Weather Will

WB latest GEFS control, always two weeks away....

WB 12Z GFS; still ten days away need it a little colder, develop faster to the SE, etc. but still in the game for at least some snow tv.

WB EURI AI, is there another period to watch at range?

WB 18Z GEFS 500 MB last 4 runs for storm we are watching need it to continue to strengthen and be further south.

At least there was a run of digital snow, more than what we got from the pattern in February!!! Something to keep an eye on the next two weeks.

MIRACLES can still happen. WB 0Z GFS in fantasy range.

WB EPS extended. Control is nada.

WB 12Z control is still cold, but it is two weeks away. Still have to wait to see if a miracle will occur....I would not bet on it unless I was in Northern New England but not giving up yet.

WB 12Z EPS control at end of run....

Damn you just jinxed it!!!!

WB 6Z GEFS individual members for temps look better than I though they would but still need colder...

Latest EURO MJO continues to fly through 6 into 7-8. GFS much slower in 6. GFS is also not nearly cold enough in the extended to support snow. Something to watch the rest of the week.

WB 0Z 3K NAM, if this were snow...i would be crying...

I am being sincere..., I know a late March snow would be an historic event, but it can happen. Oh and I am no troll, only trolls I know are in Tolkien land....

Not giving up until the models do another 180 like they did for late February. But this time is different ...the ensembles and extended guidance are more in sync. What do I mean by that....the gradual return to cold ( I know it may not be cold enough, is showing up late in the ensemble runs. The EPO is tanking and the other teleconnections are lining up as we end the third week of March which could give us the Arctic air we need, The extended EPS snow mean, not control, keeps increasing (WB). Latest run compared to 13 runs ago. And the MJO is moving into less hostile phases.Will it happen, probably not, but I am not completely crazy; will be the first to admit when Lucy strikes again and kills it.

Crazy at work today, but we are looking for the ensembles to be showing a transition to a very cold week leading into Easter; actually the control run today at Day 15 is trying to show it. Again, long shot but not impossible to see something leading into Easter. Latest weekly extended control has a storm...(WB)

The heavy snow is not that far away....WB extended control.....Now, will it happen, probably 1 in 150 chance but better than the way shutout February looked. I see this as something to do with the season winding down....better than looking at H5 maps for next winter already.

Another one though not as strong on the 29th....at least there are fantasy lows during this time frame. Maybe it won't be cold enough but someone may get slammed. WB extended control.

You mean something like this, and I'm not being snarky....WB Extended control.

WB 12Z EPS....looks pretty good to me going into the Hail Mary period toward the end of March.

GFS has abandoned the idea of any snow this upcoming weekend. Will see if the weeklies/ GEFS extended hold for a Hail Mary chance later in March.

WB 6Z GFS shows a chance still exists for NW zones next weekend, but most GEFS members are just rain.

Latest MJO, rapid push through 6 before the later part of March is needed. Euro is showing that...

We have had only one snowy week this winter; even you were troubled at times that the long range models were not snowier in response to the great H5 looks. I wish I had a few inches of snow for every great H5 map shown in the threads this winter....reality sucks sometimes; nothing done in these threads has any effect on the actual weather. People should not use me as a scapegoat for the bad winter; or what unfortunately turned out to inaccurate prognostications. Finally, I really wish the medium/ long range threads were reserved for people's thoughts on weather, if you don't like what I post don't read it! If it is an inappropriate post, mods can delete it. If you thing the weather maps I show do not accurately depict what is going to happen post your own thoughts on what will happen.

I know mid to late March is getting real late but the guidance has not folded yet like it did for February. If/ when it does then I will show that. I really don't understand the personal attacks in this place.