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Everything posted by TJW014
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Per Mt. Holly's latest AFD: Maybe ratios this high for northern areas, but I don't think so down here. Probably would chop off 20-25% off their forecast What to watch out for: Bands of heavier snow may enhance the wet bulb effect, resulting in colder surface temperatures and higher liquid to snow ratios. This will result in locally higher snow amounts. Overall, liquid to snow ratios will be on the order of 14:1 to 17:1, but could get as high as 20:1.
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Mt Holly just upgraded Ocean, Monmouth, and Burlington counties to a Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 248 PM EST Thu Jan 18 2024 NJZ020-027-191100- /O.UPG.KPHI.WW.Y.0003.240119T0900Z-240120T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0002.240119T0900Z-240120T0300Z/ Ocean-Southeastern Burlington- Including the cities of Jackson and Wharton State Forest 248 PM EST Thu Jan 18 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches. Rain will mix with snow during the day Friday near the coasts. * WHERE...Ocean and Southeastern Burlington. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 10 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures will rapidly drop into the teens late Friday night. Any untreated roads will become icy and dangerous.
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Definitely concerned about the flash freeze potential tonight. Much of us get down to the teens with wind chills near zero. Even treated roads may ice up.
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Took a ride into IBSP. Up to 37 degrees here. Rain with a few sleet pellets mixing in. About an inch less right along the beach. Windier than I expected. 25 sustained, gusts up to 35 mph.
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Just flipped over to sleet. 3.5" on the ground here along the bayfront. Heavier band pushing through in a few minutes, might flip it back to snow. Otherwise think that's about it for me here. Side residential roads are a little slushy but main roads have more visible asphalt than not.
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A hair over an inch here on the grass and car tops. Starting to stick to untreated roads.
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Light snow reaching the ground here in Toms River. Sticking to the grass and boat cover. Ahead of schedule.
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35 was our forecast high here today, still sitting down at 28. Definitely has that "it's gonna snow" feel in the air.
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I personally love events like this. Just enough to make everything look pretty outside and coming down at a rate slow enough that the roads don't become a nightmare. Seems like all we ever get now is either 8 inches or more or 2" of rain. I'd much rather have 10 of these events than just one blockbuster storm all winter. That all said, little concerned with temps here right along the Shore. If we stay cold, expecting about 2" here.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
TJW014 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
From OKX that's 90 miles away. Beam height is 8000 feet @0.5 tilt. Same velocities (some even higher) can be seen on DIX radar too.- 3,610 replies
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- snow
- heavy rain
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
TJW014 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
From KDIX radar, 110 mph velocities are at a beam height of 2500 feet, 30 miles away from the radar. .- 3,610 replies
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- snow
- heavy rain
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