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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    I bet leaf forecasts will be tough this year. So much variety across East TN in terms of rain this summer. My first summer on the plateau and I feel like I've lived in a rainforest. Some of the sweetgums and even an odd maple here and there are starting to get a bit of color here.
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    Messing around with wind forecasts on the Euro this AM and saw this: 65 knot/ 74 mph gust in Crossville??? For those of you who have experience with these tropical remnants moving overhead, is this realistic? If so, glad I had a dying tree cut down last week. Is the "Max Gust" parameter, just the Max gust the model sees as possible, but not necessarily probable?
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    I drove through the rains in Knoxville yesterday morning on my way to Kingsport. That had to have been one of the rainiest, dreariest summer days I can remember. Flashbacks to the past two Februaries. Hydroplaning and 3 wrecks in downtown Knox. On the radar it almost looked like a deformation zone. Let's get another upper low on that track in January, lol. Then in my way back from Kingsport I got the line I highlighted at the end of the gif. That one was fun too, lol. Shelf cloud and downpours. I think powell may have a pic of it in the late summer thread. As y'all have been saying, it really has been a tale of two MRX areas this summer. Up on the plateau in MoCo, it seems like we are mini Johns, with rain almost every day (but not as bad as he's had it). On the other hand, my dad in Kingsport was talking about how his lawn was getting brown.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    Took a socially distant camping trip to finish some writing work to the CO, UT, and NM Rockies. https://imgur.com/a/E4bDAlg Some low humidity and cool night vides to help get through the humidity these days
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Hopefully we get a small taste of it soon. Really hoping Isaias can help pull a trough through for dewpoint relief. It's like walking out into a swimming pool when I go outside, lol
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    Hail on LeConte and 38 degrees: https://www.facebook.com/LeConteLodge/photos/pb.10150118008000724.-2207520000../10164210396465724/?type=3&theater
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    I was just referring to this week, lol. Sorry, probably could have phrased that better. I can't take any more freezes. We had a fire going all day last Saturday, (I think...) I was watching the radar and satellite today and noticed some storms over the upper plateau that looked terrain based. MRX mentioned a wave helping too: They even made a lil outflow boundary into KY
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    Freezes and snow in Frozen Head to terrain based storms on the upper plateau in a week. woot woot!
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    LeConte hit 12 this AM
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    Same situation here. We hit 31 at about 6 AM, but when I looked out everything was still wet. About an hour later a nice thin crust of ice. We covered everything with some bed sheets and that seems to have done the trick.
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    6z GFS for posterity: and EPS:
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    It completely died before it made it to my place in Morgan County; I didn't even see a drop of rain. Some nice wind gusts as what was left came through, but that was it.
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    This convective system looks pretty healthy to me, compared to the CAMs anyway: Good and sunny upstream too, between it and me, although beyond that I'm not too good at ready the mesoscale analysis pages for severe/ strong storm parameters. To me it looks like it will make a nice charge Paris -> Nashville -> Crossville -> Knoxville
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    I know. I wish I could! I would appreciate even the cold and snow out there, if it meant things were back to normal. I'm sure now that there is a nice ridge over the SW, next year will be troughs again, lol. Some of my friends and I are going to try to do our own SW Trip in July, even though the college's trip is cancelled. We usually go through OK, but I want to see KS more, so will be heading through its underbelly. Like a Fayetteville, AR (friend lives there) to Wichita to Dodge City to Pueblo type route. OBS today = Pollen of Doom + some wind that reminds me of N Arizona. I don't know how things are down in the valley, but it has been rough with some wind (very minor) damage on the plateau
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    Like y'all have been saying, it's been a "all day fire" kind of day up here in the plateau. Even though my usual trip to the SW is cancelled, today reminds me of some of the spring days above 6000' in the Southwest. Normally I'd be over it at this date, but the wood smoke smell makes it worth it!
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    Got some pea sized hail with this line as it is coming through Morgan County
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    That plateau one is about to hammer me. Looks like it was bowing out a bit the last few NEXRAD frames
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    Sorry the above should say glad there's **NOT** a ton of sunshine.
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    12z new HRRR4 or whatever it is now is throwing some sort (I say that because it has a little black swath overhead) of severe storm right over my head at 23 - 0z this evening. Also popping some CAPE and decent (300 -occasionally 400) helicity values in my neck of the woods. 14z old HRRR looks similar. Not sure it will make a difference, but glad there's a ton of sunshine in sight right now.
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    There's a storm in N AL that's looking healthy.
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    WBIR reporting the Little Pigeon River is flooding near Walter's State CC in Sevier county. Apparently one person saying they've "never seen it that bad" and that has to be saying a lot after last Feb and this Feb.
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    Bowing storm aiming at Dayton. The northern edge may hit me.
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    Absolutely pouring right now. One of the heaviest rains I've ever experienced. Visibility down to >.10 mile with fog.
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    To me it looks like there may be a piece of that airmass beyond the lower warm front that makes it into the southern valley, but it will be close to the time the main front swings through. Very heavy rain right now really working over the atmosphere. And that QLCS we were talking about earlier seems to have turned more east, rather than coming up towards Chatt, so some of the convection is perpendicular to the valley now. Hard to say with the line back in MS now though.
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