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midatlanticweather

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Everything posted by midatlanticweather

  1. Major lull out here! Temps went briefly up to 32 - back to 30 again. Sleet for the most part.
  2. Great read https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/02/16/how-the-surprise-presidents-day-snowstorm-of-1979-advanced-the-science-of-forecasting/
  3. Still mainly sleet with snow. Trying to flip as heavier stuff moves in. Maybe we get back to some snow - think we lose though.
  4. One note - Seeing some fog now which is indicative of the warmer air - 30/29 here.
  5. As precip picks up, more snow gets mixed in. So when the heavier returns hit, maybe we get back into good snow a bit longer. I would say it is now 65% sleet/45% snow. Accumulations are not really happening. edit: - MY MATH is awesome! Getting 110% precipitation here! LOL!
  6. Not seeing any current strikes, but love this site.! https://www.lightningmaps.org/?lang=en#m=oss;t=3;s=0;o=0;b=;ts=0;z=9;y=39.2982;x=-76.815;d=2;dl=2;dc=0;
  7. In this lighter stuff we mixed with sleet and Freezing rain. Attempting to change back to snow as rates are increasing again. I measured 4.7 inches.
  8. This may be in the thread somewhere - NWS upped totals a bit! Very much necessary.
  9. Would we get a snow squall warning on top of a Winter Storm Warning? Just curious! LOL!
  10. Just broke 4 inches. What an amazing thump. Thumpilicious as it is still ripping!
  11. Between 2 and 3 already - looks closer to 3. In meetings or I would have already measured. Looks great!
  12. Seems like it stepped back in Nova and on precip as well. Icing looks bad further North and west - Prefer snow and not ice so I would be OK with that.
  13. This double band situation is becoming more real. 18z Nam shows it too. Of course right across mby and DC area get screwed
  14. yes- at least on the NAM - Euro kind of leaned that way previously, but came in better at 6z. GFS kind of agrees, but I suspected a bit south. And it is PA now that looks like the best thump - sleet and FZ for Nova and MD - except the Mts do well with the WAA thump. The 2-4 inch call for Nova and Southern MD - probably better bet.
  15. Going back, I remember a comment a long while back that the Jet Streak was the thing that would bring heaviest snows to an area. Seems to line up well with models, but maybe the more north (NAM) would be more favored for most Precip. Anyways, anyone on a flight from the west gets some serious tailwind!
  16. NWS - Warning for Purcellville shows the 4 to 6 inches. Point and click shows 5 to 9 inches. Expected is 7" on winter page. I am thinking 4 to 6 inches personally. Then icy mess. Hopefully no power issues but 0.22 inches of ice will be worse than what we just had last week and that was bad news out here, especially just to my west. Gonna be a long next few days
  17. I was quite surprised by how many trees and limbs came down, but I have a hard time remembering the last big ice event here so there were many weak trees and limbs that were poised to come down. Agreed, last storm was bad and took a life in Leesburg. Power issues on and off for 2 days.
  18. Last week's system did a number on trees and power issues were quite crazy. This looks to be similar or worse .. @clskinsfan - No idea honestly. I think it does bias high though..
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