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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds
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It's not a wobble. It's a cave. GFS was stingy with QPF inland for the entire event giving my area .1 or so qpf for days while nearly every other model in particular the mesos were giving significantly more. GFS just doing what it does.
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10:1 would also be wrong especially N and W when ratios could be 15:1.
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We just got a foot in Dutchess county last weekend. I'll take the 2-4 or whatever it is.
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Huh? It's the long range nam so take FWIW but it did give NYC metro 3-4 inches and was still snowing.
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Right now this looks like a 1-3/2-4 type event on Tuesday with more on Friday which is still TBD and the GFS goes a little crazy on.
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The CMC, UKIE, ICON, all brought light to possibly moderate snows to the area. GFS was a complete disaster. Also likely some snow this weekend.
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The nam is not a nothing burger but it's the long range nam so who knows.
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Yes. I remember walking to school in snowstorms and freezing cold backwards and uphill both ways.
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The 18z RGEM would have been a nice hit and the 18z Icon was pretty good but they are 18z's of course so saying it's over after a bad 18z GFS run 4 days out run with a known south and east bias is a little premature.
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Walt said 1-3 because he was worried about possible mixing issues along the coast on the 00z CMC. 12z was further east and colder.
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You are obviously new here. The guy never thinks it's going to snow and any model that shows nothing or warm and wet is the model that he hugs. I have never seen a positive post from him about an upcoming event if it means a snow possibility. With this snow potential next week the CMC, GFS, Ukie, Icon show a possible wintry solution to differing degrees. The Euro shows nothing. Which model do you think he is touting right now? I just laugh.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
HeadInTheClouds replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Finished with 12 inches. Nice little storm. Good thing winter didn't end in December.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
HeadInTheClouds replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
28 with heavy snow. Picked up about 3 in the last hour. Up to about 8 now.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
HeadInTheClouds replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
And you were worried.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
HeadInTheClouds replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Loving all the snow reports. 31 with steady light snow, started about 15 minutes ago.- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
HeadInTheClouds replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
and driest.- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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