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Thinksnow18

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Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Thinksnow18
    Mid month scores with -EPO. We’re ok.
  2. Thinksnow18
    really getting excited for the mid month period. I believe this will be our chance for something noteworthy to occur. Here’s to hoping the trends are our friend...
  3. Thinksnow18
    This storm was not well forecast. Springville 6” Fredonia 8”? Lockport 5.2”? Airport probably above 4”...where’s the big totals in the hills to the south? I feel like Cleveland overperformed and the areas around here under performed except for areas that weren’t expecting much...
  4. Thinksnow18
    Flake size and intensity has improved in the past 30 minutes...radar looks good for the next few hours.
  5. Thinksnow18
    Yup looks good
  6. Thinksnow18
    If that comes to fruition I will personally hold up your fence in the next windstorm
  7. Thinksnow18
    Couldn’t that be less than 2 week’s away?!
  8. Thinksnow18
    This is why I believe we all might cash a bit more than expected...heck there’s a special weather alert regarding the snow picking up in intensity between 8pm and 3pm for northern Erie
  9. Thinksnow18
    The mid Atlantic needs to cash this year if only for Jebman’s predictions of incredible snows for your forum
  10. Thinksnow18
    I also noticed Niagara and Orleans counties are now under a winter weather advisory until 6am...northern Erie will be added as some point as meso guidance shows an S/W pinwheeling through around midnight with moderate snows for about 4 or 5 hours...I think tomorrow am we’re all presently surprised
  11. Thinksnow18
    I saw something interesting about Cleveland and their snowfall amounts...they haven’t had a double digit snowfall in over a decade...consider that...we have at least one a year, some years more...that’s crazy
  12. Thinksnow18
    I really think this moves a bit west and our whole CWA cashes...book it
  13. Thinksnow18
    Temps never warmed like they were supposed to...currently at the freezing mark and daylight is waning...will begin to see the snow stick again in a few hours.
  14. Thinksnow18
    I’m no professional here but isn’t the NAO negative right now? If true that system would retrograde again and throw moisture back over the lakes...in fact I’m surprised that’s not showing already
  15. Thinksnow18
    Ok...so far the winter storm warning areas have less snow than KBUF, Cheektowaga and Lockport...
  16. Thinksnow18
    I saw in the mid Atlantic forum it goes negative mid month
  17. Thinksnow18
    Not sure anymore...models look to be trending colder...at least on this run...it’ll change 7 times between now and then...
  18. Thinksnow18
    Yeah I haven’t measured in the right time periods today so unfortunately I’m a bit low I see....I guess we might hit that 4” mark by the end of this small snowfall...oh and FWIW the 12z looks exactly like the 00z euro and the weekend storm is east coast now...curiously though there’s not much precip on the northern side of the system and the track it shows typically would bury us...we wait
  19. Thinksnow18
    That’s my thought to Dev...I’m not as concerned now as it’s fighting diurnal and marginal temps...snow had no problem accumulating last night and I expect tonight to be no different
  20. Thinksnow18
    Most guidance has KBUF at 2-3”. I’ve had about 1.3” so far and I believe that with he low pulling away the better moisture on the backside this evening and overnight will be enhanced and help snowfall rates.
  21. Thinksnow18
    Picked up my first official inch this am and currently 1.1” and lightly snowing.
  22. Thinksnow18
    I noticed that on the radar as well this morning. Curious if that’s the low level feature or the upper level feature
  23. Thinksnow18
    Snowing ATM and ground coated...KBUF actually has a special weather statement out about the potential for an inch of snow this morning making the commute difficult...I didn’t know we were now the new Atlanta GA...
  24. Thinksnow18
    Are you surprised that Cleveland proper is expecting 6 to 10? NWS here in Buffalo is staying that anything near the 90 and the lakeshores will have much less accumulation than the hills. All of Cleveland is within a couple miles if the lake and you’d figure with low elevation and marginal temps not much would accumulate
  25. Thinksnow18
    Oh it came...in April and the first half of May...
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