHEN...From this evening to Friday evening. * IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, The boat ramp and lower parking lot at Point of Rocks are flooded. Water approaches the water treatment plant in Brunswick. Farmland behind the Tarara Vineyard is flooded. At 22.0 feet, Water begins to cover the C&O Canal towpath near Point of Rocks and Brunswick. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 3:45 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 4.3 feet, or 11.7 feet below flood stage. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late this evening to a crest of 21.4 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Friday afternoon. - Flood stage is 16.0 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.4 feet on 01/27/2010.