Save the itchy algae!

Deeper meaning stronger/lower pressure, or further south?

Fair enough. That should be resolving some within the next couple runs, I hope.

I'd expect so, but if there were indeed only a few slps moving towards TN then you think the ensemble would be more favorable.

Is there precedent for an 850 low splitting into two clear lows that move in different directions like what is depicted on the Euro? It seems to me that one or the other would take over.

I'm most interested in the 00Z Euro, like everyone else. I didn't know they had off-hour runs of the Euro... Is the 00Z at 1 am?

Maybe its the computer trying to temper expectations to keep hype from running wild!

The GFS doesn't make sense to me. Things seem to be trending in a positive direction overall for East TN but the output doesn't execute.

UCF!

The sun has far more power on our planet than CO2, it borders on ridiculous to suggest otherwise. That study is not powered well, and I'm pretty sure that institution has been known to push agendas for funding purposes in the past. The only thing that has a remotely higher impact on us than the sun are things like drastic changes in oceanic composition and planetary events like super volcanoes and meteors. I don't mean to come across too critical, you just seem too set in your ways.

If that's what you got from the comment then you have more pressing concerns than climate change. But to bring it down to level, yes the climate is always changing. And yes, the earth has been generally warming for 10-12,000 years so one would expect ice core samples to reflect that trend. Per the other guy's point, the sea ice is not currently adequately reflecting a period of warming and thus (per the other other guy's point) there is more to the process than what our current understanding is. A lot of what has been posted recently here in the form of articles is mainly an example of politicking and hubris.

What you said had no bearing on my comments at all. Of course the ice is lowest now, its the latest in a long warming period, that's what you would expect. It's irrelevant to the point I made.

So, wait, warmer air holds more moisture?!? Who would have thought...

It reads like a political shill.

This is true. That said, it's important to keep what 'historical norms' are in perspective as well. The time frame we are speaking of is smaller than a blip on the radar in terms of global climate. I'm not saying that we haven't played a role in warming things a bit (of course we have), but the big picture impact is likely overstated, and it might not even be a bad thing really anyway. We have no idea what the climate is going to be like in 2040, '50, whenever. Let's just say that we go through a stretch in a couple years where things freeze up nicely, 'like they used to'. This is entirely possible based on some projections that are about as meaningful as those saying we'll be ice free. Come the new decade, the new 30 year averages will be from 1991-2020. This will include the biggest years of the brief warm up. The next thing you know the observed trends will be a mirror opposite of what we were seeing earlier this decade, and it will look like an impending relative ice age. This is what happens when humans over emphasize their lifetime on a global scale. Awareness is key of course. I'm not saying that you are being this way but some here are beating drums so loudly that they are unknowingly contributing to complacency.

I wish we could keep the discussions of human induced climate change and human induced mass extinction separate. I am a huge believer in trying to address the latter, while I think the former is mainly political. Combining them will alienate those that don't like BS, there are a lot of them out there, and we need all the help we can get to slow the extinction event.

What do you call people that think what you said only works one way? Alarmists? Sycophants? Partoftheproblem?

Can we have a graphical geography lesson on what counts as eastern valley/west valley/south valley/north valley/etc? I am not from the area so it all just seems like the valley to me, but it's clear that there are certain microclimates that exist everywhere. As an example, it seems where I live (Farragut) is generally drier than other places not far away (like Powell). Can someone knowledgeable on the matters educate me? This might be a good thread topic as I'm sure there are others interested in the geography and how it plays out in tendencies relative to other places... Second summer sucks.

I'm pretty sure QOL has improved greatly for mankind as its gotten warmer.

Has the sea ice started growing again? It looks like its reached its nadir and might be turning up. Seems a little early for that, but the times are changing!

I don't believe so, the question wasn't directed at you or anything you said. It was in response to Vice-Regent, whom was quoted and already responded.

Mass extinction has been occurring for at least the last 10,000 years. It doesn't sting any less to see the byproduct now in examples X or Y, but its something we already knew. I have never heard a single person inclined to discuss such things ever say they don't believe that we are in a mass extinction event. I'm curious what 'denier talking points' frustrate you to the point of seeking censorship.

I find the premise of this thread to be rather alarmist. That doesn't mean that we should not be more thoughtful stewards of the planet though. That said, its highly unlikely that the earth will be in a hothouse environment in 300 years; we will either be largely in the same realm of climate we are today (300 years is a blink of the eye as it relates to the earth's climate) or we will be extinct due to much more impactful circumstances than the use of Volvos, coal, and plastic.

My limited understanding is that the QBO is not useful for the purposes we are alluding to.