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Everything posted by kdennis78
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How bad is this rain coming this week, in each instance? Are we looking at the December abs January storms each time for the next two weeks?
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Got it. Just don't need any disasters.
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Uh oh. Like 3"-5" of rain in 6 hours with a cutter or coastal storm interesting? My yard is clay soil and nowhere for water to seep down anymore. Simply can't handle that. Not near a river thankfully.
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2" QPF over last part of January- Is that a total or are we gonna get a series of coastal and cutter storms that are going to overwhelm us living on saturated ground?
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Thanks so much. We need a break desperately.
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Bump. Any insights?
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For those who understand models and long term forecasting better than I do: Do we see any return to the identical pattern of December and early January with warm temps and relentless and destructive costal low systems that throw down at least 2-6" of rain every three days?
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
kdennis78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I'm getting lost between the two storms. For the Jan. 9 - 10 storm, is anyone getting anything frozen? What are the average rain totals looking like for that storm at this time? What are going to be the extreme maximums with that storm as predicted now? Are we getting 3-4 hours of consistent heavy rain like we have been getting? Sorry for the questions but I don't have model access and I'm getting lost with both storms in one thread.- 3,610 replies
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- snow
- heavy rain
- (and 5 more)
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
kdennis78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
What's well inland? I honestly would welcome snow or even ice over rain. My yard can't handle more rain.- 3,610 replies
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- snow
- heavy rain
- (and 5 more)
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
kdennis78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Are there any indication on the amount of rain we are getting in one week? Is it going to be December 10 or 17 or 28 all over again?- 3,610 replies
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- snow
- heavy rain
- (and 5 more)
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I'm sure that it will because we can go without punishment.
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Are we now looking at another 2"+5" of heavy rain in less than 2 hours again for the mid week?
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When the rain is heavy what rates are we talking about here? I don't live near rivers or streams but I'm petrified about flooding in my yard or it getting in the house.
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Anyone have a good pulse on what to actually expect Tuesday night through Thursday morning (Dec. 27-29)? I'm in Morris County and I'm sweating bullets over the rain coming. How much are we looking at in a practical sense?
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Are we looking at a long term event to get 2" or are we looking at an ocean storm with heavy rains, slow motion and more flooding across the area?
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So the area is showing rain on Tuesday next week. Any insight into the scope of the rain, and if we are getting intense, more than a half inch total rain?
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So are there any minor storms and deluges coming before New Years Day? Are there any long range coastal storms or back to back major rain storms on the horizon? I can't take this anymore. I need a break and a few weeks, if not months, of zero precipitation.
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Moderate-High Impact Storm Noon Sun Dec 17, 2023 - 4PM Mon Dec 18. Flooding rain I95 corridor northwestward, coastal tidal flooding, brief periods of damaging 50 MPH+ wind gusts LI/CT Monday, ends as a little wet snow interior elevations Tue morning.
kdennis78 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I also hate to be a IMBY but what is the rainfall we are looking at in western and southwestern Morris County, NJ? Thanks for any insight- 489 replies
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- flooding rains
- coastal flooding
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(and 4 more)
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Is northwestern NJ getting f$@#%d with more heavy rain on Friday and Saturday? Does anyone have any idea for totals at the end of the system on Sunday?
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Local mets are all over the place with rain for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Is it possible to get a good handle on the amounts we could see in northern NJ?