Jump to content

Thinksnow18

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,144

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Thinksnow18
    Hoping this means we flip the table completely and have a cold end of November and December. With the warm lake it would be “lit” as the kids say...
  2. Thinksnow18
    Oddly my middle child (she’s 12) and I have already made the pact that if we have another event to that degree we are also jumping off the garage roof and into the back yard. Now we wait...
  3. Thinksnow18
    Legit snow band
  4. Thinksnow18
    It’s right where we want to be. We’ll get plenty of big synoptic storms and the artic blast or two that brings in the hoods. I see a lot of variability this winter.
  5. Thinksnow18
    I see KBUF put Niagara Frontier at an inch. This is a good idea as upwind at Lake Michigan, Superior and Huron are full tilt right now.
  6. Thinksnow18
    It’s after that towards the middle of November and especially the end of the month it shifts East and we’re cold. Showing up in many of the LR ensemble
  7. Thinksnow18
    Yeah you put that into context and your talking about 160 days
  8. Thinksnow18
    That’s why I’m questioning KBUFS write up that specifies the tug in a NW wind!!! Eastern Niagara, Orleans, Monroe and even NE Erie will see lake streamers in that flow, happens every year and every year it takes them a few events to remember...oh and fwiw it’s been snowing/graupel here in Williamsville for the past 30 mins or so...first truly wintery feeling day this very young season
  9. Thinksnow18
    So if you look at the GFS for that timeframe The LES bands are far more west than being depicted by the NWS map. In a NW flow the tug is normally missed and Rochester to Syracuse is in the crosshairs. I’m confused by this
  10. Thinksnow18
    You’re a lock
  11. Thinksnow18
    How far away is your location? I also believe this will be multi banded in nature.
  12. Thinksnow18
    As the great Aaron Rodgers once said R E L A X. Take a peek at the NWS text for Sunday night into Monday. You’ll be very pleased.
  13. Thinksnow18
    Look at that snow depth! 3 feet?
  14. Thinksnow18
    It looked like it as I have never been to the top of Marcy. Awesome pic of what’s to come!
  15. Thinksnow18
    Is that Mt. Marcy or Whiteface mountain?
  16. Thinksnow18
    Wow. In that scenario I would receive a few rounds during that timeframe...interesting run
  17. Thinksnow18
    I’m liking the cold frontal passage on Sunday night to have the areas first flakes (WNY-Niagara Frontier) and a taste for what I believe looking at the long range guidance per the GEFS and the EPS showing HL blocking setting up the second half of November which if realized would set up a cold second half of the month.
  18. Thinksnow18
    I mean what’s the fun of a big storm only to have it wash down the drain 2 days later? That’s no different than winning 30k on a bet and it’s gone 3 hours later
  19. Thinksnow18
    Perfect!!! Maybe we can shake the cold November and have an actual winter that behaves, well, somewhat normally
  20. Thinksnow18
    Early threat fellow weenies. Nice tune up to chase and shake off the cobwebs. Real chasing begins in about 4 weeks.
  21. Thinksnow18
    Good call. Gfs came west a bit with the precip shield from the 00z run to the 6z run. Waiting for the 12z euro
  22. Thinksnow18
    Hey at least this whetted our appetites for the inevitability of plenty more failed opportunities!!!
  23. Thinksnow18
    If the LP were to be in that position we would snow
  24. Thinksnow18
    I’m surprised there isn’t a weather station up there
  25. Thinksnow18
    I’m going with a coating to an inch at lower elevations and 3 to 5 in the highest hills
×
×
  • Create New...