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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    If that QLCS holds together, the HRRR suggests that it might be making it straight for the southern/ south central parts of the eastern valley
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    We hit about 30 and a couple of basil plants bit the dust, but surprisingly the tomatoes look good. This is the first year we've owned a house and this one came with a garden, so will be interested to see how all this does.
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    Overnight Euro bringing winter back for the upper plateau and higher elevations next Wednesday if we can survive this weekend: Fair number of members on the EPS see the chance too.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yeah same here. Lucked out with some heavy rain to knock the pollen down though.
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Thanks Jeff and Calderon for the replies. McMinn, sorry about the outbreak word, I was probably too loose with that as far off as things are now. It is 2020 after all though, so my mind just went to worst case right away, lol. Yeah, hopefully something kills this threat Sunday AM, no one needs power outages and other major infrastructure problems right now.
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    This Easter Sunday outbreak looks like it could be ugly to me on the Euro. I don't know very much about severe parameters or exactly how ugly, but as Webb's cyclone map that Windspeed posted says, one look at that is all I need. I am not a fan of storms moving SW -> NE with a strong upper low moving over the bootheel of Missouri, since that can send them right up the river valleys in East TN with a lot of shear. Most damaging storms I can remember have that motion. Looking at Pivotal soundings, still looks like most of the worst is S and SE of east TN, but all I'm going on is the "threat box" if that is what it is called, where it tells you the possible wx threats. Most soundings over middle E TN give a "Marginal Severe" result, with "Marginal Tornado" nearer Nashville, but near Chatt it is giving a tornado result, with storms moving up the TN river valley near the mts. Euro suggests that there could be a bigger line/ clusters of cells moving through first, and then more with a secondary line of discrete cells as the front moves through. What do y'all who know a lot more about severe weather think?
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    Indeed. The people who owned my house before had one and there is still an electrical hook up for it, but alas, I didn't foresee our current situation so spent building a fence instead. I may check out home depot tomorrow (weekly run into town). More of an observation, but the air quality is night and day here in Morgan county when compared to my old place just under I40 in Knoxville!
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yeah, if the N steam energy ends up verifying a bit faster and the southern bit across the SW slower, they could play together. As Windspeed's quote above says, I guess it's not out of realm of possibility that the northern might be quicker and the southern one gets hung up a bit. Beautiful pattern on the EPS too. Will be interesting to see if any EPS members get it done. Normally by this time of year I'm out of the snow zone, but would be kind of fun to have something besides COVID to chase on the interwebs. I'm fortunate enough to be able to work from home, so I say bring it on. That is until power goes out and all the food we have ferreted away have spoils... But I guess it would be fitting to finally get a good SE interior snowstorm, when it's harder to enjoy it.
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    @Greyhound thought of you when I saw this video this AM Pretty high water at the end.
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    For those who imbibe and are interested, Burial Beer in Asheville is now shipping to TN. The shipping cost isn't too bad ($14 for 70 bucks worth, cheaper than gas to drive there for me).
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    Just saw the sun. It still exists.
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    Ok, thanks for letting me know. There was definitely some colder air moving in and I had seen something similar over KY Lake so wasn't sure.
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    Some long rolling thunder with these showers as they roll through the plateau this morning.
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    And of course the rain pipeline just won't abate either. Sunshine might at least let us get out in our backyards a bit. Only speaking for myself, it would cheer me up too.
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    Also, check out the lake effect clouds all over the Missouri and Arkansas today:
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    Took a drive to Calf Killer Brewery today over the plateau. Plateau microclimates in full swing. 40 at my place and down to 35 near Crossville. Some graupnel/ flurries early on, but that was about it. Temp shot up to 45 by the time I was off the plateau just east of Sparta. Obviously there are other ways to support tornado relief, but Calf Killer is currently donating $1 from every pint they sell to it and they make good beer, so if you're into that sort of thing (like me) and you are nearby, give em a try. Beautiful view on 70E just above Calf Killer (looking towards Cookeville) The western plateau reminded me a little of Mesa Verde today. Near the Obed on Genesis road, I was able to see where the EF0 hit. Pretty much a straight line through and across the Obed gorge as far as I could tell.
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    Morgan county sheriff is reporting that the NWS has confirmed an EF0 in western parts of the county. I'm guessing it was what was left of the same cell when it got here.
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yeah I woke up about 2 to some critter scratching in my attic and decided that maybe I should check out the radar. I saw what was going on just east of Nashville and then logged on here and saw what y'all were saying and tried to stay awake until it got closer, but fell asleep until 5 AM. By then the main storm had moved just north of me and the smaller ones were rolling through. Freaked my dogs out pretty good (and me until I saw that the worst on was east of me), but thankfully no major problems in my neighborhood this AM.
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    Def. looks like a healthy cell right now in S. Illinois
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    I need to find this. What is it called, lol. Surprised facebook hasn't "recommended" it to me yet.
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    It's back now, lol... sort of: GEFS is mildly interested too: and hey the EPS has a signal for a cut off over Cuba at day 10. Right where we want it at that range ?
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    I like how the third comment on that is "But what about Crossville?"
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    GFS has my happy little storm back:
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    Did ok here too overnight. Looks like about 1/4", enough to coat everything for a pretty sunrise.
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    If the elevations that saw snow earlier today were any clue, if I was about 400 feet higher I’d be getting slammed right now
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