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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    Walt started a new thread for next weeks potential
  2. NEG NAO
    Seems like the 0Z Canadian is moving towards the 12Z Euro solution but still 7 plus days out and the timing is different - waiting for the 0Z Euro which has had similar runs 2 cycles in a row
  3. NEG NAO
    whats so suppressed about a 988 LP off the Delmarva ?
  4. NEG NAO
    A 988 on the coast works and 2 runs in a row - don't worry about amounts yet....
  5. NEG NAO
    Clown Map - doesn't make sense with the wide variations region wide with all the cold air in place post the Canadian and the Euro when it comes out and compare
  6. NEG NAO
    this is all too complicated for any model this far out - so solutions are wrong IMO
  7. NEG NAO
    Only runs through 168 doesn't tell us much only that the energy is south similar to the Canadian which then shears out past 168
  8. NEG NAO
    First of all being so far out in time we have no idea if these solutions so far today are even close to correct. Remember last night when the 0Z Euro gave us a Major Snowstorm + - wait for the Euro solution..........and then their ensembles - IMO the Canadian and GFS develop the systems in 2 different areas far apart out west shows the difference in opinions and probably wrong
  9. NEG NAO
  10. NEG NAO
    The second storm later next week goes OTS
  11. NEG NAO
    Pivotal Weather
  12. NEG NAO
    0Z Modeling Ops all over the place Canadian - not a flake - GFS shredded out maybe a light Accumulation and the Euro a Major Snowstorm - whose a weenie to believe ? Or even a a seasoned MET !
  13. NEG NAO
  14. NEG NAO
  15. NEG NAO
    0Z Euro Saves The Day
  16. NEG NAO
    Canadian still says "What Storms" ? Not interested in developing anything - not a flake here all week
  17. NEG NAO
    because it being 9 days out chances are its confused and wrong........and it is the 18Z with outdated input
  18. NEG NAO
    Probably is a good idea IMO for Walt to start a thread titled "Winter Storms Potential January 6 - 12" so the January thread doesn't reach 50 + pages before January 1st.
  19. NEG NAO
    Canadian stays south and off the coast
  20. NEG NAO
    The Canadian is completely different with the storm still far south
  21. NEG NAO
    11 days out too ! this is pure entertainment till we get into a reasonable range within 7 days at least
  22. NEG NAO
    whens the last time thats happened in the NYC metro in a MECS or HECS ? IMO I would wait till the first of the new year to make a storm thread if the guidance is still showing a chance of a storm........
  23. NEG NAO
    Then the gulf low rounds the corner up the east coast so now there is some agreement with the GFS OP and Euro OP BUT over 11 days out !
  24. NEG NAO
    0Z Euro Jan 6th storm is strong and cuts west of us with lack strong HP in southeast Canada - cold blast follows as another storm is developing out west - then a gulf low develops
  25. NEG NAO
    Until the Canadian and Euro and ensembles agree with the GFS multiple runs in a row on a snowstorm threat in January can't take the GFS seriously and who wants to be in the GFS bullseye this far out ? Sorry have to wait till we get into the 5-7 day range IMO to make a forecast...
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