kvegas-wx

How in the world is it not snowing right now across the triad and points west?  Radar looks plenty solid for a snow shower?

16 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said:

42% U.S. snow coverage this morning.  Little surprised it isn't higher, especially across the northern Rockies and high plains.  However, good coverage in the east should aid in arctic air transport next week.

This is certainly not accurate for most of NC and the southern tier of VA.  That snow got washed away and melted shortly after impact.  Maybe a few piles left around in the NC snow capital of Roxboro, but that will be gone by today/tomorrow too.

Bring on the polar vortex and let it all freeze solid.  Then catch a southern slider or Miller A on the retreat.  That way everything is frozen and we get maximum accums.  

6 minutes ago, Grayman said:

Looks disorganized to me . Lots of time to get better 

Thats the way this entire winter thus far feels....disorganized.  Seems like we are getting bits and pieces of what we need, sloppy seconds and mediocre HP placement at best.  When this pattern finally does come together, I hope all the pieces turn in our favor.  Boom or bust the next 6 week folks.

15 minutes ago, griteater said:

12z Para at day 9 with a suppressed option

Can't say suppression around here Grit.  The masses are quite sensitive and you get quickly labeled as "Aldi Brand Widermann".  

Let's get this party going.  Very light flurries this morning in Walkertown!  

18 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

You are aldi brand widremann. 

I'll see what I can do to elevate my status to Whole Foods.

9 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

I remember when KVegas was an optimist 

2020 man, what can I say.  It creeped into my weather outlook.  

Seriously though, we've been burned so many times in just the last couple of years that most of us dont even know which model(s) to trust anymore.  Its not as much not being an optimist as it is just being gunshy.  I hate cliffdiving.

Cold chasing moisture, then suppression city.  Two setups that never work in NC.

9 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said:

32.2 currently and 0.5” of rain since midnight.

We laugh about cold rain, but the joke’s not funny anymore.  This is ridiculous.

Its days like today that really make a southern snow lover appreciate just how hard it is to align the stars and bank some snow.  I also think thats why we tend to have major storms once in a blue moon vs multiple 2-4" events.  You miss 98% of the time, but when you score, you score big.  Growing up in Cincinnati we had 2-4" snows seemingly once a week during the winter.  Down here in the Carolinas its ZR, dusting, dusting, inch, 8", ZR, ZR.....and thats over 2 years!  

Appreciate what you get.  There's always that big thump coming.....next year.

10 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

@kvegas-wx you win bro. Back end is coming down furiously. Streets don’t want to cave but concrete has. Based on dews im at 32.7/24 so after this I still have a couple degrees I can utilize for main batch. Any idea what time you think that starts to roll in? 

Not a clue my friend.  My fun is over, but I knew you were going to get what rolled across my security cams in Stuart.  Just shy of an inch, but its done there now.

Enjoy while you can!  May be ice for you tomorrow.

Just now, Buddy1987 said:

Very lightly snowing now

Give it 10 minutes and start taking pics.  

3 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

The band traversing up this way right now has underperformed severely. Complete virga and the back end is rocketing east/northeast. Glad to see some cashed in to my south and west.

Whats left of that band from RNK down to Stuart will drop almost an inch Buddy.  Hang in there.  Front half is virga and then the hammer drops.

1 minute ago, kc4wsd said:

Finally!
Just started snowing in Eden.
36.7/26

You're going to net at least a half inch.  @BornAgain13 you're gonna get almost an inch out of this band.  Everything in Stuart is completely covered and it is still coming down hard.  Headed your way!

Again a surprise, snowing hard in Kernersville too.  Already a car topper here and covering the grass as well.  Here today, gone tomorrow, but a nice surprise for many.

Very impressive blowing snow squall in Stuart.  Ground is nearly completely covered already.  Has to be at least 1/4" in the last 20 minutes.

Edit - looking at the national radar loop this system looks like a decaying tropical system.  It almost has an eye!  LOL.  Oh what could have been.

Surprisingly it is hammering snow in Stuart atm.  Ground covering quickly there on the security cams.

Looks like a sleet and flurry mix here in Kernersvile atm.  Melting on the deck.

Sleeting hard at the farm in Stuart.  Looks like the Triad missed the snow completely.

So it looks like the radar returns are nearly 100% accurate....no virga.  So a quick 1/2" looks quite likely with this initial finger.  Good stuff! 

25 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said:

Snowing pretty hard in Cherryville. 39/21

Curious, still snowing?  

Ignoring the early success in the foothills, I think ILMRoss said it earlier...something just feels off with this setup.  It doesnt have a normal CAD look and it certainly doesnt appear robust enough to sustain into tomorrow deep into NC.  I'm just not seeing a ton of ice with this tomorrow across the Triad.

Just now, griteater said:

12z Euro

This makes the most sense of anything I've seen yet.  DTs first call map is going to need some major modifications.

Interesting to see Blacksburg modify their storms totals to a much wider spread.  I have to believe they are trying account for elevation variances across such a broad area.  Now says 1-6" snow.  Thats the most vague forecast I think I've ever seen, but who can blame them!  Sunday is going to be an absolute disaster for the state line areas into Southern VA.

12 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said:

Definitely on the low side of recent model runs, but they still have a day to adjust.

Is it odd that we are 30 hours out from what could be a major ice storm as modeled for about a million people across the i40 corridor and RAH hasnt said a peep?  Did I miss it?  I saw the post where they were "underwhelmed", but still.  There are a lot of unexpecting folks that would need more time to prepare for power outages than just one day.