kvegas-wx

2 minutes ago, CaryWx said:

 

You'll be fine.  You are in a good spot

Lol, dont get me started.  How about that dry slot, AKA Georgia, that needs to fill in.  Hoping the radar looks solid around daybreak.

Finally got down to 37° after being stuck at almost 40° for a couple hours.  Now I feel like we're headed in the right direction.  Precip will move into the Triad by 1am.  Lets go!

2 minutes ago, cbmclean said:

I think Mack moved to Ohio.  He can enjoy all those cutters now.  I was wondering what happened to Cold Rain.  And also Warm Nose.

Mack moved to Iowa.  He still posts in that forum.  Wouldnt surprise me to see him pop in tomorrow if it snows in SC.

10 minutes ago, Grayman said:

I mean I don’t get it. Some guys post boom then 20 minutes later it’s over. Weird 

Imperfect model guidance = irrational exhuberance.

Real time obs = crushed souls

Just now, BornAgain13 said:

That would be great , just not to encouraged by the latest guidance....

Yeah, my expectations have been reduced to a mulch covering.

This first wave is gonna flip to all snow as it crosses the Va border tonight.  Maybe @Buddy1987 @BornAgain13you have some early wins to look forward to.

2 minutes ago, Ernest T Bass said:

37 with stars showing for now

Might lead to your jackpot later.  

Ugh, I just warmed up a degree in Kernersville.  The cold air is parked up at the farm in Stuart about 30 miles north.  34.8° there at 1,400' elevation.

2 minutes ago, ChesterfieldVa80 said:

I cant believe it does l I title to nothing in VA east of 77.

Gonna be liquid not frozen.  Not good trends.

2 minutes ago, 85snowline said:

I have been thinking the same thing. Lots of verga so far in Concord, however Im pretty certain the leading shield of the main event is about to crank up imby. Ill post obs of course. Where r u located??

Kernersville....center of the Triad.

Why does it seem like this first wave is multiple hours ahead of schedule?  My forecast, and RAH, is saying snow well into the afternoon tomorrow.  Thats a loooong event if the precip shield fills in.

Where are all the snow reports from the mountains?  Radar lighting up everywhere out west!

Nevermind...I see all those altitude afflicted folks are too good to come over here and post in the obs thread.  They have their own little special drinks and probably even a secret handshake for get togethers.  

39.9 in the heart of the Triad.  36 on the farm in Stuart.  Progress!

16 minutes ago, griteater said:

Final call

Wow Grit, "optimist" is not your middle name!  Taking the under for the Vegas odds today huh?

41 minutes ago, davenc said:

Checkout the Brasstown Bald Snow Invasion live cam in N.Georgia!

Enjoyed watching some whacko on the live cam taking an evening jog through the snow up there!  Can't wait.  Let's do this Katherine!

2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

7:1

For you north of Danville, yes.  But in the central piedmont and as you move down towards CLT no.  Even the last guidance from RAH is calling for wet snow with surface temps just above freezing.

Just now, sarcean said:

I know it will be a heavy wet snow - what are the liquid to snowfall ratios expected?

Without a better cold air source, I'd go 5:1.  Chop QPF in half almost everywhere outside the mountains.

7 minutes ago, JoshWeather said:

The one big snow that i've been through was i think 2000 in Roxboro...i remember the forecasts going into the evening were calling for maybe an inch or two.  Then it started snowing...and it didn't stop snowing for 11 hours.  We ended up with over a foot and a half IIRC

It has a name........Carolina Crusher.    Snuck in like a thief in the night.

1 minute ago, BullCityWx said:

You wanna be careful with the RAP because it's really bad that far out in it's run. 

Oddly enough, if you take DT's call map and slide it 50-75 miles southwest like I said earlier you end up with what looks like the RAP forecast here.  I can easily see this being our outcome.

3 minutes ago, yotaman said:

Me thinks a lot of people will be disappointed when they wake up tomorrow morning and thru out the day.

Sounds to me like you've been reading that special weather book written by some crusty old lifetime North Carolinian called "33 and rain: A story of my life and North Carolina Winter Weather".  Most of us have that book on the shelf in these parts and drag it out at least once each year.  

Just now, BornAgain13 said:

DT'S First Guess

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Well DT didn't hold back!  I'm a little lost on why he scaled back the mountain and western foothill totals.  It would seem his entire chart should be shifted 50-75 miles southwest.

CMC still likes the Monday event with some significant accums through the foothills and western piedmont into central VA.

11 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Much better run on the RGEM for N NC and S VA

Jackpotting a foot just south of GSO??  Nice!  But the RGEM may be flying solo on this one.  Not a lot of support elsewhere.

3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

21z SREF @wncsnow

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Deal!  And maybe even a "BOOM".  

18 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

And as a bengals fan....

 

I kid I kid 

I know a thing or two about shutouts and pick 6's!

1 minute ago, BullCityWx said:

10.7” for RDU and basically nothing for south wake. 

Stuart Va went from 8" on the HRRR to zero on the NAM.  Dont want to be on the wrong side of the railroad tracks with this one.  Difference between a touchdown and a pick6.