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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    and here is the 12Z NAM models are all over the place typical of a system where T-storms will be the main heavy rain maker and its impossible to determine where they will go - there will be a wide range of totals region wide
  2. NEG NAO
    GFS is very wet ? IMO when this system arrives it will not be one solid area of precip - it will be a more showery system with T-storms possible only areas that will see over 1 inch will be the few that get the t-storms The system will not arrive till afternoon and by then daytime heating will support T-storms
  3. NEG NAO
    0Z Canadian and GFS- as we move closer to the event once again the trend is dryer
  4. NEG NAO
    IMO there is going to be a wide range of totals in the region - anywhere from a few inches (where T-storms occur) to less than an inch in unknown areas.
  5. NEG NAO
    the higher end amounts will be in areas that get the thunderstorms predicted - going to be a wide range of totals region wide as of now.........
  6. NEG NAO
    I might be issuing a BUST WATCH for Monday as we get closer the way things have been verifying here lately.
  7. NEG NAO
    Amazing how most of the showers fall apart as they are moving northeast towards the metro from southeast PA - lets see if that moderate to heavy batch near York PA survive
  8. NEG NAO
    Will take a long time to catch up to normal - lawns look like they do in March ............
  9. NEG NAO
    a drop in the bucket compared to what we really need - soaking rains of 1 to 2 inches every week for a few months
  10. NEG NAO
    No Weather Hazards For Us
  11. NEG NAO
  12. NEG NAO
  13. NEG NAO
    Our next severe event possibiility
  14. NEG NAO
    very uncertain on exactly what will happen in eastern most NJ and NYC and points east - STAY TUNED ! Late poor timing of the front is to blame IMO
  15. NEG NAO
    That line of shower/storms is still 8 hours from here - are we going to have a rude awakening at 2 AM ?
  16. NEG NAO
    Similar to every other severe event this spring the greatest threat is the wind
  17. NEG NAO
    Busy Weather Day Sunday
  18. NEG NAO
    just in time for the Mets Game
  19. NEG NAO
    a while ago SVR from KPHI
  20. NEG NAO
    this is going to be another "pop up" storm day radars showing activity east of Allentown and other areas widespread through the region
  21. NEG NAO
    Severe Watch Issued For Metro WWUS from KWNS WOUS from KWNS
  22. NEG NAO
    40 % Chance of Severe Watch Being Issued SWO from KWNS
  23. NEG NAO
    Another "Pop Up" storm is developing in between 287 and 78 north of Westfield alot of cloud to cloud lightning SVR from KOKX
  24. NEG NAO
    it even got its own little warning SVR from KPHI
  25. NEG NAO
    yeah we used to call that "heat lightning" quite a bit of it now on Union/Middlesex border being caused by a little storm that popped up near Tewksbury just north of Rt. 78
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