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Thinksnow18

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Everything posted by Thinksnow18

  1. Thinksnow18
    It may not turn arctic however with that look BN temps should yield snow chances.
  2. Thinksnow18
    So if the 00z Euro has its way then the Nov 30th Dec 1st time frame would deliver a impactful LES event in or vey near the metro area on a very cold SW flow. And honestly this is only 7 days out so while fantasy land still, it’s not impossible to think...
  3. Thinksnow18
    I just looked this up to make certain it was correct...Youngstown NY to Toronto across Lake Ontario is 33 miles. That’s all the furthest point of the Niagara frontier missed out on a half foot plus snows and roughly 60 miles from the metro. Perspective.
  4. Thinksnow18
    35 and rain is just the shittiest weather.
  5. Thinksnow18
    Been snowing in Williamsville for about an hour and is beginning to stick
  6. Thinksnow18
    I was working in the northtowns at the time and just bought a brand new GMC Jimmy and wanted to chase...I was fine but the myriad of cars that got stuck on the 198 was hilarious. Ended up picking up my aunt the next day from downtown and it was like a formula 1 racetrack.
  7. Thinksnow18
    NAM is in regular form I see...
  8. Thinksnow18
    GFS 12z has a lot of good opportunities to it especially as we hit December...it would have 2 looks at a LES event for our regions...and FWIW Sunday looks somewhat colder and a tad more snow.
  9. Thinksnow18
    And that’s the confusing part...MJO phase 2 is cold in the East...+PNA would give us a western ridge...what am I missing?
  10. Thinksnow18
    Odd thing is NAM is within range...but I wouldn’t bet a cent on it...in the meantime, Wolfe if you could, or someone else could, post the CPC PNA-AO-NAO indicies? They look incredible going into December yet the temps do not seem to follow suit. Thoughts?
  11. Thinksnow18
    I see a 3.6” at KBUF...if the trend is our friend we MIGHT see that pink shade a bit eastward
  12. Thinksnow18
    Latest AFD is now leaning towards Corinth end snow and a colder solution. We will all turn to rain eventually but won’t be until Monday am. Maybe we all get some accumulating snow before the flip?
  13. Thinksnow18
    I mean one thing we can hang our hats on this far north is during all of January our average high is below freezing so even a +2 degree departure still gets us plenty of snow chances even really from mid December on if being honest. I’m not worried...yet
  14. Thinksnow18
    That’ll happen when the next 2 weeks look desolate
  15. Thinksnow18
    So is it safe to say with those statistics that schools should be left alone at this point? The were back, then remotely, then back again is getting old. If the schools themselves are NOT part of the issue then why close them? Why not just put the moratorium on social gatherings afterwards? Sorry for using logic...
  16. Thinksnow18
    Does anyone have the statistics of school kids with positive results?
  17. Thinksnow18
    The LR temps look to be right around the seasonal average of low 40’s to upper 30’s as we approach December. In that type of scenario it would not take much for us to be in the right side of a system to get snow.
  18. Thinksnow18
    I’m sensing a continuation of a terrible trend this winter...
  19. Thinksnow18
    Vicarious living for some time to come I’m afraid
  20. Thinksnow18
    Bleh. If you believe the GEFS winter is going to have a tough time getting going for some time. Oddly the operational GFS goes against that theory (shocker) and the EPS is only marginally better but the trend here is not our friend.
  21. Thinksnow18
    The euro weeklies? I was under the impression the EPS was showing HL blocking over the Artic and a colder December?
  22. Thinksnow18
    And on the EPS the exact opposite is the case. Strange that both ensembles are so different
  23. Thinksnow18
    Euro is on to it. The GFS is as well but about 3 days later
  24. Thinksnow18
    What an ass. If that statement from Trump regarding Cuomo not wanting the vaccine because he doesn’t trust it ( didn’t know he was an expert) until he wants to release it will be the death Nell of this state
  25. Thinksnow18
    After that it gets super intriguing in the LR just after Thanksgiving with a cutoff low right above Lake Superior...that would be the money shot...
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