And so begin our semi-annual February floods:
The firehose is poised and aimed. The creeks and streams runneth over. Puddles gather on low lying areas. Dams are pumping out 2-3 generators.
The Holston River in west Kingsport this past Friday (2/7)
The Obed today 2/9
MRX:
16th - 17th looks like it has some potential to be one of the rare "shift south" storms with the massive -AO and Greenland block.
Some small hits on the ensembles in a "wave riding a front" just in time situation for parts of TN for now. Probably not worth digging much deeper for now.
Latest janetjanet outlook:
Pretty cool page with a bunch of togglable functions on the experimental water page:
https://water.noaa.gov/
Here's the page with the flood outlook products:
https://www.weather.gov/owp/operations-national-fho-archive?d=2025-02-08
Man, that storm had some staying power, it stayed alive almost to the NC coast:
Part one from Gainesboro to Charlotte
Part two Charlotte to the coast:
Nightime Microphysics:
This will give y'all some idea of the terrain it is dealing with now:
Vertical arrow is pointing at the valley that has the prison, and the horizontal arrow is approximate track, WNW --> ESE
It’s getting close to being on some pretty flat land on that part of the plateau. If it survives to southern Fentress county it’ll probably make it to the Frozen Head area.