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Albedoman

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  1. Albedoman
    Channel 69 news ran with this BS tonight. Boy the weenies are coming to the surface now. https://www.wfmz.com/news/area/lehighvalley/69-news-meteorologist-discusses-european-weather-model-forecasting-december-snow-in-lehigh-valley-that-took/article_7af2db2c-8263-11ee-bfee-7b74ff14fc43.html
  2. Albedoman
    well I posted this on saturday- guess what Channel 69 picks it up this evening and runs with the story with a video too LMAO big time now. https://www.wfmz.com/news/area/lehighvalley/69-news-meteorologist-discusses-european-weather-model-forecasting-december-snow-in-lehigh-valley-that-took/article_7af2db2c-8263-11ee-bfee-7b74ff14fc43.html
  3. Albedoman
    for the ultimate snow weenie in all of us. This was pushed out in the EC models for snow amounts at Christmas. Give me a break. Talk about a dream run. This BS run beats all of the EC runs for the weenies. One hell of a Christmas wish. Having fun LMAO
  4. Albedoman
    lots of raking to do on Wednesday as the 30 mph wind gusts from the passing cold front really does a number on what leave are left on the trees. on Tuesday through Tuesday night . We sure could use an inch of rain right now too.
  5. Albedoman
    expect a bunch of mangled flakes around 4-5 am maybe a dusting?
  6. Albedoman
    just talked to relatives in Milwaukee- getting pounded with snow this afternoon and evening - a few inches pretty crappy Halloween.
  7. Albedoman
    MY leaf color forecast is right on schedule based on Tuesdays forecast with Frost. Late next week will be peak color after the frost. Most of the leaves will fall of by election day with windy days. the piles will be high as they will all fall off at the same time.
  8. Albedoman
    greenskeeper would give you a weenie tag for such a statement LOL
  9. Albedoman
    I am so sick of these debris clouds and showers showing up at my doorstep when sunny skies are in the forecast and zero percent chance of rain. Cannot get anything done
  10. Albedoman
    
  11. Albedoman
    anyone west of quakertown nothing. I have had less than .10 in the entire event- drizzle thats it. The south mountain range upsloping is destroying any rain to the west- physical geography doing a number on rainfall totals. I hate these hybrid storm events. Bring back the sun.
  12. Albedoman
  13. Albedoman
    Now, comes campfire time. With the rain gone after Friday, the grass growing like gangbusters, it's back to enjoying fall weather and garden activities in upcoming next few weeks. LR models indicate a prolong mild dry period with highs in the low to mid 80's too. With the warmer weather, the leaves should stay on the trees longer too. Looks like the majority leaf raking will not happen until after Halloween this year unless we get a cold/windy shot near the end of the month.
  14. Albedoman
    Lee is OTS but nigel/ophelia - direct hit at NYC in the GFS 12Z run. The hype may start soon
  15. Albedoman
    sometimes both sides have to realize the truth and get over their differences. I gave them a way out to approach their differences without all of us reading the results. Everyone is in this forum because of how the weather affects them personally. Climatologists are no different, they just need a different room to play in. Lol
  16. Albedoman
    "Hi Mike...not the best post in Ray's history....I hope he apologizes to the forum. We should never ever devolve on a weather forum to the level of name calling and personal insults like that. I think we can all agree on that!" OMG, 45 years of data gathering for others to enjoy and 60+ years living on this earth- crunching numbers to prove a climatological point is not just what weather is really about. Enjoying the actual daily weather change in our atmosphere by mother nature and how it affects or daily activities is what this specific thread is all about. Weather is not just about numerology, statistics and for climatology records to drive home personal viewpoints of someones's hypothesis of local or regional climate change, its all about the personal experience of the specific weather event itself. As a retired physical geographer with an atmospheric science degree, I can tell you what personally drives me- living through any type of weather event that mother nature can throw at me and being able to share to my friends, family and other colleagues my thoughts and personal experiences of that particular weather event. I guess that is why Mt. Holly wishes to hear the opinions of each storm event from an official weather spotters like me and not just precip/temp data. Fighting over number crunching is ridiculous and pointless unless you are true climatologist wanting to prove any type of hypothesis. I would suggest Ray or you start your own thread on local or regional climatology and leave the bickering of crunching numbers in that specific thread to prove a personal local climate change hypothesis, such as elevation or even ALBEDO dependencies---lol . Thanks guys
  17. Albedoman
    synopsis for today. Hit 94 here in Lower Macungie. First thundershower at 1:30 pm few drops of rain most of the t storm went NW toward Schnecksville. Second round- outflow boundary with gust front at 5pm. Biggest wind storm in a while. 40 Mph gusts with several dead ash trees falling in the woods behind my house. At 5:45pm , the line of t storms finally came though with dime size hail, lots of lighting and heavy rain. Another round of t- storms came though about 30 minutes ago- nice lighting show. Last look at guage was nearly an inch or more of very welcomed rainfall. Will be spending tomorrow afternoon cleaning up the debris from the gust front. Leaves are everywhere.
  18. Albedoman
    The race is on in the GFS models. Who can get here in our region first? The midwestern trough or Hurricane Lee? Right now, latest model runs the last 24 hours is leaning for steering the midwestern trough into Quebec much sooner. The quicker that trough moves, the more blocky the low pressure becomes in the Canadian maritimes thus forcing Hurricane Lee to hit the east coast in our region. Realistically, small changes in speed in the upper air flow for this trough will make all the difference in the world for this hurricane path. We really will not know until 3-5 days out. Its just like predicting a nor'easter for our area right now. If this situation and current weather pattern continues, it is a tell tale sign for this upcoming winter as we will be hugging the model runs to death with many late night 00z model run synopsis by all posters of how these numerous coastal storms will pan out. The important model run for this Hurricane is next Monday nights 00Z run. The hype will begin over the weekend
  19. Albedoman
    the potential hurricane on the 15-17 is showing a lot of potential to be devastating along the east coast , especially to Long Island/NJ with tidal/surge flooding and tons of wind damage Someone will have to start a new thread on this soon if the models continue in this direction. Flooding rains like Floyd is a dam good potential. This type of storm usually breaks the stagnant weather pattern we are in and ushers in some really cool fall air too. I do not wish for 6+ inch rains in 12 hours. The worst thing in the LV and eastern PA is that any winds over 50 mph gusts will bring down thousands of dead ash tree/limbs everywhere that have been sitting dead for years from the ash borer. The debris dams in the streams and falling on the roads damage will be incredible from these ash trees.
  20. Albedoman
    Great, got down to 48 this morning at the house. Slept like a baby. Need more of this early autumn weather . This 90+degree is only going to raise my utility bills and serves no other purpose this late in the summer season. However, with little to no precip, the leaves will also turn quickly this year but the colors should be real nice. No smoke, no fog. real nice morning Reminds me a lot of weather for the morning of 911.
  21. Albedoman
    all I can say is that our yards are going to burn up again by the middle to late september. This evenings GFS shows temp near 100 degrees for a few days next week and in the mid 90's for several more. Enjoy the open windows the next 3 days because they will be slammed shut for the following week after that with the ac running full board. I am really ticked off because my yard is already stressed in the past few weeks with the high temps already during the night and no rain. After Wednesday afternoon, no more rain for almost ten days with the upcoming heat wave. Any blooming flowers in the garden will also be destroyed. Maybe the tomatoes will produce some more but that's about it. I am glad we are under a drought watch still in Lehigh County. The creek levels will fall big time in the next few weeks around here. We really could use some precip from the remnants any hurricane. By the way the hurricane Idalia is projected to do a loop? Talk about crazy weather patterns. Tampa area may be hit with another round form Idalia later next week.
  22. Albedoman
    Basically zilcho last night .15 thats it. Looks like that it will be it for awhile. Back to watering the garden. At least if we get a tropical system in September, the ground will be able to handle the first 2-3 inches. I am glad we do not have the heat like in the mid part of the country. Days of over 100 will be a killer for many crops this late in the summer with no rain. At least one good thing- I get to open the windows for two nights as DP back into the 50's
  23. Albedoman
  24. Albedoman
    ABE is the following below - not even close to those dewpoints yet. It will have to get moist real quick to achieve flooding conditions. Again, lets see if the radar can get juicy in the next 6-8 hours. really hoping for training t storms Light Rain 77°F 25°C Humidity 65% Wind Speed S 9 mph Barometer 29.90 in Dewpoint 64°F (18°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Heat Index 79°F (26°C) Last update 14 Aug 9:35 pm EDT
  25. Albedoman
    well this stuff is going to have to happen after midnight if at all. I see another bust coming folks. Radar looks pretty crappy right now.. Everytime NWS says 90-100% , its been a complete bust this year. Lets hope I am wrong but the radar is pretty week right now.
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