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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    you think there will be anything left on the ground before the next possible event mid-week ?
  2. NEG NAO
    are you trying to use the GFS as a mesoscale model so close to the event? and comparing it to the other mesoscales?
  3. NEG NAO
    hopefully the "thump" area this event contains significant precip.........
  4. NEG NAO
    so which model do you believe ? They all have differences of opinions = shows not to trust any of them as of now IMO.....watch the radar trends...observe surface reports OBS and upper level OBS
  5. NEG NAO
    agreed but the truth is- "It ain't over till its over" - nowcasting event for sure starting now........
  6. NEG NAO
    Don are you keeping track of how the models are actually performing so far to our south and west ?
  7. NEG NAO
    I didn't want to be that pessimistic
  8. NEG NAO
    shows how useless they are more then a few days out
  9. NEG NAO
    its nowcasting time - keep your eyes on the ball - monitor radar trends and various surface and upper level guidance - watching the models now arguing with each other so close to tonights event will lead you down the wrong road - as of 9:30 AM radar shows precip moving west to east across northern VA and southern delmarva back through Kentucky with little northward progression yet - frozen line is far south too across southern delmarva
  10. NEG NAO
    Northern Middlesex County north of the Raritan can have several inches of snow and southern Middlesex County can have next to nothing but they are considered 1 forecast zone...........
  11. NEG NAO
    That west to east banding across central NJ reminds me of what happened last Feb 16 -17 storm......
  12. NEG NAO
    agreed - this is an interesting event with watches for many - maybe should put strict limits of number of posts allowed daily for new members and everyone should only be allowed a certain number of posts a day.........so they don't hog the forum take a look at their total number of posts and see who is way over the average number considering how long they have been here
  13. NEG NAO
    Because as described in the title it includes sleet
  14. NEG NAO
    Just a reminder post the 24 HR snowfall maps now because of these multiple storms
  15. NEG NAO
    you are including sundays storm here is the 1st mid week totals
  16. NEG NAO
    The 0z Euro is NOT suppressed Models: ECMWF — Pivotal Weather
  17. NEG NAO
    Upton is going all in on this weekend event - posted there is still a chance of warning level 6 inch snows in NYC Facebook
  18. NEG NAO
    Euro running soon for the tiebreaker......any predictions ?
  19. NEG NAO
    Never trust the 18Z GFS OP or when the GFS has big changes from one run to the next.......lets see if the GEFS agrees with the OP
  20. NEG NAO
    true - BUT its still early and a very complicated set up with multiple storms playing off one another influencing the next one and so on........and questions regarding strength and position of the HP's very critical IMO - also the configuration of the jet stream during all of this
  21. NEG NAO
    Nobody listened to me a couple days ago when I said to "curb your enthusiasm" and I got stuck with 11 weenies
  22. NEG NAO
    Canadian not a total miss but lighter snow
  23. NEG NAO
    Totally Suppresed on 0Z GFS
  24. NEG NAO
    Winter Storm Watch issued for Saturday Night into Sunday NYC Metro WSW from KOKX
  25. NEG NAO
    which will keep it all snow in NYC
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