Albedoman

the potential hurricane on the 15-17 is showing a lot of potential to be devastating along the east coast , especially to Long Island/NJ with tidal/surge flooding and tons of wind damage Someone will have to start a new thread on this soon if the models continue in this direction. Flooding rains like Floyd is a dam good potential. This type of storm usually breaks the stagnant weather pattern we are in and ushers in some really cool fall air too. I do not wish for 6+ inch rains in 12 hours. The worst thing in the LV and eastern PA is that any winds over 50 mph gusts will bring down thousands of dead ash tree/limbs everywhere that have been sitting dead for years from the ash borer. The debris dams in the streams and falling on the roads damage will be incredible from these ash trees.

Great, got down to 48 this morning at the house. Slept like a baby. Need more of this early autumn weather . This 90+degree is only going to raise my utility bills and serves no other purpose this late in the summer season. However, with little to no precip, the leaves will also turn quickly this year but the colors should be real nice. No smoke, no fog. real nice morning Reminds me a lot of weather for the morning of 911.

all I can say is that our yards are going to burn up again by the middle to late september. This evenings GFS shows temp near 100 degrees for a few days next week and in the mid 90's for several more. Enjoy the open windows the next 3 days because they will be slammed shut for the following week after that with the ac running full board. I am really ticked off because my yard is already stressed in the past few weeks with the high temps already during the night and no rain. After Wednesday afternoon, no more rain for almost ten days with the upcoming heat wave. Any blooming flowers in the garden will also be destroyed. Maybe the tomatoes will produce some more but that's about it. I am glad we are under a drought watch still in Lehigh County. The creek levels will fall big time in the next few weeks around here. We really could use some precip from the remnants any hurricane. By the way the hurricane Idalia is projected to do a loop? Talk about crazy weather patterns. Tampa area may be hit with another round form Idalia later next week.

Basically zilcho last night .15 thats it. Looks like that it will be it for awhile. Back to watering the garden. At least if we get a tropical system in September, the ground will be able to handle the first 2-3 inches. I am glad we do not have the heat like in the mid part of the country. Days of over 100 will be a killer for many crops this late in the summer with no rain. At least one good thing- I get to open the windows for two nights as DP back into the 50's

ABE is the following below - not even close to those dewpoints yet. It will have to get moist real quick to achieve flooding conditions. Again, lets see if the radar can get juicy in the next 6-8 hours. really hoping for training t storms Light Rain 77°F 25°C Humidity 65% Wind Speed S 9 mph Barometer 29.90 in Dewpoint 64°F (18°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Heat Index 79°F (26°C) Last update 14 Aug 9:35 pm EDT

well this stuff is going to have to happen after midnight if at all. I see another bust coming folks. Radar looks pretty crappy right now.. Everytime NWS says 90-100% , its been a complete bust this year. Lets hope I am wrong but the radar is pretty week right now.

tornado report for Allentown EF1 NOUS41 KPHI 092248PNSPHIDEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-101100-Public Information StatementNational Weather Service Mount Holly NJ648 PM EDT Wed Aug 9 2023...NWS Damage Survey for 08/07/2023 Tornadoes andThunderstorm Wind Events - Update #2....Update...Update includes details on the Midway Manor tornado. Additionally, A tornado was determined to have occurred in HollandTownship, NJ in Hunterdon County. Those details as well as an update to the Hunterdon County straight line wind damage are provided below. Additional updates with details on the Lehigh Valley wind damage will be coming later this evening..Overview...A line of severe thunderstorms moved through the region on the evening of Monday, August 7, 2023. These storms produced widespread wind damage in several locations.The National Weather Service would like to acknowledge and thank the New Castle County Emergency Management, Delaware County Emergency Management, Lehigh County Emergency Management, and Hunterdon County Emergency Management for their assistance with these surveys...Midway Manor Tornado...Rating: EF1Estimated Peak Wind: 100 mphPath Length /statute/: 0.30 milesPath Width /maximum/: 160 yardsFatalities: 0Injuries: 0Start Date: 08/07/2023Start Time: 07:21 PM EDTStart Location: 2 NW Fountain Hill / Lehigh County / PAStart Lat/Lon: 40.63 / -75.4246End Date: 08/07/2023End Time: 07:23 PM EDTEnd Location: 2 W Bethlehem / Lehigh County / PAEnd Lat/Lon: 40.6337 / -75.4216Survey Summary:On the evening of August 7th, an EF-1 tornado occurred, primarilyin the Midway Manor neighborhood of Allentown, Pennsylvania. The tornado began near East Pennsylvania Street between North Ulster Street and North Van Buren Street. At this location, damageto the roof of a church and a neighboring shed was seen with multiple shingles removed and displaced. A large hardwood tree wasalso uprooted in this area, falling to the north as it was uprooted. The tornado then continued to the northeast towards EastLily Street and North Wahneta Street causing sporadic tree damagealong the way. As the tornado crossed North Wahneta Street, the amount of damage began to increase with a shed removed from its foundation and tossed about 50 feet northwest. Multiple trees wereuprooted or snapped in this area as well.As the tornado continued to the northeast, approaching and crossing East Fairmont Street, it reached its maximum width, around 160 yards. It is also reached its maximum intensity, causing damage to multiple homes. The greatest damage was to homesalong the west side of Club Avenue, where multiple homes lost between 30 and 50 percent of their roof covering. One home had a front porch awning taken off the east side of the house, lofted, then landed about 100 feet away in the backyard of a house two doors down. Additionally, damaged crops in the backyard of a home where fallen in a manner consistent with a convergent wind pattern.The tornado continued northeast across Club Avenue, crossing intoBethlehem, Pennsylvania. Here, the tornado began to weaken, but still snapped or took large branches down on multiple trees. The tornado then dissipated as it approached Pennsylvania Avenue. No known injuries or fatalities occurred with this tornado. .Holland Township NJ Tornado...Rating: EF0Estimated Peak Wind: 85 mphPath Length /statute/: 0.52 milesPath Width /maximum/: 150 yardsFatalities: 0Injuries: 0Start Date: 08/07/2023Start Time: 07:37 PM EDTStart Location: 2.6 SW Holland Township / Hunterdon County / NJStart Lat/Lon: 40.5748 / -75.1567End Date: 08/07/2023End Time: 07:38 PM EDTEnd Location: 2 SW Holland Township / Hunterdon County / NJEnd Lat/Lon: 40.5811 / -75.1511Survey Summary: A tornado started along Reiglesville - Milford Road in Holland Township resulting in tree damage and significant damage to two farm outbuildings. The path stayed over mostly open fields until Crab Apple Hill Road where additional tree damage including a large uprooted tree was noted. Though additional damage was noted in a path downstream from this area, the damage was not continuousand appeared to be more likely straight-line winds..Concordville PA Thunderstorm Wind...Rating: TSTM/WindEstimated Peak Wind: 85 - 95 mphPath Length /statute/: 0.46 milesPath Width /maximum/: 500 yardsFatalities: 0Injuries: 0Start Date: 08/07/2023Start Time: 06:27 PM EDTStart Location: 2 NNE Concordville / Delaware County / PAStart Lat/Lon: 39.9021 / -75.498End Date: 08/07/2023End Time: 06:27 PM EDTEnd Location: 2 WNW Chester Heights / Delaware County / PAEnd Lat/Lon: 39.9087 / -75.4966Survey Summary:Widespread and extensive tree damage was found in the area ofAndrien Rd. Significant tree loss with many softwood andhardwood trees had trunks snapped or were uprooted..Chadds Ford PA Thunderstorm Winds...Rating: TSTM/WindEstimated Peak Wind: 85 - 90 mphPath Length /statute/: 0.53 milesPath Width /maximum/: 500 yardsFatalities: 0Injuries: 0Start Date: 08/07/2023Start Time: 06:21 PM EDTStart Location: Elam / Delaware County / PAStart Lat/Lon: 39.8624 / -75.5402End Date: 08/07/2023End Time: 06:21 PM EDTEnd Location: 1 NNW Elam / Delaware County / PAEnd Lat/Lon: 39.8701 / -75.5407Survey Summary:Significant tree damage was observed in the area of Chadds Fordalong Springhill drive towards Marshall Rd. A large number oftrees had been uprooted with a large tree down on a building offof Meadow Ct...Lakewood Farms area of Hockessin Thunderstorm Winds...Rating: TSTM/WindEstimated Peak Wind: 110 mphPath Length /statute/: 0.16 milesPath Width /maximum/: 300 yardsFatalities: 0Injuries: 0Start Date: 08/07/2023Start Time: 06:09 PM EDTStart Location: 2 WSW North Star / New Castle County / DEStart Lat/Lon: 39.7573 / -75.7514End Date: 08/07/2023End Time: 06:09 PM EDTEnd Location: 2 WSW North Star / New Castle County / DEEnd Lat/Lon: 39.7595 / -75.7505Survey Summary:Extensive tree damage was found between Quartz Mill Rd andKraffert Ct. Between 15-20 trees had been snapped with at least10 more large trees uprooted. Several houses along Kraffert Cthad been damaged by trees. .North Star DE Thunderstorm Winds ...Rating: TSTM/WindEstimated Peak Wind: 65 - 70 mphPath Length /statute/: 0.55 milesPath Width /maximum/: 500 yardsFatalities: 0Injuries: 0Start Date: 08/07/2023Start Time: 06:10 PM EDTStart Location: North Star / New Castle County / DEStart Lat/Lon: 39.7666 / -75.721End Date: 08/07/2023End Time: 06:10 PM EDTEnd Location: 1 N North Star / New Castle County / DEEnd Lat/Lon: 39.7728 / -75.7144Survey Summary:Damage was found along the North Star area near the elementary school and towards the south of the school. Damage pattern was unidirectional in nature and consistent with straight line winds..Cherokee Woods Area of Newark DE Thunderstorm Winds...Rating: TSTM/WindEstimated Peak Wind: 85 - 95 mphPath Length /statute/: 0.80 milesPath Width /maximum/: 300 yardsFatalities: 0Injuries: 0Start Date: 08/07/2023Start Time: 06:10 PM EDTStart Location: 1 E Brookside / New Castle County / DEStart Lat/Lon: 39.6697 / -75.7106End Date: 08/07/2023End Time: 06:10 PM EDTEnd Location: 1 E Brookside / New Castle County / DEEnd Lat/Lon: 39.6811 / -75.7092Survey Summary:Extensive tree damage was found along W Cherokee Dr in New Castle anddamage pattern showed trees blown down towards the same direction. A significant number of homes were damaged with local officials indicating several homes were uninhabitable..Elam PA Thunderstorm Winds...Rating: TSTM/WindEstimated Peak Wind: 80 mphPath Length /statute/: 0.12 milesPath Width /maximum/: 0 yardsFatalities: 0Injuries: 0Start Date: 08/07/2023Start Time: 06:21 PM EDTStart Location: 1 W Elam / Delaware County / PAStart Lat/Lon: 39.8582 / -75.5548End Date: 08/07/2023End Time: 06:21 PM EDTEnd Location: 1 WNW Elam / Delaware County / PAEnd Lat/Lon: 39.86 / -75.5547Survey Summary:A concentrated area of significant straight line winds were foundalong Heyburn Rd. Several large trees were uprooted with a pathof damage moving down a small hill..Montgomery Woods area of Hockessin DE Thunderstorm Wind...Rating: TSTM/WindEstimated Peak Wind: 90 mphPath Length /statute/: 0.23 milesPath Width /maximum/: 300 yardsFatalities: 0Injuries: 0Start Date: 08/07/2023Start Time: 06:12 PM EDTStart Location: 1 NE Hockessin / New Castle County / DEStart Lat/Lon: 39.7871 / -75.6762End Date: 08/07/2023End Time: 06:12 PM EDTEnd Location: 1 NNE Hockessin / New Castle County / DEEnd Lat/Lon: 39.7904 / -75.6763Survey Summary:Significant tree unidirectional damage was found along MontgomeryWoods Dr. in New Castle. At the time of the survey, parts of the road were impassable with trees and powerlines. Several home were not accessible due to damage and so the true length of the microburst is unknown..Holland and Bethlehem Township NJ Thunderstorm Wind...Peak Wind /E/: 85 - 95 mphPath Length /statute/: 0.5 milesPath Width /maximum/: 200 yardsFatalities: 0Injuries: 0Start Date: 08/07/2023Start Time: 7:39 PM EDTStart Location: 1 mile N Holland Township / Hunterdon County / NJStart Lat/Lon: 40.616 / -75.120End Date: 08/07/2023End Time: 7:40 PM EDTEnd Location: 0.6 miles SE Bloomsbury / Hunterdon County / NJEnd Lat/Lon: 40.653 / -75.072Survey Summary: Sporadic tree damage occurred in a path downstream of the Holland Township tornado including a tree blown into a house on Milford Warren Glen Road. Sporadic tree damage continued until the area ofCreveling Road and Johnston Drive. Significant tree damage was observed along Creveling Road and Johnston Drive. In addition to several large limbs being blown down, there were several trees uprooted and at least two softwood trees were snapped at the trunk. Damage was unidirectional with tree debris laying to the north. This area was located within a broader area of more sporadic tree damage.&&EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into thefollowing categories:EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mphEF1...Weak......86 to 110 mphEF2...Strong....111 to 135 mphEF3...Strong....136 to 165 mphEF4...Violent...166 to 200 mphEF5...Violent...>200 mphNOTE:The information in this statement is preliminary and subject tochange pending final review of the events and publication in NWSStorm Data.$$AKL/MJL/Fanning/Deal/MPS/SJ

more pictures

Mt Holly confirmed a couple of hours ago that a tornado did touch down in east Allentown near the same area 15 years ago yesterday - Dieruff High school area. Magnitude/track is not yet known. I expect after seeing the damage myself that it was an F0 or F1 at the most. IMHO, twisted trees with snapped off branches near the top of the tree canopies was one of the confirming issues along with siding being peeled away from the sides of several structures and pvc panels from solid 8 ft high stockade panels scattered amongst the debris field. Lower Macungie Township township building near my house , trees across the powerlines which brought down tons of wires closing Brookside Rd most of the day- power out at the township building and they had to operate on the generators most of the day.

yep, straight line wind damage was the only threat. Dime to quarter size hail reported in our area too. Had branches down around my house- nothing too big. 50-60 mph winds for sure. 1.15 in the rain bucket- happy about that. Simple squall line no real training. Another t-storm line out west of Harrisburg- wondering if will make it here before 3 am?

Hit the nail on the head with this statement. The 2-3 inches of rain called for on Monday from yesterday morning has quickly dwindled to less than one inch. I am so tired of this crap. Stratified debris cloud cover again this morning with less than .25 of rain last night. The street is already dry. If the sun comes out this afternoon, we will get a solid line of severe t- storms but no where near 2-3 in of training t storms precip. Again and even MT Holly brought it up in this mornings discussion, the convective nature from last nights showers were negligent. It seems that lighting does NOT want to happen during the night in our forecast area this year.

the straight line wind damage is a real big threat more than tornadoes. Would not be surprised that many tornado warnings could be simply issued for rotation on radar echos when in realty they are simple straight line wind damage paths. Yesterday in Tn , reversing gust fronts happened. Talk about rare for straight line wind damage paths. Hail damage maybe a concern as updrafts become very severe too.

not frustrated that the drought is somewhat diminished which is good however, I am very frustrated that this Canadian HP dominated weather pattern has been so unpredictable in our forecasting. When you call for severe weather and 60% and nothing happens at all, its like getting virga for a winter storm warning. Many people count on their daily activities for a somewhat accurate prediction. I hate to spend money watering or washing cars and put off those activities until needed. If a 60% chance of rain is called, you can bet I will not be washing the car for example. Hit and miss diurnal t -showers should never be classified as a 60% chance in any forecast. The MCS and squall lines storms are constantly forming over western PA only to diminish in their intensity by dusk before they hit eastern PA. I think only one or two times this entire summer season have I experienced a t storm after sunset. Thats is rare and I am really surprised we are not talking about this type of event more often. When is the last time we had training t-storms with constant lightning at midnight? Take a look at the midwest on the radar every evening in the past week or so. The ring of fire t- storms have been firing up along a line from Iowa and Illinois down to Alabama and the freaking storms stay together all night long. I would love to see that here just a few times during the summer. Enough ranting. Monday forecast, I will believe it when I see it. It is not cast in stone thats for sure for 1-2 in of rain even the PWATS say 2.5 in. I do agree its the best chance of seing a significant rain in awhile. It will be a million dollar rain for corn and soybeans for sure.

those freaking t- storms in central PA are hitting a brick wall on the west side of the Blue Mts. I have not had a good rain in almost three weeks now. The severe t- storm watch should be dropped and chances of rain reduced to 30% for tonight as the squall line appears tobe in a disarray. Right now anyone SE of Hazelton is getting nothing tonight if these storms keep fizzling out

My first call -- lots of southern sliders as the PV has to lock in early over the upper midwest in late November for us to see some "Big Daddy's" Lots of rain to sleet to snow storms and us being on the cusp on every storm event for precip types until early January. If one cold PV system locks up in mid December- game on. Actually the major game changer for this winter is a tropical system in late October for our area which can quickly rearrange the flow of frontal systems and change our weather pattern. I have seen it a bunch of times. The key will be how strong the tropical system will be and how it will help pull down colder air when it departs. Then the new pattern sets up for the next 30-60 days. The deeper the tropical system, more colder air dumps in behind the system.

omg Wake up Wednesday morning and you can almost see your breath at near 50 degrees. Cannot wait. The grass will love it as soil temps drop a few degrees too.

https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/pjm-interconnection-heat-alerts-us-power Basically it is a warning to the generators(suppliers) in the PJM electrical system to be online as demand will peak by Saturday evening. They maybe fined if they are not online. Key- everyone needs to reduce their energy needs. Weekend should help as many people will be involved in outdoor activities. Media blowing it oout of proportion. I worked with PJM in Lower Providence and Milford Township facilities. Their grid system is unbelievable and they are located in concrete harden bunkers literally 50- 100 ft underground with giant computer screens controlling every power switching station . They are the guys that saved PA from the 20013 NE blackout from hitting our area. https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/pjm-interconnection-heat-alerts-us-power https://insidelines.pjm.com/fifteen-years-since-northeast-blackout-reliability-remains-top-pjm-priority/

add that to your 13 inches of rain for the month. Zilco here and parts of my area are still in a PADEP drought watch as the media reported.

no t-showers on the radar within 200 miles of here. Please someone tell me how a 50% chance of t storms with a potential of severe suddenly pops up in the next few hours. C'mon man.

well the drought guy has not had much rain in the past week. Less than .50 in. Everything blooming is to the southeast or northeast of western Lehigh county. Did see some t showers at noon but it was too early in the day for any significant rain. These storms appear to grow in the western burbs of Philly and go full board by the time they hit eastern NJ. Its been that way for weeks on end. Last night by the time the t- storms hit the Blue Mts from Harrisburg, they were just light showers when they hit my area.

.45 in with afternoon thunderstorm- typical afternoon garden variety but no hail or wind gusts over 20 mph. Already going NE into Allentown and Bethlehem. Sun coming out