Jump to content

Thinksnow18

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,144

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Thinksnow18
    Saw that in the New England forum 40/70 benchmark showed the same regarding the weeklies. I think the Euro has been on to something and the GFS is still following the it’s going to stay warm bit
  2. Thinksnow18
    On to December!!!
  3. Thinksnow18
    So the latest AFD from KBUF mentions lake effect on a SW wind for the metro a potential for next Tuesday. Will depend on elevation and precipitation intensity
  4. Thinksnow18
    That look gives many their fix just not whopper amounts
  5. Thinksnow18
    It’s exactly why when we get to mid December and beyond averaging 1 or 2 degrees above avg puts us at the freezing mark for highs...still plenty cold enough for snow
  6. Thinksnow18
    Agreed that could be highs around average but lows above normal skewing the mean
  7. Thinksnow18
    It wasn’t just 3 month AN it was ridiculously so.
  8. Thinksnow18
    Driven by the GEFS
  9. Thinksnow18
    If you’re looking for ensemble support the ECMWF still has it...the GEFS not quite
  10. Thinksnow18
    12z GFS is also much colder and seems to be trending towards a pattern that at the very least would be cold periods with some mild times lasting only a couple days...the battle between fall and winter might be starting
  11. Thinksnow18
    It’s the Canadian but that’s a lot of opportunities for snow
  12. Thinksnow18
    Could we see an epic event for the metro this year?
  13. Thinksnow18
    Just for posterity’s sake, wasn’t the winter of ‘75-‘76 cold?
  14. Thinksnow18
    Winter cancel
  15. Thinksnow18
    About the same as Tug hill being a good luck charm this year...
  16. Thinksnow18
    It only makes sense with the large (slightly questionable) anomalies for the summer months that record is in play. I think my negative outlook is based solely on the temperature extremes that are on the positive (warmth) anomalies vs the negative (cold) anomalies we have witnessed for years now. I don’t see that changing this winter either. We will have shots of cold but I think the warm wind out more often
  17. Thinksnow18
    I think we make a run at 80 tomorrow.
  18. Thinksnow18
    So what’s our lowest snowfall at KBUF? Isn’t it 35” or thereabouts?
  19. Thinksnow18
    I mean if we’re going to break records we might as well smash them
  20. Thinksnow18
    January???
  21. Thinksnow18
    I’m not feeling it. GEFS is different. As long as the two camps aren’t in lock step I gotta think more of the same. I’m concerned about the WAR. It seems that it has become a fixture during the winter months the past decade and is becoming increasingly difficult to move out.
  22. Thinksnow18
    Williamsville is just about 80% leaf free at this point.
  23. Thinksnow18
    Agreed BW that’s why I had reservation but at least there are signs...and if what the EPS shows comes to fruition we would see a decent chance at a synoptic snowfall and eventually our first real LES chances
  24. Thinksnow18
    Does the 12z finally offer a bit of hope by the second half of the month???
  25. Thinksnow18
    We have this in the bag!!! 2020 won’t let us down now!!!
×
×
  • Create New...