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Save the itchy algae!

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Everything posted by Save the itchy algae!

  1. Save the itchy algae!
    @Holston_River_RamblerI don’t know, the wiser person would take the ‘what could go wrong with this’ mindset and work backwards to gain insight. You got me beat already. I just measured snow and made a nice presentation.
  2. Save the itchy algae!
    I’m not going to disagree with you and I’ve only been following valley weather/climate for the last five years or so-I’m no expert. That said, in previous southern locations I lived I rarely ever had a melted equivalence of less than 10:1. In fact the lowest I’ve ever gotten is 8:1 and that was in an absolute slopstorm. Again not arguing but I think 10:1 is fair for most assuming no significant mixing. I actually did a project with KSHB when I lived in KC to determine the average ratio for the winter events there in 2006. The lead met was certain it would be around 10-12:1, it ended up being 18:1 which was significant because he said 20:1 ratios were rare outside of lake/ocean/orographic impacted locations, which KC obviously has none of. That said, if a 3” snow falls and the nws logs it as 1.7” like they seem to do here a lot then 15:1 can become 8:1 rather quickly.
  3. Save the itchy algae!
    Snow and sleet in Farragut.
  4. Save the itchy algae!
    How do you guys upload pics here? It’s telling me max size is 1.95MB. That seems small.
  5. Save the itchy algae!
    I just went back outside and it’s snowing in Powell.
  6. Save the itchy algae!
    I’m currently off Emory Road by the hospital along 1-75 and the precipitation is very light and appears to be plain rain/showers. I’m not sure about temperature.
  7. Save the itchy algae!
    Again I’ll be following your overnight updates as I’m stuck in Powell.
  8. Save the itchy algae!
    Just rain in Farragut from that band. Still upper 30’s.
  9. Save the itchy algae!
    I’m a little concerned about this one. It feels like cold rain coming in Farragut, not snow. I hope I’m wrong but I was more confident at this point in the game for the Christmas Eve snow than this one.
  10. Save the itchy algae!
    I have a hard time believing the trajectory of the New Years storm as it relates to the 6z gfs. It’s too far west to be a cutter and too far east to be a 4 corners low. It has to go much further west or east. What does it want to be? We’ll see I suppose but I’m certain it’s not going to go due north from the tx/la coast all the way to Chicago.
  11. Save the itchy algae!
    Don’t make me break out the CAPS LOCK.
  12. Save the itchy algae!
    By mid week we will have another significant storm system headed our way. Slowed down approach of POPs by 6 hours in the grids, based on new Euro run with deeper trough and slower movement. We should have a classic setup for a 12-18 hour Mountain Wave Wind event centered right now around Thursday, with the timing differing in models. The low level winds will be bringing up a lot of moisture, thereby inducing some instability. Have kept Thunder out for now, but could see it possibly getting into southern parts of the area Thursday. On the back side of this system the colder air could offer another chance of snow around Thursday night into early Friday. The overall scenario is not too different from this White Christmas scenario, but too early to know about available moisture, how quickly airmass will cool, and how much lift there will be. Looks like this precip will taper off pretty quickly around Friday. Edit: sorry guys, don’t know why the font is so large.
  13. Save the itchy algae!
    The 6z GFS has a monster in five days.
  14. Save the itchy algae!
    Good to know, when I left at 9pm the roads were clear in my neck of the woods...wet but otherwise clear I should say.
  15. Save the itchy algae!
    You’re close to where I live in Farragut apparently. I’m stuck at work in Powell, did that snow accumulate on the road or just elevated surfaces and grass?
  16. Save the itchy algae!
    Yeah that was the biggest head fake of the winter last year, it was early and made it seem like we were destined for a good season. This season clearly feels different.
  17. Save the itchy algae!
    If it’s the same I’m looking at, looks like mrx’s map is still the one they generated early this am. Their disco still reflects that, I would expect a more thorough update with the 3am product.
  18. Save the itchy algae!
    I’ve experienced one severe thunderstorm in my six years living in the valley. It was a drive to get there and it was marginal. This is not the place to be a severe wx nerd—worse than snow.
  19. Save the itchy algae!
    Flakes mixing in with the drizzle in Farragut.
  20. Save the itchy algae!
    Seem stuck at 40 with a 37 dew point in Farragut. Hoping to see some flakes flying at the least today.
  21. Save the itchy algae!
    How dare you say that and not elaborate! Perma ban for you!
  22. Save the itchy algae!
    Is this person suggesting there’s a (relatively) large extent of arctic sea ice? As it stands it looks like we are currently tied roughly with 2011/12 with the lowest extent on record. That’s extreme relativity there. Also while we are expected to see increased solar activity it is my understanding that we are also in a century-class minimum so our increasing activity may still resemble low solar output conditions. sorry to take this off topic, I’m sure it’s a strong correlation but maybe not the best year/conditions to test the strength of it.
  23. Save the itchy algae!
    Just my opinion but I have two thoughts on that. First is that law of averages would suggest we are due for a good season, or at least a good hitter or two. And speaking of averages, starting next year the ‘cool’ 80’s drop off the 30 year climate data charts which means we will likely see a change in averages, perhaps skewing more cool since the 90’s and 00’s were so warm. Oceans will probably continue their warm phases which will continue to skew the ‘global’ temperatures though.
  24. Save the itchy algae!
    Looks like wet snow starting to mix in here in Farragut.
  25. Save the itchy algae!
    Not if they think only 1/2-1” will fall.
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