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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    Mr. Cowan should work on changing that
  2. NEG NAO
    wheres the mixing colors ? just snow and rain ?
  3. NEG NAO
    True with the ground so cold also we don't want to get any freezing rain - that could be a nightmare - the folks down south are hoping they don't experience that - no fun living without electric in this weather
  4. NEG NAO
    thats why I posted this little gem of a link - Snow and ice storm, March 4-6, 2001 - Storm Summary mass hysteria - all milk and bread sold out for next to nothing in accumulation
  5. NEG NAO
    looks like the Euro timing and mixing set up
  6. NEG NAO
    especially if the mid-level warmer air starts surging north causing alot of instability in the atmosphere - question is where this will happen ?
  7. NEG NAO
    and a very wide range of weather conditions usually in that 75 mile radius because of the terrain and ocean
  8. NEG NAO
    I just mentiond that a few minutes ago and with this arctic airmass I would suspect there will be virga
  9. NEG NAO
    timing wise it might be closer to the GFS -PLUS consider there may be some front end virga involved here which delays the onset of the precip that reaches the ground - we have seen that before
  10. NEG NAO
    thats another problem here because the forum apparently extends from Ocean County all the way up to lower New York State and into eastern PA and CT., Long Island - so sorry I don't know how to rephrase what I said
  11. NEG NAO
    there is a banter thread and I think debating opinions is fine - but draw the line at trying to bully someone telling them to stop posting or name calling
  12. NEG NAO
    first of all we are right on the edge of the mixing line and its still 4 days away - so this is not set in stone
  13. NEG NAO
    GFS and Euro are at odds right now because the precip on the GFS only arrives area wide 3 -6 hours before mixing is very close on the Euro
  14. NEG NAO
    Agreed and I wouldn't commit to any accumulation amount right now until all the players are on the field and moving - at first I thought we would have high ratio's but now that is in doubt also.
  15. NEG NAO
    Anyone remember our high expectations several days out with this storm ? We were talking about this one on the forum previous to this one - think it was called Eastern Weather ? Snow and ice storm, March 4-6, 2001 - Storm Summary
  16. NEG NAO
    who gets 20 ?
  17. NEG NAO
    the first option would curb everyone's enthusiasm
  18. NEG NAO
    define what you consider to be the Coastal Plain.
  19. NEG NAO
    definite timing issues have to be worked out as the Euro brings it in very early Sunday morning and wants to mix it here in the afternoon - while the GFS only starts the snow in the late morning
  20. NEG NAO
    as you zoom in to regional yes I was only looking at national map but I think the primary doesn't get that far north - the strong HP will cause the transfer earlier to the coast
  21. NEG NAO
    Ratio's will start higher beginning of storm and probably get lower as the storm progresses
  22. NEG NAO
    holds on to primary up too western PA and transfers to coastal off NJ coast - which keeps in mostly snow north of Raritan River in NJ
  23. NEG NAO
    wait while I get my magnifying glass
  24. NEG NAO
    1996 looks similar to this event on the Euro regarding the mixing making it up into southern half of NJ
  25. NEG NAO
    agreed plus less QPF will mean colder temps and ratio's higher to compensate for less QPF
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