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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Yeah, I think the ICON was going to bring the second wave for more snow. It is the ICON alas.
  2. Webb going for the 2011 and 1974 analogs on X.
  3. Looks like the rain/snow line may be trying to slip south towards Kingsport with precip rates? @Carvers Gap
  4. I found the link I posted for the above in links. It was the last thing I posted in links, lol. Doesn't work for me anymore sadly.
  5. For anyone looking for a convenient MJO site: http://www.stormsurf.com/page2/links/mjo_phase.html I'll archive it in links too.
  6. Load of sleet falling right now in Morgan County.
  7. RGEM throwing out 3" an hour rates in parts of SW VA tomorrow morning: NAM 3k not too far off: GFS looks even better towards High Knob:
  8. And so begin our semi-annual February floods: The firehose is poised and aimed. The creeks and streams runneth over. Puddles gather on low lying areas. Dams are pumping out 2-3 generators. The Holston River in west Kingsport this past Friday (2/7) The Obed today 2/9 MRX:
  9. @jaxjagman East Asia rule?
  10. 16th - 17th looks like it has some potential to be one of the rare "shift south" storms with the massive -AO and Greenland block. Some small hits on the ensembles in a "wave riding a front" just in time situation for parts of TN for now. Probably not worth digging much deeper for now.
  11. Latest janetjanet outlook: Pretty cool page with a bunch of togglable functions on the experimental water page: https://water.noaa.gov/ Here's the page with the flood outlook products: https://www.weather.gov/owp/operations-national-fho-archive?d=2025-02-08
  12. Man, that storm had some staying power, it stayed alive almost to the NC coast: Part one from Gainesboro to Charlotte Part two Charlotte to the coast: Nightime Microphysics:
  13. 2 deaths confirmed by MoCo EMS. Sounds like in the Deer Lodge area, but not sure.
  14. Hopefully that’s all you get. Meanwhile the cell in Sevier county is getting a hook.
  15. Looks like the main storm's couplet is trying to reorganize, and heading toward the Powell area.
  16. That foreground valley in the landscape picture I posted above is pretty close to where that last couplet passed
  17. Passed by, just a little wind, but I suspect the couplet passed juuusssttt to my north.
  18. New random couplet headed my way, yay!
  19. This will give y'all some idea of the terrain it is dealing with now: Vertical arrow is pointing at the valley that has the prison, and the horizontal arrow is approximate track, WNW --> ESE
  20. No, it was probably about 10 minutes NE of me.
  21. Looks like the circulation is passing really close to the prison near Frozen Head.
  22. A gif of the couplet from earlier: Most recent: Frozen Head has some peaks above 3000' so that may do a number on it.
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